if i take kd over points he plays like a geriatric and barely crosses half court
if i take kd under points he plays like prime okc durant and suddenly wants to take all the shots
KCP o2.5A was +140 , gets it done in the first half lolol
Knew I should’ve taken that shit with Murray out
It’s the simple things we overlook sometimes man, tryna be all smart and shit. Meanwhile we sit here and get cooked by niggas named Richaun Holmes🤣🤣 I’m sick
Feel you there. I need Beal to get one more assist to cash a parlay. Started off quick but need the nuggets to keep it close so he plays a lot of the 4th
I would like to apologize to everyone. I’m so cold right now and I took Richuan Holmes to record a double double. His injury is my fault. I’m sorry, I’ll be better.
Draymond getting ejected was the missing leg on my parlay . And even though hardrock website states ejections are cancelled bets , customer service states their house rules apply and it’s a loss
https://preview.redd.it/e5ch2hw4yzqc1.jpeg?width=740&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c4c910944a7636d14ed7ffe6a711d154d7bf6b5a
Facts. And crazy thing is he almost hit his prop before he was ejected 3 minutes in . I just needed 5 rebounds
Never heard of this Rishaud Holmes guy in my life... Everyone on his rebound props. Plays 12 min, gets injured, and goes out. Shit is fucking rigged bro.
This shit needs to be investigated
https://twitter.com/SlimJimBets/status/1773142814341173718?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
The R Holmes injury in case anyone is wondering
If richaun Holmes ended up just sucking today I would’ve accepted that. The fact he got “injured” in the first half by tripping over someone’s toes is bs
Lebron already has 3 rebounds! Lookin good to cash 7.5, I like him to get at least 9 tonight.
Edit: whoever downvoted is a bitch, I gave this out last night with a small write-up.
https://preview.redd.it/7ppmnuxkwyqc1.jpeg?width=1163&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9e6878c1c6a83cd6d8e8d52cd5fb8d8b0dbfa2df
This parlay has a 51% hit rate on the season
https://preview.redd.it/qcd8f7irwyqc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=835824f52d3db8ee01bf9955191a3e41a33ab169
This parlay has a 72% hit rate this season
Anthony Edwards double-double at +450? I know he only has 8 on the year, but he’s usually pretty close on both rebounds and assists. Seems like +450 is pretty high…
https://preview.redd.it/2tl365k26xqc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=235b95d4f92eb4949d3bd2bbad424712c9f5f649
Shoutout to all the under bettor’s 🫡
Can someone talk me out of Anthony Davis under PRA 40.5?? Coming off a double OT game last night with a ton of minutes…seemed a little banged up towards the end but played through it. Notorious to start and not finish games - whether it is fatigue or injury or minute load management etc.
Again - someone talk me off the ledge here cause I want to hammer it lol
Richaun Holmes double double +350 very underrated bet past 3 games with more then 14+ boards a game with 28+ min and a double double in the past two he has been on a tear in the paint. Definitely love this line
https://preview.redd.it/c29bws2uawqc1.png?width=1458&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a8fa313d81abfbfaa03d47550c349316f22a928
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 3/27/24
Just starting to play around on your site, is there an option to change it from last 3 seasons hit rate, current season hit rate, for the parlay picks, to L20 games and other filters? Or plan to add in at some stage? Awesome stuff man
https://preview.redd.it/ni5pv9sg6xqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57cc7efa21ef51ef20618bc2a2b7cb15551f6639
It’s either a message like this or a message saying that they started in the previous game but are not projected to start today
23/24 record: (97-76)
Last bet:
Micic u 11.5 points ✅️ 2 points
Brunson o 29.5 points ❌️ 28 points in a B.O. Played 5 mins less than his season avg.
Today:
**Micic u 11.5 points**
**Claxton o 10.5 rebounds**
**Turner o 1.5 3PM**
Adding:
**Green u 6.5 assists**
**Cunningham u 20.5 points**
A reminder also that many of these type of stats can be called out by game or stat type etc in the app Linemate. In case we have some newer folk here, sample below
https://preview.redd.it/iyj5pth9dwqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b570212907c64b6284f99786733b000f066697bc
**Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 Points (-111)**
Okay, so most of the things [I said yesterday](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/bSWNEsokxW)...except the opposite.
As opposed to playing a road game (where SGA tends to score less) against a team that locks down PGs like New Orleans, tonight Shai will be facing a PG-lenient Houston defense instead.
• In the range of minutes he's played in his L5 (30-38 mpg), SGA is 9/10 in his L10 and 4/5 in his L5 against this line at home.
• In their L5, the Rockets have given up the 4th Most Points to PGs in the league (26.2 ppg), a number that actually rose in their L3 (29.0 ppg).
• Admittedly, the majority of PGs the Rockets have gone up against in their L5 have still failed to beat their line but none of those guys are on the same level as SGA, nor are they given the opportunities to score that he is in terms of FGA.
This game may not break Shai's road slump, but it should still get him back in the win column in terms of the books. Might still be a nail-biter though, given all the times he's finished with 31 Points on the dot. Line might periodically get knocked down to 29.5 over the course of the day, though.
Any feedback is appreciated.
