######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:**
You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.**
For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new).
######Example Pick Template
> **Record:**
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> **Net Units:**
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> **ROI:**
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> **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone**
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> **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here.
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> **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 74-49
Last POTD: Jayson Tatum O15.5 RA ✅
Form: ✅✅✅✅✅
Todays POTD: __Jrue Holiday O10.5 RA 1.80__
NBA (Boston Celtics)
One step closer to our goal & and I’m going with mr Jrue today my boys, this been one of the most consistent props for us and we’ve cashed it everytime. He’s been a beast for Celtics and the X factor they’ve needed both defensively and offensively. Crazy potentials and volume kinda straight forward pick imo. Jrue found himself in good rebounding positions almost every defensive possession and could’ve easily snatched a lot more, as for as assists Jrue is capable of dropping 10+ in a game if the potentials results to actual assists
* Over in 8/L10 games & 6 straight
* 2/2 against Mavs in the playoffs
(14 & 13 RA)
* Game 1 he had 9 potential assists & 14 rebound chances (23 potential RA) in a blowout
* Game 2 he had 10 potential assists & 19 rebound chances (29 potential RA)
Really like what I’ve seen from Holiday the first two games so I’m running it fellas, let’s get another one. Could get this one on his rebound chances alone so let’s go
Tail or fade, you’re still my dawg
Like it too bro I’m just superstitious don’t like backing the same bet twice in a row, went with my gut feel like Jrue was in better rebounding positions and I’m not sure what change in schemes we’re going to see from Dallas against Tatum but honestly I like em both
Record: 34-19-0
Net Units: +35.4 ROI: 23.4%
Last Pick: Washington Nationals ML (-105) for 2.0 units ✅
Event: Baseball | MLB | Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants 2:45PM CST
Pick: San Francisco Moneyline (-110) on Caesars for 2.0 units
Write Up: On the mound for the Astros is left handed Framber Valdez (5-3, 3.53 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .241 opponent batting average). Giants projected lineup is 11-44 (.250) against Valdez lifetime. Giants hitting .25 against lefties (versus .241 against righties) this year.
For the Giants it’s Logan Webb (5-5, 2.92 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and .256 opponent batting average). Webb in 6 starts at home is 3-2, 1.71 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .235 opponent batting average. Also in 4 starts during the day is 1-0, 1.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .240 ERA.
BOL! 🎰
Being a Giants fan I love the pick, but can’t say I’m not a little disappointed…was coming for the guaranteed cash TexasTrifecta 1H team total points bet for the NBA game 😔 lol
Haha yeah. Put a lot of thought/research into it. 53.5 seems like a steal and I still plan to play it, but it’s one of those lines that has you thinking ‘what am I missing?’. Porzingis’ status is obviously a factor, however they still hit this every game he was out this post season (10 games).
Game two was interesting, starting 0-8 from 3, but went 11-11 from the free throw line, to still get to 54 at half. The pace of play has been a little slower (41.5 attempts this series for Boston versus 44.4 all of the post season), which is more in line with how the Mavs have played this post season.
In the end, couldn’t get myself to roll with it for the POTD. Best of luck to those of us still rolling with it though!
I appreciate the transparency and essentially a whole new write up for the pick you didn’t go with! I think you talked me into still playing it even thought it isn’t your POTD 🤜🏼🤛🏼 thanks for all you do on here and your info! Much appreciated
Tailing brother. Here's my daily pick. Loving this one....has gone over 15-1 this playoffs. 12 straight over lol! Let's get it!!!!
https://preview.redd.it/k0lp24yt766d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c6f7597ff0d0d1c4762b62b980e99e798ea286dc
**POTD W/L ROI**
14 - 5
ROI 72.06% +13.69 units (all bets 1u unless otherwise stated)
**LAST POTD**
Baltimore Orioles ML vs Atlanta Braves 635pm
+110
✅
**FORM**❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅
**TODAYS POTD:**
CLE Guardians ML vs CIN Reds 710pmET +100 DK
Alright guys that’s 5 in a row, let’s go for six right here with ole reliable, Cleveland guardians. I mentioned yesterday I liked this play but I wanted to make my potd Baltimore instead because of the plus money. I like this play again for this matchup and today we’re going with the plus money again.
The pitching matchup on paper has Bibee slightly outmatched. But we’re ignoring that, Lodolo gives up more runs at home and with Cleveland’s Bats and Great American’s hitter’s atmosphere its a great spot for us to find and edge.
I’m taking this bet and fading my own hometown team that I have grown up watching. They just can’t keep up with Cleveland. Elly, India and Steer can’t all perform on the same day it seems, they had a lil hot streak but honestly I don’t think it reflects their actual skill level…. More like luck.
