Derrick White with 2 meaningless assists with under 5 minutes remaining to go over 4.5 just stuck a dagger in me. Completely ruined a beautiful 5 leg worth more than I want to admit to. This one like physically hurt! You MF!
Few alt lines to make a satisfying- looking parlay. Shouldn’t be too hard to hit.
https://preview.redd.it/5u3zmcrvu3zc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c2167d9fc1f4bfcdcce6d19bc9b5c4fcbb5bde5e
Yea just wanted to play the DD for him but wasn’t available at the time for DK so ofcourse I go high & pick 25 pts & 8.5 rebounds which he clears easily so I dunno why he can’t get hot on the scoring
Ok degens or moderate gamblers, I come to you with ideas on how to flip your coin.
Chet over 8.5 rebounds, seemed to clear it in all previous matchups against Dallas
I like Lively to clear rebounds of 6.5 at plus odds, thought is Kleber is out and this yields more playing time and we saw what Jo Val could do on boards when pelicans were competing etc, lively comes off the bench, but very effective, points are intriguing but just doesn’t get enough shots or dunks etc to make me feel good ( love to hear opinions on this )
I like pj Washington over 10.5 points, not chasing his rebounds, special surprise on him at the end of my post
On to a money pick , hope I don’t jinx myself, kyrie over 9.5 RA , he has been rebounding well and I just feel like the shooting will be off from both sides a little tonight ( obviously we need assists also so not too much off ) could always opt for over 4.5 rebounds
Sprinkle time ,
The thunder give up more blocks per game than about half of the league, also Chet has been pretty aggressive. The data is not there to support this idea , but consider lively and Chet to surpass their block projections. Reasons why to pursue an alt line on blocks for Chet, Kleber not there to space the Floor and is a starter.
For Boston game I like Tatum over 8.5 boards,
Do not like chasing Mobley for blocks as Boston is one of the least blocked teams and won’t need to force anything , except good shooting and probably a calm flow offensively from Celtics
If you like most of this upvote , like, comment tail
And for some bang for your buck pj Washington first 3 , shoots a good bit of them and early. He is playing better and wants to come out with a bang
Came back to say thank you for this write up!!! Didn’t put big money down but placed a bet on first basket PJ 3 and it hit! Not sure what is taking FanDuel so long to pay out but thanks!!!
https://preview.redd.it/pcltd4eeo4zc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c60224d1072a82e1528e317eaacfae1eecc2a335
You are welcome, sometimes we when research, watching games, and other things line up , we get good feelings, I’m always optimistic about my regular prop bets, but then the game starts and things can change quickly. This was a fun outcome!
https://preview.redd.it/0awbgno104zc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5356f50ba15208b70599df85931ea72ccbdaa702
wow cant believe that shit actually hit good shit!!
Mine was at +500 but happy , i locked it in early as i overthink things , i have started watching more of these teams on the opening 3 minutes etc. I also look at 3 attempts per game, and then for choosing the actual game, what two teams are better at 3s so I can get back my coin if I don’t hit , today was our day, I ll try again in a week or so lol , positive vibes
Every dog has his day, learning to trust my instinct more, been following a lot of users on here and wanted to contribute my thoughts on days I actually have time to research and also matchups i feel confident about. Hoping this game has some more fortune for us in it . Thanks for the shout outs ! I appreciate everyone that contributes on here !
Had a strong feeling about it and had seen another user mention he was leaning that way also and i immediately locked it in , to stop the overthinking, went back and gave him a shout out for the added confidence. It’s truly a team effort around here .
**Yesterday's Picks 2-2**
✅ Myles Turner Over 16.5 Points
✅ Jalen Brunson Under 8.5 Assists
❌ Jaden McDaniels Over 12.5 PR
❌Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 Rebounds.
**Today's Picks**
**Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Assists -130 B365**
Luka has averaged the **MOST** Assists in the Playoffs. Averaging **9.5** APG on **16.3** pAST.
Luka has been averaging **13.5** APG on **24.5** pAST vs OKC this season.
OKC allows the **MOST FGA** from the Corner 3 in the Playoffs. This is great because when Luka drives, the defense tend to help a lot on him. This will lead to a lot of drive kick outs to the open corner guy where Luka makes **45%** of his passes from.
Also, the last time they played each other, Luka had **4/9** assists coming from Alley-Oop passes. I expect Luka to take advantage of the lack of size in OKC and have some easy assists to his lob threats tonight.
Luka is **1/2** vs OKC this season with one game having 18 assists and the other games was a blowout finishing with 9 assists.
Luka will be guarded by Lu Dort who is a tough matchup for everybody and I expect Doncic to pass the ball even more.
Luka has been averaging **42.5** MPG in the Playoffs and I expect around the same tonight.
**Probably my only play tonight**
**Good Luck!**
DK got me feeling spicy with 2 No Sweat promos. One up to $25 and the other $100.