Shai Garbage-ass is cooked, his under been printing me money the last five days in a row. it’s more likely it could change today cause they playing the rockets but I’m still on the under let’s see yall come back here crying he didn’t hit, again 🙄
Shai's performance on B2B games, if anyone's interested.
https://preview.redd.it/5cpqdzd7cvqc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=90fdc8a19d7413ef0fc348740976dccf6cf511a5
**Record:** 16-3
**Last Pick(s):** Dame Lillard over 30.5 P+A ✅
**Today’s Pick(s):** Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 reb
**Odds:** -125 on DK, ESPN Bet, and BetMGM / -133 on Caesars / -128 on FD
That was 100% luck last night lol. Very glad it hit and it was a good game too. I see ample opportunities for vuc to clear this line with how fast the Pacers play. They’re nothing special on the board either. BOL if tailing!
Season record: 25-19
Yesterday: 5 -4
Check out my blog for everyday full props analysis:
[https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-27032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-27032024.html)
At some point yesterday, I could see this as a sweep. Giannis and Draymond are obviously unlucky, and Zion and Fox are just playing well under their usual performance.
**Recap of yesterday's pick (26/03/2024):**
**1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O30.5P Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌**
In a game of the season where Giannis played 46 minutes, but was 1/6 FT, and failed to score more than 6 points in nearly 20 minutes of playing time in the 4th and 2OT, it's just an unlucky day.
**2. Giannis Antetokounmpo O47.5PRA Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅**
Just like my prediction, Giannis has a lot of assist chances. He ended the night with 29/21/11.
**3. Andrew Wiggins O10.5P Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅**
10.5 is too low for Wiggins, and tonight's performance from Wiggins proves that. He finishes with 17 points with efficient shooting.
**4. Draymond Green O21.5 PRA Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.83 Sportsbet ❌**
Draymond ended with 9/8/4.
**5. Josh Giddey O14.5 PA Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.87 Sportsbet ✅**
As expected, when Giddey gains his confidence back he is a stats filler. He scored 8 points in 1 minute today, and ended the night with 25/9/4
**6. Zion Williamson O6.5R Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.72 Sportsbet ❌**
Zion was lazy today on the board in the second half. First half he grabs 4 rebounds, second half just one.
**7. PJ Washington O11.5 PA Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅**
PJ Washington played extremely well in the first quarter, ended with 14/13/2.
**8. DeAaron Fox O26.5P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ❌**
Fox scored 14 points at half, continuing to score 4 points for the remainder of the night.
**9. Giannis Antetokounmpo O0.5B Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.6 Bet365 ✅**
Giannis got this done halfway through the first quarter, and ended with 3 blocks
**Tonight's NBA Props (Will keep updated):**
**1. Lebron James O7.5R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 1.8 Sportsbet**
With Lebron having a rest day plus all the starters played 40+ minutes, Lebron will most likely play a lot today. Would not be surprised if he can get 10 rebounds
**2. Jaren Jackson Jr 6+R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 2.0 Sportsbet**
This odd is too good, for a center playing vs a fatigued Lakers squad. Shots are likely to be missed a lot and I would be very surprised if he cannot get 6 rebounds. I believe he would likely get 8-10 rebounds today. For 8+ rebounds odd is around 3.8 and for 10+ rebounds odd is around 8.5.
**3. Josh Hart U13.5R Knicks @ Raptors Odd 1.9 Bet365**
13.5 is incredibly high for anyone who does not play center, even for Josh Hart's standard. ~~Raptors is actually a good team at not letting guards get rebounds, only allowing 5.14 rebounds per game for opponents' SG in the last 7 games.~~ Josh Hart plays as SF in the recent Knicks rotation, but I still believe 13.5 is still quite high. 11.5 would be a better prop for betting over.
**4. James Harden O28.5 PRA Clippers @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365**
Against the former team, which Harden did not like too much, I expect Harden to be more involved today. 15/5/10 is achievable for the former MVP.
**5. Myles Turner O22.5 PR Pacers @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365**
There have been some questionable performances from Vucevic recently, which I believe is an advantage for Turner. Also this season against the Bulls, Myles Turner is averaging 31.7 PR in 3 games.
**6. Paulo Banchero 7+R Warriors @ Magic Odd 1.68 Bet365**
GSW gives the most rebounds to opponents PF, at 13.45 rebounds per game. The last time they met this season, Banchero got 12 rebounds. Consider 8+, 10+ option if the odd is good but remember to minimize the stake.
**7. Richaun Holmes 8+R Nets @ Wizards Odd 1.8 Tab**
Just look at Holmes's stats last 4 games, he has been getting close to 30 minutes a game recently and is quite effective on the board as well. 10+ rebounds with the odd of 3.0 is also interesting
**8. Michael Porter Jr U18.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Sportsbet**
Normally I would not bet under for MPJ but recently there has been a drop in his performance, which could have come from his brother's scandal. Just wish him all the best. But for now 18.5 is quite high, 16.5 would be more like 50/50 in my opinion.
**Check out my blog for daily props analysis:** [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/)
Updated:
9. Nikola Jokic O8.5A **Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Bet365**
With Murray out the offense will run through Jokic. This season without Jamal Murray Jokic is averaging over 10 assists.