I’m not doing a long detailed write up again today because I don’t think you degenerates like myself even read them 😂
Let’s go Guardians for 6 in a row
If you wanna show me some support and buy my kids some toys dm for my PayPal/ cash app or any other form of payment. Or just give this fucker an up vote 🫡
BOL ☘️
i was at a trivia night the other night and the reds are the only team that have opening day at home since 1920... that doesnt mean anything but there ya go.
Many people think it’s because we were the first major league team, we were granted opening day at home every year… it’s actually more to do with tradition and weather… Cincy was the farthest south in the western NL teams and they would play there for the better weather is what I understand.
**Pick Record: 26W - 14L (Push: 1)**
**Last POTD: Iraq over 1.5 goals @ 2.00 ✅**
Iraq win 3-1
**Units: 4**
**\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_**
**Today’s POTD: Brazil over 2.5 goals @ 2.25**
**Game: USA VS Brazil**
**Units: 4**
**League/Time: International Friendlies/ 7:00 PM**
USA just finished getting pumped 5-1 by Colombia, they'll look to set up better defensively but Brazil are a team that will get their way.
Colombia dropped 5 goals against USA and their offense isn’t nearly as good as Brazil’s. Brazil also covered this against a much better defensive side in Mexico a few days ago.
I like it my only issue is U.S.A. deciding to respond after the thrashing from columbia. Defensively USA won’t have answers for Brazils attacking force but Brazils defence can fall asleep at times which can mess up spreads
Brazil will cover the spread. to be safe, take the - .5 . The USA looks weak. BTTS is a nice lock and the over 1.5 goals as well. Brazil should win this 2-1
Do you like over 3 for the total score ? That’s all they have on BetOnline
https://preview.redd.it/uwtfv3csr26d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=864ece299c6721ca0d8707ad57bb745067e0aecd
POTD Record: 64 - 38
Last POTD: Jays/A’s first inning tie - L
Pick: Alexander Bublik ML vs Hamad Medjedovic (-172 odds via FD) 1U
Edit:✅
Event: ATP Stuttgart Round of 16 7:30 A.M. CST
Bublik back on grass and I love these odds for him. So far Alexander Bublik has had a great season coming into this match at number 17 in the live ATP rankings. This dude loves playing on grass and the stats back it up. This is his favorite time of year and on the other side we see a rising star in the 20 year old Serbian. Medjedovic has only played 18 career grass matches and scraped by in 3 sets in his first match against Marozsan, who isn’t quite as good on grass as Bublik in my opinion. I think we see a focused Bublik to start the grass season and we already know he likes the grass in Germany as he won Halle in 2023!
[PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US)
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Record: 30-18
Net Units: +26.9u
CounterStrike 2 (CS2) | Y Games Pro Series 2024 | 11:00 (UCT-5)
Last Pick: **SINNERS ML (-165)** vs. ex-Guild Eagles 5u ✅
Todays Pick: **Enterprise ML (-105)** vs. Sampi 4.2u ✅
-This game on paper seems about as even as it can get, rank 67 vs. rank 71, they have faced off 4 times h2h in 2024 and the record is split 2-2 between them, both teams play each other very close with each of the last 4 maps all going 23+ rounds. The difference in this game compared to all the other ones is Sampi is currently in miserable form at the moment for multiple reasons.
-Sampi are on a huge down swing this week and it is coming right off the back of a strong win streak which they looked like they were finally turning a corner. This weke they have lost 5 straight games and a lot of them games they were favorited to win including loses to Nemiga, CYBERSHOKE, MOUZ NXT, Aurora Young Blud and Illuminar before scraping by a 2-0 against Astralis Talent. This team has a few weak points but one of the biggest seems to be ZEDKO has been playing worse, not bad by any means but they heavily rely on massive outputs from him to have a chance against a lot of these better tier two teams. The other is sAvana and The eLiVe are both just dead weight. There is no nice way to say it but they are both really poor form at the moment.
-Enterprise have been trending the opposite direction this week and have found themselves some really strong form this week. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches including 4 2-0 wins against better teams including SINNERS, and Gaimin Gladiators as well as 2-0's against Entropiq and Nexus with the one loss being to ECLOT. They are led by fr3nd who is the highest rated player in the series with a .77 KPR and is star sniper on the team.
**Map Pool/Pick Ban: (map order unknown)**
Enterprise ban Dust 2, Sampi ban Vertigo
Enterprise pick Nuke, Sampi pick Anubis
Enterprise ban Mirage, Sampi ban Inferno
Ancient Decider
**Map Stats:**
-Enterprise are 65% winrate on Nuke on 26 maps played in the last 3 months and are an insane 12-2 in the last month on this map. They are 3-1 in the h2h against Sampi on this map in 2024. Sampi are 40% winrate on 15 maps played in the last 3 months and are 2-4 in the last month. I heavily favor Enterprise on this map both strategically and based on stats/recent form as well. Enterprise should comfortably take this map.