Edit: Looks like Jarret Allen is confirmed out btw.
Edit 2: ESPN pump faked with their reporting, but I'm seeing Allen is for sure out across a handful places - along with Porzy.
**Anybody liking Mobley's rebound or point lines now? I am really liking the blocks.**
https://preview.redd.it/zluscls3u2zc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5b610cd50eef59d77137c14d5526ea1e6426b51d
Never mind - ESPN is trying to bamboozle us. Icon indicates out, but description says Q
Would've taken it but Mitchell is ball hogging ... in the last 5 matchs Garland has an average of 4,2 3PA per match ..
You need a 50 % 3p shooting night ..
https://preview.redd.it/63mhf91yx1zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94d019af69b3cb00be5dea7252dd5d36abc970d7
Which of these do you guys think is the best to pick? Can only choose one.
Hey those look like the chalkboard promos and I just wanted to tell you that you can use them all you just can’t use each one more than once. Hope this helps and BOL!
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.7.24
https://preview.redd.it/ogm9e01171zc1.jpeg?width=1663&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=10523eb094a6ca8b4aa8f5c4c1e90dc0f0040a0b
LAST 5 GAMES
I wouldn't trust the Horford lines for today, Porzingis is out and Horford will see an increase in minutes and ball time. I'm waiting until game 1 to see how they play him to see about his unders.
Check out my blog for most updated analysis (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-07052024.html
Season record: 187-178
Last picks record: 4-12
Recap of last picks (06/05/2024):
1. Jaden Mcdaniels O3.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes❌
2. Karl Anthony Towns O25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅
3. Michael Porter Jr O6.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes❌
4. Myles Turner O16.5P Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅
5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 2.02 Ladbrokes❌
6. Pascal Siakam O27.5PR Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌
7. Christain Braun O7.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.08 Sportsbet❌
8. Jamal Murray O22.5P Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.96❌
9. Donte DiVincenzo O3.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.78 Sportsbet❌
10. Jalen Brunson U48.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.86 Bet365❌
11. Myles Turner O1.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.95 Bet365✅
12. TJ McConnell O3.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.76 Bet365❌
13. Total points O205.5 Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Unibet❌
14. Mike Conley O19.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌
15. Nikola Jokic O50.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌
16. Rudy Gobert U12.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes (VOID)
17. Rudy Gobert U25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes (VOID)
18. Hartenstein O21.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.83 Sportsbet✅
Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated)
1. Luguentz Dort O5.5RA Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.76 Bet365
OKC needs Dort to defend Mavs guards. He needs to play more than 30 minutes. Lu Dort and Jalen Williams will play a huge role in slowing down Luka and Kyrie.
2. Josh Green O4.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 2.0 Bet365
I think Josh Green may see some playing time as Mavs might need someone to contain Shai, along with DJJ. In the regular season, Josh Green has guarded Shai very well, and I expect him to see more playing time for this season.
3. Daniel Gafford O14.5PR Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.71 Bet365
There is no doubt Gafford can overpower Chet in the paint. In their past matchups, Gafford average around 16/11 against Chet.

4. Evan Mobley O12.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.86 Sportsbet
I don't expect Allen will play this game unless he is 100% healthy. KP is also out so Mobley will match up with Al Horford, who is experienced but Mobley has some advantages like athleticism and size that can help him score more than 12.5 against an older Horford.
5. Derrick Jones Jr O8.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.8 Sportsbet
Like 2, the key for the Mavs is to defend Shai. If they can contain Shai, the Mavs will very likely win the series without sweat. DJJ will play a big role in defending Shai. Also, Shai will most likely be DJJ's main defender, and in my opinion, Shai is not as great of a defender as his steals/ blocks stats show.
6. Jrue Holiday O4.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
Jrue will likely play 33+ minutes this game and he will be the main defender on Mitchell. With that, 5 rebounds is not a high mark to pass.
7. Kyrie Irving O4.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes
Irving's rebounding numbers are 7/6/4/7/4/6 this playoffs and the top is just at 4.5. He will likely play 40+ minutes this game, as it is expected to be a close game.
8. Jalen Williams O5.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 2.2 Bet365
Chet will have a hard time guarding Mavericks center and I believe other players might benefit from this.
9. Derrick Lively O14.5PR Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.95 Ladbrokes
Same as Gafford, they share similar minutes and Chet may face foul trouble this game.
10. Shai Gilgeous Alexander O27.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Shai is the main player on offense by a large margin. He needs to score well for them to win against the Mavs ' firepower.
11. Donovan Mitchell U27.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.96 Sportsbet
Mitchell scored 50 in his last playoffs game and he averaged 30 points on 50% shooting this season against the Celtics. But I think this number has been inflated. It's the playoffs so it's very unlikely Mitchell will shoot 50% FG. Also the rotation of Holiday, Brown, and White will guard him all game, and they all are very good defenders. I expect the Celtics will shut Mitchell down and have a blowout game early.