10. Christian Braun O13.5 PRA **Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.95 Tab**
With Murray out Braun will score more playing time, most likely 25+mins. Braun is quite a good rebounder for a guard.
11. Grayson Allen O11.5P S**uns @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Sportsbet**
Allen will see plenty of spacing this game. This game will be highly over 230 points and I believe Allen will score at least 2+ threes.
Just looked at the last game. He had 9 boards in 26 minutes. Tends to get more like 35 a night now. Could be close. It dropped to 12.5 for me. So I’m out. 13.5 seems high but who knows.
Adding to Manuel, not entirely free, but they give you a couple of stats free if you don’t pay eg rebounds for alll games and RA for all games, so still worth having. Linemate is another that’s mostly free with some paid features
Liking Kawhi over 23.5 pts, two straight losses, and his game history looks pretty consistent whenever he faces the same team he lost to earlier in the season, or in this case just two days ago.
**Record: 69-41**
**Previously:**
- Brook Lopez over 1.5 blks ❌
0-1. Only had one play and it didn't hit. The game went to double OT and Brook didn't play in the extra time.
**Todays Picks:**
- Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 asts
- Josh Hart under 13.5 rebs
**might add more later**
BOL
My book doesn’t have the lines up yet but Lebron is getting his rebounds, he’s gonna play the 5 at some point tomorrow. Whether or not AD plays (he shouldn’t, he needs the rest but he’s been the man of steel lately), Lebron’s well rested and will be putting in WORK to pay back his guys back for winning a tough game he sat out.
I’m looking for o7.5 but o8.5 is fine too.
**Last Picks**
1-1
✅Jarrett Allen Under 31.5 PRA
❌SGA Over 30.5
**Today's Picks**
**Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 Assists (-140) Bet365**
**1U**
Hali averages 11.2 Assists this season.
Hali is over this line 3/3 vs the Bulls averaging 15.7 Assists (13, 20, 14).
Bulls allow the 5th most Assists to PG’s in the L7 and 6th most in the L15 games.
Low blowout risk with a 2.5 Spread, Hali should have plenty of minutes to hit this line.
**Gary Trent Jr Under 19.5 Points (-115) Bet365**
**0.5U**
Since the absence of Quickley, Trent has gone under this line 5/9 games.
Knicks allow the 3rd least Points to SG’s in the L7 games, 4th least in the L15 games and 12th least this season.
In his last 9 games Gary gets most of his points in Pull ups and C&S 3s.
The Knicks allows the 8th least Pull ups in the L15 games and 11th least C&S 3s.
High Blowout Risk with a 12.5 point spread.
**Nic Claxton Over 10.5 Rebounds (-130) Bet365**
**0.5U**
Nic Claxton averages 10.8 Rebounds in his L5 games.
Claxton has an average of 13.3 Rebounds vs the Wizards this season ( 13, 15, 12)
Purely a match up play against the Wizards who are not good vs Centers this season.
2.5 Spread, Low Blowout risk, so plenty of time for Clax to exceed this line.
**Jalen Duren 10 Points + 10 Rebounds (+120) Bet365**
Those odds are insane for Duren who is a DD machine.
Duren has a DD in 39/54 games this season.
Timberwolves has struggled recently with the injury of KAT and are allowing the 11th most Points and 7th most Rebounds to Centers in the L15 games.
Essentially playing these for the + Odds.
**BOL**
**NBA '23-24: 155-108 (+27.81u)**
**Last: 2-0 (+2.15u)**
On the heater of a lifetime at the moment hitting 16 straight props posted on my twitter, lets keep the streak going tonight.
3/27 Picks:
**Scoot Henderson O 5.5 ast (-110**) Simons out, Grant doubtful meaning Scoot should be the lead ball handler here. Avg 8.3 ast per 36 on an absurd 33% usg rate w/o Simons+Grant on the court. Over in 4/5 when Simons is out & he sees 28+ mins. Leads the team in potential ast since returning from injury, had 13 pot. in just 24 mins last game. ATL allows the 9th most ast to PG this year.
**Desmond Bane O 17.5 pts (-125) -** 70% hit rate this season, MEM is ravaged by injuries & JJJ should have his hands full with AD so Bane should be the go to scorer. LAL allows the 6th most pts to SG this year, Bane had 24 on just 14 shots in their last matchup. LAL bottom 5 in def rating this month & are on a road B2B after a double OT win which should mean MEM could keep this one competitive.
Edit Adding:
**Lu Dort O 12.5 pts (-105) -** SGA out, w/o him on the floor Dort sees a 5% usg increase & avg 19.8 pts per 36. Since the start of last year he is over in 11/14 w/o SGA including a 29 pt game the one time Shai was out this year. O 12/16 w/ 10+ fga this year, has had 10+ fga in L 23/25 w/o Shai.
[https://twitter.com/SammyGprops](https://twitter.com/SammyGprops)
40-24
Yesterday: 1/1
__DeAndre Ayton O19.5 P__, 1/1 vs the Hawks where he got 33 points, Anfernee Simons is out and Grant is doubtful so expect Ayton to be the main man, Over this line in 8/L10 games, Hawks middle of the rack in points allowed to C this season but I like this matchup still
Had Giannis O29.5 points… this mf had 29 points in double OT and missed both free throws 😐
Edit: Sheesh. Also had Middleton O20.5 PA, finished at 19 AND Gafford O11.5 pts, finishing with 10 points. Tough night.