-Enterprise are 32% winrate on Anubis on 19 maps played in the last 3 months and are 4-7 in the last month. Sampi are 64% winrate on 33 maps played in the last 3 months and 9-6 in the last month. Sampi are 2-0 in the h2h against Enterprise on this map. I favor Sampi on this map for sure but both loses were very close, I think there is a higher chance we see Enterprise take this map then we do Sampi take Nuke. I wouldn't predict it but it is very easy to let a team run away on offense on this map and Enterprise would start on offense.
-Enterprise are 60% winrate on Ancient on 15 maps played in the last 3 months, and 6-3 in the last month. Sampi are 42% winrate on 26 maps played in the last 3 months and are 3-6 in the last month. They have lost 3 straight maps on Ancient but are 2-1 in the h2h against Enterprise. I still favor Enterprise by a good amount again both strategically and based on recent form. Enterprise are just playing better CS right now and look much more consistent. Momentum can be weird and Sampi just don't seem to have it recently. Enterprise should take a comfortable 2-1.
My book actually has Enterprise as the underdog weirdly enough. I think this is a good pick I’d looked at it earlier but my book hadn’t lined it until now. Tailing.
2024 record: 15-6-1
Total Return: +7.91
ROI: +32.96%
Last 5: **❌**✅✅✅**❌**
Last POTD: F5 Innings Total Runs Over 4.5 -115 (Guardians vs Marlins 1:41 PM) **❌**
Today's POTD: **Cleveland Guardians ML -105 (Guardians vs Reds 7:10 PM)**
Baseball | MLB
Recap: Took a small break from posting but back here until I leave for vacation on Friday. The Guardians had left a lot of runners on base unfortunately and then proceeded to hit a 3 run bomb right after in the 6th inning. The Marlins managed to put up some runs but just unlucky.
Write-Up: Really like the spot here and yes, I'm a Guardians fan at this point since they've won me some nice coin this season so far. I feel like the line should be a lot more favored towards the Guardians. Yes, the pitcher for the Reds, Nick Lodolo, has a better ERA but in the games where he faced relatively decent offenses, he gave up 3 or more runs each time. The Guardians are batting .250 against lefties and are really good at working the count so I think they should get to Nick pretty easily.
Tanner Bibee has been great and has continued where he left off last season with a 3.73 ERA. He has been inconsistent at times but the Reds are batting .222 against lefties. Also, the Guardians have one of the best bullpens in the league to back him up should Bibee have any trouble.
Even money odds on one of the best teams in the league with a relatively even pitching matchup. I'll take my chances!
Good luck all!
\*Note that unless specified all bets are one unit.
Tracker: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14bfG2aKsH\_dpuDL5-lRRgW9\_h4K\_kO1FSRWgcpzSerE/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14bfG2aKsH_dpuDL5-lRRgW9_h4K_kO1FSRWgcpzSerE/edit?usp=sharing)
TIPS: [Venmo Link](https://account.venmo.com/u/davidthunder) | [PayPal Link](https://paypal.me/davidthunder123?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US) | [Cash App Link](https://cash.app/$davidthunder123)
**2024 MLB record:**40-19-1
**Last POTD:** Cubs Rays Over 7.5 L
**Today's POTD:** New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals Over 10.5 -115 (dk)
**Baseball. MLB. 8:10 PM EST**
So fucking close man, and so many runners left on base. It is those little half-run differences that kill you on the overs smh. I am sorry guys. If we keep up with this every other day winning, though, all we need is a little streak, and we will be well in the green!
Yesterday, I took a heavily public-favored over that had some crazy reverse line movement in the hours leading up to the game and went to plus odds. The books took it all the way to the bank. Today we are doing the reverse and taking a heavily public faded over that is experiencing some reverse line movement leading up to the game. If the line moves up to 11 still take it, this one is going to be a barn burner.
The Yankees are an absolute wagon and are on a path of destruction after dropping the first two game they played against the Dodgers this past weekend. Winds are going to be crazy batter-friendly. Rotowire, who I have concluded is the best source for up to date weather says this:
>Wednesday night's game at Kauffman Stadium will feature clear skies and warm temperatures. Conditions will favor hitters with moderate winds blowing out to left-center field and balls carrying well in the warm air.
I don't know how many of you have used that site, but it rarely says anything more than something along the lines of "slight increase of chance of home runs in all directions". The weather being batter-friendly bodes well here, especially since Kauffman Stadium is the third most hitter-friendly park in the league, according to Savant. The Yankees and Royals hit flyballs at just above the league average, which is good. This is because the Yankees already have the highest home run-to-fly ratio at 17 percent over the past three weeks and the Royals have a very low strikeout rate at 19% (4th best in baseball) over that same span. So although percentage-wise wise they are league average, the Yankees are already putting so many balls over the wall without the wind and advantageous stadium and the are Royals are putting the ball into play so often that the overall number is higher than you would think based off of the percentages.