12. Chet Holmgren O8.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes
Chet's rebounding numbers against the Mavs are great, and I expect him to play 30+ minutes this game. OKC needs Chet to defend well, without Chet, OKC will have a lot of work to guard lob threats.
To see all my posts and results, check out my blog: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
13. Isaac Okoro O7.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 2.02 sportsbet
Cavs need Okoro on the floor to defense. He is the top 2 defender on the team for now, I expect him to play around 30 minutes this game.
14. Isaac Okoro O2.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.74 sportsbet
Same as 13.
77-54
Yesterday: 2/2 🧹
__Jayson Tatum O9.5 Rebs__ ✅
__Daniel Gafford O16.5 PRA__ ✅
__Jaylen Brown O2.5 Ast__
Short write ups, Tatum is over in 5/L5 against the Cavs
Jaylen Brown is over in 9 straight career games
Chet struggles against bigger physical Centers, Gafford is also over in 2/2 against OKC as a Maverick, 19P & 9 Rebs & 19P & 15 Rebs his two games against OKC. Also over in 2/2 as a Wizard, makes him 4/4 against OKC
https://preview.redd.it/vmkwg06o50zc1.png?width=1179&format=png&auto=webp&s=b9cd54282b591d030739fe1441e8343d5713dc36
Small lotto.
*edit*
I’m not sure if you can call this your typical lotto, it’s +1600 before the boost, but all these legs aren’t even that crazy.
Unfortunately there is a little data that has all these players playing in the same game….(one game) in this one game, the mavs blew out the thunder 146-111. Every player averaged less minutes in this game than they usually play. Keep that in mind
But in this game, Shai had 25 points Luka had 32 points and 9 boards, Chet had 12 boards And Irving combined for 39 PRA.
Current parlay only hit 3/5.
In the previous game they played, thunder won 125-120 without Irving.
Shai played 39 minutes, but again missed 30 points only scoring 17… Chet had 11 boards And Luka went 36-15
In the game BEFORE that,
Neither Irving or Chet played
But Shai had 42 And Luka went 38-11
To wrap this All up,
It’s still a risk, but I think it’s a good risk, minutes will be played, stars will have to show up. It’s not much data to go off of, but that can work in our favor! Maybe game 2, this pays +1000 instead. lol
Good luck, have fun.
The hot streak came to end, 4-5 on the plays yesterday, forced a few of them that I really didn’t care for too much that ended up losing, 5-4 if you took nembhard points instead of pra
Og over 16.5 points ❌ even said this number was high for his points, should’ve done pra for him
Hartenstein over 9.5 rebounds ❌ bad bet, looked good early but didn’t finish close at all
Nembhard over 17.5 pra ❌ one short, could’ve easily got this if he wasn’t in foul trouble, missed some wide open shots as well
MPJ over 26.5 PRA ❌ Nuggets are fraudulent, really disappointed about this one, way off.
Pascal Siakam over 20.5 points ❌ 2 points under, 2 missed free throws as well…
Brunson under 8.5 assists ✅ number was simply way too high for him, knew he’d hog the ball the whole game. Was surprised he had more than 5 tbh
Josh Hart over 32.5 PRA ✅ this number dropped down to 30.5, a lot of people took his under on him. He plays nearly the entire game, this was way too easy. Hes really a stud for the knicks
Obi Toppin over 9.5 points ✅ this was a really popular pick yesterday as well, we’re not gonna get a line this low again on Obi unless he puts up a 4 point game or something.
KAT over 17.5 ✅ this was another free one especially after gobert got ruled out
NBA Prop record 15-6
Will reply to this with todays picks
Todays plays
Kyrie over 34.5 PRA - I expect him to get over 40
Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points
Jarrett Allen over 14.5 points
Jalen Williams over 4.5 assists
Not official plays that I recommend you put your money but here are some extra ones that I bet, tail with caution if you’d like
Derrick lively over 15.5 PRA
Chet holgren under 8.5 rebounds
Derrick white over 15.5 points
Max strus over 9.5 points
Bro that 5-4 yesterday was CRAZY Nuggets didn’t even try but it is what it is. Keep it up I’ve been tailing and will continue the streak will start again 🐐🐐🐐
Liking Struss O 9.5 (has definitely slumped to finish the season but Cavs need him to hit some shots, last 3 has hit this line).
Derick Jones Jr O 8.5 (averages 14 vs okc, passed this in his last 5 games).