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Definitely an unexpected cash, Beal o10.5RA at +110✅
if i take kd over points he plays like a geriatric and barely crosses half court if i take kd under points he plays like prime okc durant and suddenly wants to take all the shots
Not a geriatric 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 I’m cryin
Hali was discounted today at 8.5 assists. I should’ve known.
KCP o2.5A was +140 , gets it done in the first half lolol Knew I should’ve taken that shit with Murray out It’s the simple things we overlook sometimes man, tryna be all smart and shit. Meanwhile we sit here and get cooked by niggas named Richaun Holmes🤣🤣 I’m sick
oh my god if the rockets can cover -1.5 this would cover all of my losses today 🤞
Let’s fuckin goooooo
Yeahhhhh Beal o10.5RA❌ ain’t happening lolz Edit: Steph was 6/18 tonight?? Yikes lmao
Yall too sensitive
shut up man, honestly it takes a sensitive mothafucka to reply to some “sensitive” shit Hope you made some bread tonight tho gang.
Awfully early to make a comment like this 🤣🤣
Aye man NBA has me too accustomed to taking my L’s early it ain’t my fault lmaooooo. Can’t trust these boys no more cuz I’m scarred🤣
Feel you there. I need Beal to get one more assist to cash a parlay. Started off quick but need the nuggets to keep it close so he plays a lot of the 4th
Glad you cashed bro!
Same to you man! Back to cbb tmrw! (Can’t forget the Celtics tho)
been a while when i lost all my picks ems. haliburton sucks. the thunder jalen and chet suck and overrated.
haliburton overrated. I am pretty sure his over assist props was very popular today
Yeah if Beal hits one more three imma go head and chalk this RA over lmao
Derozan U26.5 lol no way this dude still in
I would like to apologize to everyone. I’m so cold right now and I took Richuan Holmes to record a double double. His injury is my fault. I’m sorry, I’ll be better.
Haliberry’s falloff has been insane brudda
I despise Siakam
Chet holmgren is a loser. That is all.
Haliburton assists are getting toyed with, from 4 to 5 back to 4. He was jipped two assists early in the 1st
What's the reason zubac didn't play a single minute of the 4th? Literally needed one more rebound
Two nights ago I bet Halliburton over 9.5 assist and he had 9 halfway through 3rd . He sat until end of 4th quarter and did not get it lol.
Draymond getting ejected was the missing leg on my parlay . And even though hardrock website states ejections are cancelled bets , customer service states their house rules apply and it’s a loss
probably only cancelled if it was after it hit
https://preview.redd.it/e5ch2hw4yzqc1.jpeg?width=740&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c4c910944a7636d14ed7ffe6a711d154d7bf6b5a Facts. And crazy thing is he almost hit his prop before he was ejected 3 minutes in . I just needed 5 rebounds
That’s some Billy Ray Cyrus bullshit
Playing Beal o10.5RA at +110
Anyone who said bet Holmes…. Delete your account.
Never heard of this Rishaud Holmes guy in my life... Everyone on his rebound props. Plays 12 min, gets injured, and goes out. Shit is fucking rigged bro.
Anyone got any Den vs phx plays to recoup funds that Holmes robbed from me?
Here for this🤞
Just opened my phone after placing all these bets, looking like Holmes was the trap of the century??
I stop putting more then 1 dollar on nba parlays but this is crazy. Clippers are 0 and Bulls blowout. Is there a person who has profit on rigged shit?
[удалено]
Pretty sure every sport is rigged by now. Doesn’t matter what thread you go to everyone says that that sport is rigged.
Yesterday 0-2 (-2.00U) Season Record 269-371 (+60.36U) Sochan U14.5 PTS + Markkannen O19.5 PTS + Jazz ML +286 (used 30% boost) ❌ YEEHAW 🤠
This shit needs to be investigated https://twitter.com/SlimJimBets/status/1773142814341173718?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet The R Holmes injury in case anyone is wondering
Nah bro. Investigate that mother fucker like the guy from raptors.
Currently getting shafted
So every body getting fucked by Richaun Holmes. Glad it’s not just me
I’ve taken enough “locks” that ended up being donations to the book to know to never take a prop everyone is on lol
Everyone calling Holmes props free today. Vegas says not so fast
Vegas call up & said “Nah, not today”
If richaun Holmes ended up just sucking today I would’ve accepted that. The fact he got “injured” in the first half by tripping over someone’s toes is bs
Richaun Holmes not even starting the 2nd Half…unbelievable lmao
Yea that’s the last time I’m doing that shit. Not following hot props because something gonna happen to fuck it up
He’s out lmao. Of course he is
:(
Lebron already has 3 rebounds! Lookin good to cash 7.5, I like him to get at least 9 tonight. Edit: whoever downvoted is a bitch, I gave this out last night with a small write-up.
