For.others like me who have (had?) no idea what xGOT means, here's MS Copilot's description:
>xGOT stands for **Expected Goals on Target**. It is a statistical model that measures the quality of shots on target in football¹. Unlike xG, which is a pre-shot model that estimates the probability of scoring from any shot attempt, xGOT is a post-shot model that takes into account the direction, speed, and placement of the shot, as well as the position and reaction of the goalkeeper¹. xGOT can be used to evaluate the performance of both shooters and goalkeepers, by comparing the actual goals scored or conceded with the expected goals based on the quality of the shots on target¹.
>¹: [Introducing Expected Goals on Target (xGOT) - Stats Perform](^1^)
Please take this with a pinch of salt as I am still getting to grips with it myself, but this is my understanding. If I have got it wrong & anyone reading this can correct me please do!
In our example let's say a striker is at the edge of the penalty area and decides to shoot. At this point, the xG of 0.3 can be calculated based on the historical results of all other shots from a similar situation. It takes into account the location of the striker, defenders, the goalkeeper etc. to work out this number.
The striker then takes his shot & kicks the ball. At this point the xGOT of 0.6 is calculated based on all the data used to work out the xG above, *as well as* the direction & quality of the actual shot the striker has taken. This number represents the likelihood that this specific shot will result in a goal.
To give another example, a penalty would generally have quite a high xG of ~0.75 (since most penalties get scored). If the striker hits it beautifully towards the top corner, it might have an even higher xGOT. If they scuff it and it rolls slowly straight down the middle, then it would have a lower xGOT. If they skied it and missed completely, the xGOT would be 0.0.
Isn't xG based on the shot location/defenders etc. regardless if it's on target or not?
Like for arguments sake, if you have a penalty and sky it, surely it's not 0 xG?
I’m going to be pedantic and say xGOT is a silly name, because that implies the chance that a shot will be on target, rather than the accumulative xG of shots that were on target
Side note. Is there any other way to post those stats without using Twitter. i deleted my account for obvious reasons and opening links to that platform’s becoming a nightmare.
xG is different to xGOT, for those that don’t know.
And Burnley’s xG was 0.26 for anyone wondering
I was right, they *did* do better than West Ham!
Not a particularly difficult bar to clear, if we're being honest
Especially since they werent 'Hammered'.
expected game of thrones
Which is slightly different from xASOIAF
For.others like me who have (had?) no idea what xGOT means, here's MS Copilot's description: >xGOT stands for **Expected Goals on Target**. It is a statistical model that measures the quality of shots on target in football¹. Unlike xG, which is a pre-shot model that estimates the probability of scoring from any shot attempt, xGOT is a post-shot model that takes into account the direction, speed, and placement of the shot, as well as the position and reaction of the goalkeeper¹. xGOT can be used to evaluate the performance of both shooters and goalkeepers, by comparing the actual goals scored or conceded with the expected goals based on the quality of the shots on target¹. >¹: [Introducing Expected Goals on Target (xGOT) - Stats Perform](^1^)
Thank you, that was necessary to understand this post!
so say for example a shot has an xG of 0.3 but an xGOT of 0.6 what does that mean?
Please take this with a pinch of salt as I am still getting to grips with it myself, but this is my understanding. If I have got it wrong & anyone reading this can correct me please do! In our example let's say a striker is at the edge of the penalty area and decides to shoot. At this point, the xG of 0.3 can be calculated based on the historical results of all other shots from a similar situation. It takes into account the location of the striker, defenders, the goalkeeper etc. to work out this number. The striker then takes his shot & kicks the ball. At this point the xGOT of 0.6 is calculated based on all the data used to work out the xG above, *as well as* the direction & quality of the actual shot the striker has taken. This number represents the likelihood that this specific shot will result in a goal. To give another example, a penalty would generally have quite a high xG of ~0.75 (since most penalties get scored). If the striker hits it beautifully towards the top corner, it might have an even higher xGOT. If they scuff it and it rolls slowly straight down the middle, then it would have a lower xGOT. If they skied it and missed completely, the xGOT would be 0.0.
Damn wtf ? Is that a first in the league this season ?
I wouldn't think so. Any time a match ends without a single shot on target (not that uncommon), this is automatically true.
Isn't xG based on the shot location/defenders etc. regardless if it's on target or not? Like for arguments sake, if you have a penalty and sky it, surely it's not 0 xG?
This post is specifically xGOT (xG on target)
I’m going to be pedantic and say xGOT is a silly name, because that implies the chance that a shot will be on target, rather than the accumulative xG of shots that were on target
xGOT is a different model that takes into account where the shot was placed. It’s inherently different from xG.
Sure. But it’s not expected goals on target, it’s expected goals from goals that were on target
It’s xG on target. For it to be calculated, a shot must obviously be on target.
it's essentially a bullying tactic to use against defenders who deflect off target shots into an own goal
Fuck me we're good
At football :)
Quite good even you could say
Expected Game Of Thrones
keep the tempo till season 7
Nothing gets past Mr. Raya and his THUGS
Just another way of saying they had no shots on target
No way
What about that cross/shot that Raya saved?
Wasn’t on target it seems
People think we're not better than we were last season because we aren't on the same points...
fab five at the back, genuinely disgusting and revolting how good our defense is
Side note. Is there any other way to post those stats without using Twitter. i deleted my account for obvious reasons and opening links to that platform’s becoming a nightmare.
lmfao
Add it to the shots on goal against us this calendar compilation
What the hell is xGOT
0.000 mate
That's gotta be a record
Certainly ties one….
It's not even that rare
Shots on target, and by extension expected goals on target, are a pretty pointless stat.