Chet O 1.5 3s (he shoots a lot of them, passed this in 2/4, but shot no less than 4 threes in his last 4, shooting 6,6,4,7 attempts in his recent)
Open to discussion
I really need to stick to my so called research, once I begin making a slip I add a ton of random stuff
**Record: 100-54**
**Previously:**
- Jalen Brunson under 13.5 asts + rebs ✅
1-0 day and win #100! Let's go man! Brunson finishes with 12 asts + rebs. I hope this line stays the same for game 2.
**Todays Picks:**
- Daniel Gafford over 8.5 pts
**Playoff prop lines are so tight IMO, not sure if I'll add more**
BOL
Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Jamal o3.5reb✅
Brunson u13.5RA✅
Jokic o8.5A❌ (lol hooked at 8, what a shitty game)
Nesmith u4.5reb❌
McConnell o3.5A❌(got 3 in the first half lol)
2-3, stay tuned.
Imagine if Gobert was in. Wtf is Jamal doing??
Go Nuggets 🙄
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 kyrie.
https://preview.redd.it/dirg7flao4zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=364d4f875af14d751b87d94493e75728c581c176
https://preview.redd.it/55j6bccbo4zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5c702f026c5213f4417164252cd829d8174d8f3a
Why did I follow Holmgren boards. Fucker wanted none of that.
damn that game really sucked for props
Doncic looks lost tonight
Who else got destroyed by Luka not only in points but being off so Dallas gets olbiterated in the scoreline as well
He busted my ticket. and I thought he was the “safe” option 😑
luka is a fat POS
Need 2 more points from Derrick Jones Jr. to cash my +3400 😅
Bro the one time I go Luka over points he shits the bed I’ve been so unlucky lately
He looked injured
Shai o11.5RA✅
kyrie o9.5 ra not lookin good
That was my most confident prop yesterday, sorry it did not hit , smh ,
I needed 7 RA for a $400 payout ahaha what a fraud
Cooked, fml. Needed him for the sweep tonight lol
Chet is soft as fuck
Terrible game to bet Jesus Christ
Giddey cmon bro !!!
Brunson pt line at 37.5 tmrw lmao
Here comes second half Kyrie. His over under is 13.5 pts for the half. Yes sir I'll take that.
Derrick White with 2 meaningless assists with under 5 minutes remaining to go over 4.5 just stuck a dagger in me. Completely ruined a beautiful 5 leg worth more than I want to admit to. This one like physically hurt! You MF!
Need more Chet boards bru
I think Mobley had a block that went unrecorded
Cool Jalen Williams is just doing cardio today 👍
I wanna know what Kyrie has against scoring in the first half man🤣🤦🏽♂️
I m needing points and assists from him , my go to pick today and not looking good, hope you have been doing well man
Same to you man, many wins to come 🥳
lol
I hope someone is working out whether Gafford rebounded that ball before the 1Q buzzer
Here we go again with Kyrie. Please explode from 2nd qtr and dont make us sweat the last qtr
Point shaving at its finest
I thought I’d go against the grain but nope, Luka still dominates the first quarter and Kyrie does absolutely nothing.
Yall convinced me gafford double double +550
Few alt lines to make a satisfying- looking parlay. Shouldn’t be too hard to hit. https://preview.redd.it/5u3zmcrvu3zc1.jpeg?width=1290&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c2167d9fc1f4bfcdcce6d19bc9b5c4fcbb5bde5e
Except holmgren wont grab a board to save his life
Playing Shai o11.5RA, Kyrie o9.5RA Bring it home boys
I think you've got to take a punt at Jal. Williams O5.5 Rebounds @2.15 odds.
🐖 Record: 16-12 DAL +4.5
Mobley u2.5blk✅ D White u8.5RA✅ 4-0 so far tonight, much needed after last week
Pritchard o12.5PRA✅
This is why Garland is banned for life.
He’s so fucking bad
Mobley is a garbage time merchant 😭
Low props are such a trap. Brown O2.5 Assists and Okoro O2.5 Rebounds
Derrick White over is cheat code bruv get buckets easy.
Tatum, why u suck at scoring all of a sudden?
I fucking knew he would fuck my lay as I was looking into him. But also thought he’s due for a big game smh
I keep playing him. Keep playing him. Disappointment after disappointment. As soon as I stop playing him he’ll have 48 points. I can’t win.
Yea just wanted to play the DD for him but wasn’t available at the time for DK so ofcourse I go high & pick 25 pts & 8.5 rebounds which he clears easily so I dunno why he can’t get hot on the scoring
I just went for Luka to be top scorer (-120).🤞
CASH GARLAND O1.5 3PM
2/8 from 3? Kid sucks. Terrible play.
cry about it buddy. he has cleared the line 10 games in a row against the celtics.
Even a blind squirrel finds a nut every once in awhile. Happy for your $20 return little bro. Note: Don’t delete comments, you’ll be okay :(
nice one bud 😂
Horford o2.5A✅
Derek White getting a block?