I tailed, thanks. Glad I switched Aldama for lebron
hell yea glad you made money
https://preview.redd.it/7ppmnuxkwyqc1.jpeg?width=1163&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=9e6878c1c6a83cd6d8e8d52cd5fb8d8b0dbfa2df This parlay has a 51% hit rate on the season
https://preview.redd.it/qcd8f7irwyqc1.jpeg?width=1169&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=835824f52d3db8ee01bf9955191a3e41a33ab169 This parlay has a 72% hit rate this season
hopefully that overunder guy on twitter made a max under slip for draymond
Playing Vuc o10.5reb, Ant o25.5pts(alt), Bane o29.5PRA
Everybody and their mother was on the Richaun Holmes rebound over prop. You know what happens next lol.
turned the game on for a sec looks like he just turned his ankle too, hope hes aight
LeVert over 5.5 assists + money was a steal. Sweat free baby
With AD out, how are the other big men on the Grizzlies looking? Hit some of the higher JJJ props?
What was the McBride 3's made line? I imagine it may have hit in the first two minutes yeesh
Holy FUCK Curry I hope you get AIDS
Looks like a thread ride on Holmes… 0 points 1stQ so far
Any reason DK has an entire team (Grizzlies in this case) off for all prop bets? Edit: Nvmd. They're up. DK fuckery going on.
Playing Zubac o9.5pts
Is that a record for Draymond getting ejected that soon? LMAO
pretty sure he’s gotten ejected like less than a minute into the game before lol
Playing Richaun o7.5reb, CP3 o7.5pts, Nick Richards u9.5reb, Klay u21.5pts(alt)
[+EV NBA](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h8PzKv3F4fC7zwWG7rv1nU36b9T0Tjus5irlgBsWv7Y/edit#gid=1689105134): 613-557 (+68.17u) +114 CLE Levert 6+ ast -102 ORL Banchero u13 reb+ast -115 WSH Kuzma 22+ pts -114 ORL Isaac 9+ pts -118 ATL Bogdanovic 8+ reb+ast -112 LAC George 22+ pts -113 IND Turner u25 pts+reb
Damn all this shit hit except probably Banchero
Let’s go LeVert 1H hit!
Does anybody know when books are gonna add other players besides AD and Bron? I assume they are waiting on if AD plays…?
Anthony Edwards double-double at +450? I know he only has 8 on the year, but he’s usually pretty close on both rebounds and assists. Seems like +450 is pretty high…
https://preview.redd.it/2tl365k26xqc1.png?width=1080&format=png&auto=webp&s=235b95d4f92eb4949d3bd2bbad424712c9f5f649 Shoutout to all the under bettor’s 🫡
Murray might not play
Can someone talk me out of Anthony Davis under PRA 40.5?? Coming off a double OT game last night with a ton of minutes…seemed a little banged up towards the end but played through it. Notorious to start and not finish games - whether it is fatigue or injury or minute load management etc. Again - someone talk me off the ledge here cause I want to hammer it lol
Wish me luck fellas i ended up locking it in.
only hit 4/11 on back to back games this season. If hes playing, hes playing a minimum of 29 minutes.
I think it’s only that high because of some injuries and of course because they are playing the Grizzlies
If he doesn't sit, he's playing a minimum of three quarters. Would not surprise me to see that.
Richaun Holmes double double +350 very underrated bet past 3 games with more then 14+ boards a game with 28+ min and a double double in the past two he has been on a tear in the paint. Definitely love this line
Just took it at +330 right before the books wiped the props out. BOL boys.
I’m in
https://preview.redd.it/c29bws2uawqc1.png?width=1458&format=png&auto=webp&s=6a8fa313d81abfbfaa03d47550c349316f22a928 NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 3/27/24
Where are yall finding these charts/trends?
On our site https://propshark.io/search/nba/prop-leaderboard/ . We post the leaderboard daily in this thread
Gimmie sum fo the magic 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻
Just starting to play around on your site, is there an option to change it from last 3 seasons hit rate, current season hit rate, for the parlay picks, to L20 games and other filters? Or plan to add in at some stage? Awesome stuff man
Yea that’s on the roadmap! Just super focused on trying to get mlb out by mid April so can’t promise it’ll be added soon 😅
What does the yellow traingle sign mean?