Also adding Pritchard o12.5PRA
Playing Mobley u2.5blk, D White u8.5RA, Horford o2.5A
Damn bro you're off to a great start.
About time lol the cold streak has been awful
Yeah damn I'm itching to break mine gonna have a go at it tomorrow I think.
Ok degens or moderate gamblers, I come to you with ideas on how to flip your coin. Chet over 8.5 rebounds, seemed to clear it in all previous matchups against Dallas I like Lively to clear rebounds of 6.5 at plus odds, thought is Kleber is out and this yields more playing time and we saw what Jo Val could do on boards when pelicans were competing etc, lively comes off the bench, but very effective, points are intriguing but just doesn’t get enough shots or dunks etc to make me feel good ( love to hear opinions on this ) I like pj Washington over 10.5 points, not chasing his rebounds, special surprise on him at the end of my post On to a money pick , hope I don’t jinx myself, kyrie over 9.5 RA , he has been rebounding well and I just feel like the shooting will be off from both sides a little tonight ( obviously we need assists also so not too much off ) could always opt for over 4.5 rebounds Sprinkle time , The thunder give up more blocks per game than about half of the league, also Chet has been pretty aggressive. The data is not there to support this idea , but consider lively and Chet to surpass their block projections. Reasons why to pursue an alt line on blocks for Chet, Kleber not there to space the Floor and is a starter. For Boston game I like Tatum over 8.5 boards, Do not like chasing Mobley for blocks as Boston is one of the least blocked teams and won’t need to force anything , except good shooting and probably a calm flow offensively from Celtics If you like most of this upvote , like, comment tail And for some bang for your buck pj Washington first 3 , shoots a good bit of them and early. He is playing better and wants to come out with a bang
Came back to say thank you for this write up!!! Didn’t put big money down but placed a bet on first basket PJ 3 and it hit! Not sure what is taking FanDuel so long to pay out but thanks!!! https://preview.redd.it/pcltd4eeo4zc1.jpeg?width=1125&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c60224d1072a82e1528e317eaacfae1eecc2a335
You are welcome, sometimes we when research, watching games, and other things line up , we get good feelings, I’m always optimistic about my regular prop bets, but then the game starts and things can change quickly. This was a fun outcome!
https://preview.redd.it/0awbgno104zc1.jpeg?width=1179&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5356f50ba15208b70599df85931ea72ccbdaa702 wow cant believe that shit actually hit good shit!!
Nice dude!! I had him for threesday as well! Cash money!!
Mine was at +500 but happy , i locked it in early as i overthink things , i have started watching more of these teams on the opening 3 minutes etc. I also look at 3 attempts per game, and then for choosing the actual game, what two teams are better at 3s so I can get back my coin if I don’t hit , today was our day, I ll try again in a week or so lol , positive vibes
I tailed pj - nice one big dawg. Keep crushing it
Every dog has his day, learning to trust my instinct more, been following a lot of users on here and wanted to contribute my thoughts on days I actually have time to research and also matchups i feel confident about. Hoping this game has some more fortune for us in it . Thanks for the shout outs ! I appreciate everyone that contributes on here !
Nah that was sick fr
YO PJ BRO THANKS 🫶🏽🫶🏽🫶🏽🫶🏽🫶🏽
Had a strong feeling about it and had seen another user mention he was leaning that way also and i immediately locked it in , to stop the overthinking, went back and gave him a shout out for the added confidence. It’s truly a team effort around here .
Any one like Dort 2+ threes?
Trying to find one or two other props to parlay with it….
Kinda like giddy reb+ast
Luka SGA 25+ each +100 boost on fanduel
Tailing this one, not that it’s a prediction per se, but like the value.
Over/ under 2.5 posts complaining about Tatum tonight on r/sportsbetting?? I say over.
Big smash on that over
**Yesterday's Picks 2-2** ✅ Myles Turner Over 16.5 Points ✅ Jalen Brunson Under 8.5 Assists ❌ Jaden McDaniels Over 12.5 PR ❌Anthony Edwards Over 5.5 Rebounds. **Today's Picks** **Luka Doncic Over 9.5 Assists -130 B365** Luka has averaged the **MOST** Assists in the Playoffs. Averaging **9.5** APG on **16.3** pAST. Luka has been averaging **13.5** APG on **24.5** pAST vs OKC this season. OKC allows the **MOST FGA** from the Corner 3 in the Playoffs. This is great because when Luka drives, the defense tend to help a lot on him. This will lead to a lot of drive kick outs to the open corner guy where Luka makes **45%** of his passes from. Also, the last time they played each other, Luka had **4/9** assists coming from Alley-Oop passes. I expect Luka to take advantage of the lack of size in OKC and have some easy assists to his lob threats tonight. Luka is **1/2** vs OKC this season with one game having 18 assists and the other games was a blowout finishing with 9 assists. Luka will be guarded by Lu Dort who is a tough matchup for everybody and I expect Doncic to pass the ball even more. Luka has been averaging **42.5** MPG in the Playoffs and I expect around the same tonight. **Probably my only play tonight** **Good Luck!**
Who shoots most corner 3s for the Mavs
PJ Washington
Mcdaniels man, so inconsistent
I swear bro
DK got me feeling spicy with 2 No Sweat promos. One up to $25 and the other $100. Edit: Looks like Jarret Allen is confirmed out btw. Edit 2: ESPN pump faked with their reporting, but I'm seeing Allen is for sure out across a handful places - along with Porzy. **Anybody liking Mobley's rebound or point lines now? I am really liking the blocks.**
Where? I see Q everywhere
https://preview.redd.it/zluscls3u2zc1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=5b610cd50eef59d77137c14d5526ea1e6426b51d Never mind - ESPN is trying to bamboozle us. Icon indicates out, but description says Q
out, espn just knew
Am I crazy to do under 3.5 threes for Luka? He hasn't been hitting more than 3 in majority of playoffs
Looking good at this point.
Not crazy but his volume will always be there and never know when he will get hot
darius garland o1.5 3pm 🔒
I took his over 15.5
Would've taken it but Mitchell is ball hogging ... in the last 5 matchs Garland has an average of 4,2 3PA per match .. You need a 50 % 3p shooting night ..
https://preview.redd.it/63mhf91yx1zc1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=94d019af69b3cb00be5dea7252dd5d36abc970d7 Which of these do you guys think is the best to pick? Can only choose one.
Hey those look like the chalkboard promos and I just wanted to tell you that you can use them all you just can’t use each one more than once. Hope this helps and BOL!
Luka. Shai next
Doncic for sure. He hovers around 48-52. I've taken his under five days in a row and its cashed by 1 or 2, line being at 53.5 or 52.5.
NBA PROP STREAKS AND HIT RATES 🔥 5.7.24 https://preview.redd.it/ogm9e01171zc1.jpeg?width=1663&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=10523eb094a6ca8b4aa8f5c4c1e90dc0f0040a0b LAST 5 GAMES
Tailing
I wouldn't trust the Horford lines for today, Porzingis is out and Horford will see an increase in minutes and ball time. I'm waiting until game 1 to see how they play him to see about his unders.
🫡 Understood. In Goobus we trust.
Although all of his unders you posted hit, I’d still be cautious to take them. He shot 3-7 and 1-5 from 3 today… 1 3PTM and most of his overs hit.
https://preview.redd.it/dh9r1um471zc1.jpeg?width=1675&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=3eb48406da0f940235e30c22ef2d1730b8502c38 LAST 10 GAMES
https://preview.redd.it/k79emqz571zc1.jpeg?width=1674&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=43afd5166d892b3aea94c40b60573191ecdf2bf8 LAST 15 GAMES
Check out my blog for most updated analysis (always updated before reddit): https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com/2024/05/nba-players-props-analysis-07052024.html Season record: 187-178 Last picks record: 4-12 Recap of last picks (06/05/2024): 1. Jaden Mcdaniels O3.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.75 Ladbrokes❌ 2. Karl Anthony Towns O25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.85 Ladbrokes ✅ 3. Michael Porter Jr O6.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Ladbrokes❌ 4. Myles Turner O16.5P Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.82 Ladbrokes✅ 5. Pascal Siakam O7.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 2.02 Ladbrokes❌ 6. Pascal Siakam O27.5PR Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌ 7. Christain Braun O7.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 2.08 Sportsbet❌ 8. Jamal Murray O22.5P Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.96❌ 9. Donte DiVincenzo O3.5R Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.78 Sportsbet❌ 10. Jalen Brunson U48.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.86 Bet365❌ 11. Myles Turner O1.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.95 Bet365✅ 12. TJ McConnell O3.5A Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.76 Bet365❌ 13. Total points O205.5 Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Unibet❌ 14. Mike Conley O19.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌ 15. Nikola Jokic O50.5PRA Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.8 Sportsbet❌ 16. Rudy Gobert U12.5R Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes (VOID) 17. Rudy Gobert U25.5PR Timberwolves @ Nuggets Odd 1.87 Ladbrokes (VOID) 18. Hartenstein O21.5PRA Pacers @ Knicks Odd 1.83 Sportsbet✅ Tonight's NBA Props (To be updated) 1. Luguentz Dort O5.5RA Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.76 Bet365 OKC needs Dort to defend Mavs guards. He needs to play more than 30 minutes. Lu Dort and Jalen Williams will play a huge role in slowing down Luka and Kyrie. 2. Josh Green O4.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 2.0 Bet365 I think Josh Green may see some playing time as Mavs might need someone to contain Shai, along with DJJ. In the regular season, Josh Green has guarded Shai very well, and I expect him to see more playing time for this season. 3. Daniel Gafford O14.5PR Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.71 Bet365 There is no doubt Gafford can overpower Chet in the paint. In their past matchups, Gafford average around 16/11 against Chet.  4. Evan Mobley O12.