https://preview.redd.it/ni5pv9sg6xqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=57cc7efa21ef51ef20618bc2a2b7cb15551f6639 It’s either a message like this or a message saying that they started in the previous game but are not projected to start today
[удалено]
Fully free! Thank you 🙏🏽
https://preview.redd.it/npsxlgpwawqc1.png?width=1462&format=png&auto=webp&s=49b1ffb27b2848a7ed7b55a71173fbb08567373e
https://preview.redd.it/7itb8mcxawqc1.png?width=1455&format=png&auto=webp&s=80cb7df4e9ca899c16dfb3e42c6faaa8e2796cfe
23/24 record: (97-76) Last bet: Micic u 11.5 points ✅️ 2 points Brunson o 29.5 points ❌️ 28 points in a B.O. Played 5 mins less than his season avg. Today: **Micic u 11.5 points** **Claxton o 10.5 rebounds** **Turner o 1.5 3PM** Adding: **Green u 6.5 assists** **Cunningham u 20.5 points**
Dorian Finney-Smith O14.5 O16.5 -114 PRA
https://preview.redd.it/i9k5l7ll3wqc1.png?width=4096&format=png&auto=webp&s=b5959649dcceddeb0a808a5c53029ee26b7e9d55
🫡
He’s back 🔥🔥🔥🙌🏾
https://preview.redd.it/hir2h8un3wqc1.png?width=1350&format=png&auto=webp&s=3779e31c2b3096184962aedeb6fe08cdf8044e2d
https://preview.redd.it/tzphr83p3wqc1.png?width=1463&format=png&auto=webp&s=ae23a93b797e55c4c77e7ff8afbecd5f0f9866da
A reminder also that many of these type of stats can be called out by game or stat type etc in the app Linemate. In case we have some newer folk here, sample below https://preview.redd.it/iyj5pth9dwqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b570212907c64b6284f99786733b000f066697bc
Anyone know what the odds were for Bam to hit a 3 last night? I keep forgetting to check it
I just looked on bettingpros.com and Bam hasn't had a single 3ptm prop all season
**Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 Points (-111)** Okay, so most of the things [I said yesterday](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/s/bSWNEsokxW)...except the opposite. As opposed to playing a road game (where SGA tends to score less) against a team that locks down PGs like New Orleans, tonight Shai will be facing a PG-lenient Houston defense instead. • In the range of minutes he's played in his L5 (30-38 mpg), SGA is 9/10 in his L10 and 4/5 in his L5 against this line at home. • In their L5, the Rockets have given up the 4th Most Points to PGs in the league (26.2 ppg), a number that actually rose in their L3 (29.0 ppg). • Admittedly, the majority of PGs the Rockets have gone up against in their L5 have still failed to beat their line but none of those guys are on the same level as SGA, nor are they given the opportunities to score that he is in terms of FGA. This game may not break Shai's road slump, but it should still get him back in the win column in terms of the books. Might still be a nail-biter though, given all the times he's finished with 31 Points on the dot. Line might periodically get knocked down to 29.5 over the course of the day, though. Any feedback is appreciated.
Shai Garbage-ass is cooked, his under been printing me money the last five days in a row. it’s more likely it could change today cause they playing the rockets but I’m still on the under let’s see yall come back here crying he didn’t hit, again 🙄
Lol bruh.. relax.
https://preview.redd.it/iruf7ve0cvqc1.jpeg?width=1072&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0f19dd8a69e23907b947b4dea3e2a72ad1460b9e
What app is this?
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it does not allow me to buy subscription tho
dope app
Thanks amigo
Shai's performance on B2B games, if anyone's interested. https://preview.redd.it/5cpqdzd7cvqc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=90fdc8a19d7413ef0fc348740976dccf6cf511a5
https://preview.redd.it/ctiqdyj1cvqc1.jpeg?width=581&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=912718feb003701b06e9b18f64d8cc204cd7e0d8
**Record:** 16-3 **Last Pick(s):** Dame Lillard over 30.5 P+A ✅ **Today’s Pick(s):** Nikola Vucevic over 10.5 reb **Odds:** -125 on DK, ESPN Bet, and BetMGM / -133 on Caesars / -128 on FD That was 100% luck last night lol. Very glad it hit and it was a good game too. I see ample opportunities for vuc to clear this line with how fast the Pacers play. They’re nothing special on the board either. BOL if tailing!
Return to us king
Season record: 25-19 Yesterday: 5 -4 Check out my blog for everyday full props analysis: [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-27032024.html](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/03/nba-players-props-analysis-27032024.html) At some point yesterday, I could see this as a sweep. Giannis and Draymond are obviously unlucky, and Zion and Fox are just playing well under their usual performance. **Recap of yesterday's pick (26/03/2024):** **1. Giannis Antetokounmpo O30.5P Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.9 Bet365 ❌** In a game of the season where Giannis played 46 minutes, but was 1/6 FT, and failed to score more than 6 points in nearly 20 minutes of playing time in the 4th and 2OT, it's just an unlucky day. **2. Giannis Antetokounmpo O47.5PRA Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅** Just like my prediction, Giannis has a lot of assist chances. He ended the night with 29/21/11. **3. Andrew Wiggins O10.5P Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.74 Bet365 ✅** 10.5 is too low for Wiggins, and tonight's performance from Wiggins proves that. He finishes with 17 points with efficient shooting. **4. Draymond Green O21.5 PRA Warriors @ Heat Odd 1.83 Sportsbet ❌** Draymond ended with 9/8/4. **5. Josh Giddey O14.5 PA Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.87 Sportsbet ✅** As expected, when Giddey gains his confidence back he is a stats filler. He scored 8 points in 1 minute today, and ended the night with 25/9/4 **6. Zion Williamson O6.5R Thunder @ Pelicans Odd 1.72 Sportsbet ❌** Zion was lazy today on the board in the second half. First half he