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.86 Sportsbet I don't expect Allen will play this game unless he is 100% healthy. KP is also out so Mobley will match up with Al Horford, who is experienced but Mobley has some advantages like athleticism and size that can help him score more than 12.5 against an older Horford. 5. Derrick Jones Jr O8.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.8 Sportsbet Like 2, the key for the Mavs is to defend Shai. If they can contain Shai, the Mavs will very likely win the series without sweat. DJJ will play a big role in defending Shai. Also, Shai will most likely be DJJ's main defender, and in my opinion, Shai is not as great of a defender as his steals/ blocks stats show. 6. Jrue Holiday O4.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes Jrue will likely play 33+ minutes this game and he will be the main defender on Mitchell. With that, 5 rebounds is not a high mark to pass. 7. Kyrie Irving O4.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.78 Ladbrokes Irving's rebounding numbers are 7/6/4/7/4/6 this playoffs and the top is just at 4.5. He will likely play 40+ minutes this game, as it is expected to be a close game. 8. Jalen Williams O5.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 2.2 Bet365 Chet will have a hard time guarding Mavericks center and I believe other players might benefit from this. 9. Derrick Lively O14.5PR Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.95 Ladbrokes Same as Gafford, they share similar minutes and Chet may face foul trouble this game. 10. Shai Gilgeous Alexander O27.5P Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Shai is the main player on offense by a large margin. He needs to score well for them to win against the Mavs ' firepower. 11. Donovan Mitchell U27.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.96 Sportsbet Mitchell scored 50 in his last playoffs game and he averaged 30 points on 50% shooting this season against the Celtics. But I think this number has been inflated. It's the playoffs so it's very unlikely Mitchell will shoot 50% FG. Also the rotation of Holiday, Brown, and White will guard him all game, and they all are very good defenders. I expect the Celtics will shut Mitchell down and have a blowout game early. 12. Chet Holmgren O8.5R Mavericks @ Thunder Odd 1.83 Ladbrokes Chet's rebounding numbers against the Mavs are great, and I expect him to play 30+ minutes this game. OKC needs Chet to defend well, without Chet, OKC will have a lot of work to guard lob threats. To see all my posts and results, check out my blog: https://sportsenthusiastanalyst.blogspot.com
13. Isaac Okoro O7.5P Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 2.02 sportsbet Cavs need Okoro on the floor to defense. He is the top 2 defender on the team for now, I expect him to play around 30 minutes this game. 14. Isaac Okoro O2.5R Cavaliers @ Celtics Odd 1.74 sportsbet Same as 13.
[удалено]
Jalen Williams assists gotta be a lock
Same with kyrie
😭😭😭
Tailed🤙🏽
Record 4-1 Derrick White O15.5 pts Max Strus U5.5 ast
1x bet have this line
https://preview.redd.it/q14sx38cj0zc1.jpeg?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=0463233e9b81cc3e2d73ad6563edc161a8834123
Struss under is -1200 bro
Bro doesn’t gamble, he invests
Where’d you get under 5.5 assists?
77-54 Yesterday: 2/2 🧹 __Jayson Tatum O9.5 Rebs__ ✅ __Daniel Gafford O16.5 PRA__ ✅ __Jaylen Brown O2.5 Ast__ Short write ups, Tatum is over in 5/L5 against the Cavs Jaylen Brown is over in 9 straight career games Chet struggles against bigger physical Centers, Gafford is also over in 2/2 against OKC as a Maverick, 19P & 9 Rebs & 19P & 15 Rebs his two games against OKC. Also over in 2/2 as a Wizard, makes him 4/4 against OKC
Cash Gafford ✅
Nice call, Billy C! I took it at 14.5 right after tip on DK, no sweat at all!
Awesome bro that was free 🤝🤝🍻
Red hot beautiful Tatum shit bro, at + odds even better.
https://preview.redd.it/zlvxk0mgn3zc1.png?width=1283&format=png&auto=webp&s=275641c3534102942316e9850eed0b40a56af6e9 One more assist plz 🥲
🙏🙏😭 Pritchard bricked 2 shots from passes by him
White bricked 2 in the first half off his passes too 🫠
Smh yeah hopefully game stays close
Cash Tatum ✅ Need 1 JB Assist
=what do you mean? JB has gone over in last 2/5 games
Against the Cavs..
Worried about that one since it always felt like half of his assists were from porzingis p/r but BOL everybody
I got smoked last night, that stunk
https://preview.redd.it/vmkwg06o50zc1.png?width=1179&format=png&auto=webp&s=b9cd54282b591d030739fe1441e8343d5713dc36 Small lotto. *edit* I’m not sure if you can call this your typical lotto, it’s +1600 before the boost, but all these legs aren’t even that crazy. Unfortunately there is a little data that has all these players playing in the same game….(one game) in this one game, the mavs blew out the thunder 146-111. Every player averaged less minutes in this game than they usually play. Keep that in mind But in this game, Shai had 25 points Luka had 32 points and 9 boards, Chet had 12 boards And Irving combined for 39 PRA. Current parlay only hit 3/5. In the previous game they played, thunder won 125-120 without Irving. Shai played 39 minutes, but again missed 30 points only scoring 17… Chet had 11 boards And Luka went 36-15 In the game BEFORE that, Neither Irving or Chet played But Shai had 42 And Luka went 38-11 To wrap this All up, It’s still a risk, but I think it’s a good risk, minutes will be played, stars will have to show up. It’s not much data to go off of, but that can work in our favor! Maybe game 2, this pays +1000 instead. lol Good luck, have fun.
This is some crazy risk downplay for a 5 leg +2000 lmao
It’s not a crazy parlay tho. Biggest risk is Shai lol
The hot streak came to end, 4-5 on the plays yesterday, forced a few of them that I really didn’t care for too much that ended up losing, 5-4 if you took nembhard points instead of pra Og over 16.5 points ❌ even said this number was high for his points, should’ve done pra for him Hartenstein over 9.5 rebounds ❌ bad bet, looked good early but didn’t finish close at all Nembhard over 17.5 pra ❌ one short, could’ve easily got this if he wasn’t in foul trouble, missed some wide open shots as well MPJ over 26.5 PRA ❌ Nuggets are fraudulent, really disappointed about this one, way off. Pascal Siakam over 20.5 points ❌ 2 points under, 2 missed free throws as well… Brunson under 8.5 assists ✅ number was simply way too high for him, knew he’d hog the ball the whole game. Was surprised he had more than 5 tbh Josh Hart over 32.5 PRA ✅ this number dropped down to 30.5, a lot of people took his under on him. He plays nearly the entire game, this was way too easy. Hes really a stud for the knicks Obi Toppin over 9.5 points ✅ this was a really popular pick yesterday as well, we’re not gonna get a line this low again on Obi unless he puts up a 4 point game or something. KAT over 17.5 ✅ this was another free one especially after gobert got ruled out NBA Prop record 15-6 Will reply to this with todays picks
Todays plays Kyrie over 34.5 PRA - I expect him to get over 40 Jayson Tatum under 27.5 points Jarrett Allen over 14.5 points Jalen Williams over 4.5 assists
Not official plays that I recommend you put your money but here are some extra ones that I bet, tail with caution if you’d like Derrick lively over 15.5 PRA Chet holgren under 8.5 rebounds Derrick white over 15.5 points Max strus over 9.5 points
Derrick White’s PRA line is 24.5
I meant to put points
Bro that 5-4 yesterday was CRAZY Nuggets didn’t even try but it is what it is. Keep it up I’ve been tailing and will continue the streak will start again 🐐🐐🐐
Gafford over 5.5 rebounds, Giddey Under 6.5 rebounds Thinking parlay these 2
Liking Struss O 9.5 (has definitely slumped to finish the season but Cavs need him to hit some shots, last 3 has hit this line). Derick Jones Jr O 8.5 (averages 14 vs okc, passed this in his last 5 games). Chet O 1.5 3s (he shoots a lot of them, passed this in 2/4, but shot no less than 4 threes in his last 4, shooting 6,6,4,7 attempts in his recent) Open to discussion I really need to stick to my so called research, once I begin making a slip I add a ton of random stuff
I’m on strus 9.5 as well. Always sweaty because he barely goes over but if he’s over he’s over
Is Allen out? Strus put up 25 points in four games with Allen (7, 7, 4, 7). He put up 39 in three games without (16, 10, 13).
Good catch there - Im pretty sure Allen is playing.
Just announced he’s out tonight.
**Record: 100-54** **Previously:** - Jalen Brunson under 13.5 asts + rebs ✅ 1-0 day and win #100! Let's go man! Brunson finishes with 12 asts + rebs. I hope this line stays the same for game 2. **Todays Picks:** - Daniel Gafford over 8.5 pts **Playoff prop lines are so tight IMO, not sure if I'll add more** BOL Tip Jar [Ko-Fi/Paypal](https://ko-fi.com/noguide23)
Glad you're back!
First half cash! Let's goooo
Jamal o3.5reb✅ Brunson u13.5RA✅ Jokic o8.5A❌ (lol hooked at 8, what a shitty game) Nesmith u4.5reb❌ McConnell o3.5A❌(got 3 in the first half lol) 2-3, stay tuned. Imagine if Gobert was in. Wtf is Jamal doing?? Go Nuggets 🙄