grabs 4 rebounds, second half just one. **7. PJ Washington O11.5 PA Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.83 Bet365 ✅** PJ Washington played extremely well in the first quarter, ended with 14/13/2. **8. DeAaron Fox O26.5P Mavericks @ Kings Odd 1.96 Sportsbet ❌** Fox scored 14 points at half, continuing to score 4 points for the remainder of the night. **9. Giannis Antetokounmpo O0.5B Lakers @ Bucks Odd 1.6 Bet365 ✅** Giannis got this done halfway through the first quarter, and ended with 3 blocks **Tonight's NBA Props (Will keep updated):** **1. Lebron James O7.5R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 1.8 Sportsbet** With Lebron having a rest day plus all the starters played 40+ minutes, Lebron will most likely play a lot today. Would not be surprised if he can get 10 rebounds **2. Jaren Jackson Jr 6+R Lakers @ Grizzles Odd 2.0 Sportsbet** This odd is too good, for a center playing vs a fatigued Lakers squad. Shots are likely to be missed a lot and I would be very surprised if he cannot get 6 rebounds. I believe he would likely get 8-10 rebounds today. For 8+ rebounds odd is around 3.8 and for 10+ rebounds odd is around 8.5. **3. Josh Hart U13.5R Knicks @ Raptors Odd 1.9 Bet365** 13.5 is incredibly high for anyone who does not play center, even for Josh Hart's standard. ~~Raptors is actually a good team at not letting guards get rebounds, only allowing 5.14 rebounds per game for opponents' SG in the last 7 games.~~ Josh Hart plays as SF in the recent Knicks rotation, but I still believe 13.5 is still quite high. 11.5 would be a better prop for betting over. **4. James Harden O28.5 PRA Clippers @ 76ers Odd 1.86 Bet365** Against the former team, which Harden did not like too much, I expect Harden to be more involved today. 15/5/10 is achievable for the former MVP. **5. Myles Turner O22.5 PR Pacers @ Bulls Odd 1.86 Bet365** There have been some questionable performances from Vucevic recently, which I believe is an advantage for Turner. Also this season against the Bulls, Myles Turner is averaging 31.7 PR in 3 games. **6. Paulo Banchero 7+R Warriors @ Magic Odd 1.68 Bet365** GSW gives the most rebounds to opponents PF, at 13.45 rebounds per game. The last time they met this season, Banchero got 12 rebounds. Consider 8+, 10+ option if the odd is good but remember to minimize the stake. **7. Richaun Holmes 8+R Nets @ Wizards Odd 1.8 Tab** Just look at Holmes's stats last 4 games, he has been getting close to 30 minutes a game recently and is quite effective on the board as well. 10+ rebounds with the odd of 3.0 is also interesting **8. Michael Porter Jr U18.5P Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Sportsbet** Normally I would not bet under for MPJ but recently there has been a drop in his performance, which could have come from his brother's scandal. Just wish him all the best. But for now 18.5 is quite high, 16.5 would be more like 50/50 in my opinion. **Check out my blog for daily props analysis:** [https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/](https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/)
Updated: 9. Nikola Jokic O8.5A **Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.83 Bet365** With Murray out the offense will run through Jokic. This season without Jamal Murray Jokic is averaging over 10 assists. 10. Christian Braun O13.5 PRA **Suns @ Nuggets Odd 1.95 Tab** With Murray out Braun will score more playing time, most likely 25+mins. Braun is quite a good rebounder for a guard. 11. Grayson Allen O11.5P S**uns @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Sportsbet** Allen will see plenty of spacing this game. This game will be highly over 230 points and I believe Allen will score at least 2+ threes.
Just looked at the last game. He had 9 boards in 26 minutes. Tends to get more like 35 a night now. Could be close. It dropped to 12.5 for me. So I’m out. 13.5 seems high but who knows.
For Josh hart, it does seem like a high line but he’s the SF on the depth chart. Might want to give stats based on that position rather than SG spot
thanks for that, just edit the post now. I agree 13.5 still seems like a high line to achieve.
No problem. Thank you for posting the information
https://preview.redd.it/wxradf2v7tqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=a23f225250bd136624426cf877edffcc438b9055
thanks for this he's at 7 right now at halftime. gonna get tonights bullshit losses back with this one
https://preview.redd.it/yt9mtouv7tqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=99ae5a116f4898557ff52dc71a3a726b33e2e3bf
https://preview.redd.it/1l96e1qw7tqc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=b41a48599aa8bb0e180659af82ddf0b722f64dd6
Mr soap, do you have today's unders? much thx!!
What is the name of the app where you see the statistics?
Use Action it’s an app
Props.cash but isn’t free
Adding to Manuel, not entirely free, but they give you a couple of stats free if you don’t pay eg rebounds for alll games and RA for all games, so still worth having. Linemate is another that’s mostly free with some paid features
is it for europe? i have [props.cash](http://props.cash) but it does not let me buy subscription
Maybe contact support should work everywhere
Yeah I did send an email
Liking Kawhi over 23.5 pts, two straight losses, and his game history looks pretty consistent whenever he faces the same team he lost to earlier in the season, or in this case just two days ago.
**Record: 69-41** **Previously:** - Brook Lopez over 1.5 blks ❌ 0-1. Only had one play and it didn't hit. The game went to double OT and Brook didn't play in the extra time. **Todays Picks:** - Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 asts - Josh Hart under 13.5 rebs **might add more later** BOL
Richaun Holmes O7.5 Rebounds (free money)
💀
(free money)
Out with a toe injury
(free money)
How good are the nets on rebounding?
Is he expected to start again today?
I also put 3 units on his double double, he’s been getting major touches and minutes and doubled doubled last two times out
Yeah, the man is balling rn
I completely agree
My book doesn’t have the lines up yet but Lebron is getting his rebounds, he’s gonna play the 5 at some point tomorrow. Whether or not AD plays (he shouldn’t, he needs the rest but he’s been the man of steel lately), Lebron’s well rested and will be putting in WORK to pay back his guys back for winning a tough game he sat out. I’m looking for o7.5 but o8.5 is fine too.
**Last Picks** 1-1 ✅Jarrett Allen Under 31.5 PRA ❌SGA Over 30.5 **Today's Picks** **Tyrese Haliburton over 10.5 Assists (-140) Bet365** **1U** Hali averages 11.2 Assists this season. Hali is over this line 3/3 vs the Bulls averaging 15.7 Assists (13, 20, 14). Bulls allow the 5th most Assists to PG’s in the L7 and 6th most in the L15 games. Low blowout risk with a 2.5 Spread, Hali should have plenty of minutes to hit this line. **Gary Trent Jr Under 19.5 Points (-115) Bet365** **0.5U** Since the absence of Quickley, Trent has gone under this line 5/9 games. Knicks allow the 3rd least Points to SG’s in the L7 games, 4th least in the L15 games and 12th least this season. In his last 9 games Gary gets most of his points in Pull ups and C&S 3s. The Knicks allows the 8th least Pull ups in the L15 games and 11th least C&S 3s. High Blowout Risk with a 12.5 point spread. **Nic Claxton Over 10.5 Rebounds (-130) Bet365** **0.5U** Nic Claxton averages 10.8 Rebounds in his L5 games. Claxton has an average of 13.3 Rebounds vs the Wizards this season ( 13, 15, 12) Purely a match up play against the Wizards who are not good vs Centers this season. 2.5 Spread, Low Blowout risk, so plenty of time for Clax to exceed this line. **Jalen Duren 10 Points + 10 Rebounds (+120) Bet365** Those odds are insane for Duren who is a DD machine. Duren has a DD in 39/54 games this season. Timberwolves has struggled recently with the injury of KAT and are allowing the 11th most Points and 7th most Rebounds to Centers in the L15 games. Essentially playing these for the + Odds. **BOL**
**NBA '23-24: 155-108 (+27.81u)** **Last: 2-0 (+2.15u)** On the heater of a lifetime at the moment hitting 16 straight props posted on my twitter, lets keep the streak going tonight. 3/27 Picks: **Scoot Henderson O 5.5 ast (-110**) Simons out, Grant doubtful meaning Scoot should be the lead ball handler here. Avg 8.3 ast per 36 on an absurd 33% usg rate w/o Simons+Grant on the court. Over in 4/5 when Simons is out & he sees 28+ mins. Leads the team in potential ast since returning from injury, had 13 pot. in just 24 mins last game. ATL allows the 9th most ast to PG this year. **Desmond Bane O 17.5 pts (-125) -** 70% hit rate this season, MEM is ravaged by injuries & JJJ should have his hands full with AD so Bane should be the go to scorer. LAL allows the 6th most pts to SG this year, Bane had 24 on just 14 shots in their last matchup. LAL bottom 5 in def rating this month & are on a road B2B after a double OT win which should mean MEM could keep this one competitive. Edit Adding: **Lu Dort O 12.5 pts (-105) -** SGA out, w/o him on the floor Dort sees a 5% usg increase & avg 19.8 pts per 36. Since the start of last year he is over in 11/14 w/o SGA including a 29 pt game the one time Shai was out this year. O 12/16 w/ 10+ fga this year, has had 10+ fga in L 23/25 w/o Shai. [https://twitter.com/SammyGprops](https://twitter.com/SammyGprops)
40-24 Yesterday: 1/1 __DeAndre Ayton O19.5 P__, 1/1 vs the Hawks where he got 33 points, Anfernee Simons is out and Grant is doubtful so expect Ayton to be the main man, Over this line in 8/L10 games, Hawks middle of the rack in points allowed to C this season but I like this matchup still
Dk is 20.5, take it?
Yeah bro
Giannis has to have bet the under on himself. 3 missed lay ups and 2 missed FTs in OT 😂 black listed.
Yea fuck him, he was catering to Dame’s bullshit
Bro I’m sick reading some of these parlays man yesterday someone would’ve won 10 grand if he made at least one free throw 😭
Had Giannis O29.5 points… this mf had 29 points in double OT and missed both free throws 😐 Edit: Sheesh. Also had Middleton O20.5 PA, finished at 19 AND Gafford O11.5 pts, finishing with 10 points. Tough night.
Actually cant believe that Giannis shit man
Also he DREW the foul. He had an easy dunk and instead took the foul and missed the FT’s.
Same bro. Had it as part of a boosted parlay. FD limited me to $10 bet but still woulda 6x’d it
Won $800 on Trey Murphy over 5.5 rebound. He got 6 thank god.
Giddey o/10.5
I’m sweating this Giddey four assists rn