Umpire-wise, Carlos Torres is a fantastic draw for offenses. He has a pretty low K boost of 0.96 which means he calls four percent less strikeouts per game than average. He also has a very noteworthy 1.07 run boost, meaning 7% more runs than average are scored when he umps. ANother check in the box for over friendly conditions.
Pitchers-wise, I like it for the over as well. The Royals are going with the bullpen game. Their bullpen stinks, at least as of late. They have the worst k/9 of all teams so the Yankees will put the ball in play even more than usual. The KC bullpen is also 24th in both ERA and batting average against the past three weeks. The way the Yankees are hitting I think they should feast.
THe Yankees starting pitching has been great all year but if there was ever a chance to put up some decent offensive output against him I would say it is today. Cody Poteet is starting for the Yankees. Poteet last played in the MLB before this year in 2022 where he made 10 relief appearances for the Marlins and 2 starts. He did not initially make the team out of camp after spending last year in the Royals minor league system. This guy has definitely made the most of his opportunity after being called up from AAA to fill in for the injured Clark Schmidt, going 2-0 with an ERA below two. Matt Blake is an absolute beast at turning mediocre pitchers into great ones but I think Poteet should soon regress closer to the mean. His batted ball statistic are essentially right at league average. He doesn't really posses a true advantage that would imply he can overcome the conditions of the game particularly against a good hitting team like the Royals. I think he might be in for a bit of a rough night.
**TLDR: Yankees are on fire. Royals also have a strong offense. Wind is crazy hitter friendly in a very hitter friendly park. Ump is hitter friendly as well. Royals going with a pen game when their pen has struggled a lot lately. Yankees are throwing a spot start in Poteet who is unlikely to be able to maintain the success of his first three start given the game's circumstances.**
Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cashapp and paypal (DM for venmo)
POTD spreadsheet [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit#gid=1131268657](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit#gid=1131268657)
6-3-0
✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️
Net Units = +18.95
The tie comes through even with runs scored, always more of a sweat when that happens because it's expected to be an L if the first team scores but that is exactly why I bet for the tie. NRFI is dead, imagine playing NRFI with two pitchers 19/20 times between them NRFI hits and then it doesn't.. wouldn't be us, we cashin
Sport = Basketball
Event = Mavericks VS Celtics
Time = 10:30AM AEST
Pick = Jayson Tatum Over 15.5 RA @ 1.80 5U to make 4U
This market has been hitting for me a lot these playoffs and it consistently hangs around this level. Tatum has taken a really good approach to these finals and isn't forcing anything, he has a team full of people that can score so that definitely makes it easier but still he's playing great team ball. Every 3rd series game this play offs this has hit so it's not a matter of the first away game making him come up short on this line and in saying that every 4th game this line has also hit and keep in mind majority of these games he was missing Porzingis. Game wise Porzingis being back just helps this even more. The more game time he gets the more he clears the paint and spaces the floor and the more rebounds Tatum gets. There is a reason he's the top rebounder for them and that's definitely apart of it. I'm expecting this to clear with ease but definitely rebound heavy on the split. Let's go for +20U before the NRL comes in tomorrow.
Had someone ask about a tip jar so thought I'd just say this here but I dont/won't have a tip jar. Nothing against anyone who has one just personally something I am not interested in doing. I say just use a bit of your winnings and get a beer or something instead of tipping.
Record: 25-13 (+16.59 units)
✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅
Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 56.5 first half June 6
Todays POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 53.5 first half
Odds: -108 on DK 2 unit play
NBA/ 8:35pm ET
Last play was game 1. Celtics look dominant to me. Role players for Dallas haven’t done much of anything. Celtics didn’t even shoot the ball well at all in game 2 and they still scored 54 at the half. The Celtics role players like White and Holliday are just much better than what the Mavs have. Maybe this can still be a series but I’m gonna take the play that’s been cashing for me most of the playoffs. I think we’re due for a more offensive game as well. Tail or fade, you’re the boss! Good Luck fellas 🍀
good play bro i love this gonna run it back they shot like 2-11 at the half last game still scored 54 lol only thing that scares me is if porzingis is out cuz hes so money off the bench
Record: 7-2
+4.12 units
Last pick: Pakistan vs Canada, Babar Azam O23.5 runs(-112) ✅
Cricket ICC World Cup
Babar finished with 33 runs 🏏
POTD: USA vs India, Aaron Jones O13.5 runs(-112)
Cricket ICC World Cup
Aaron Jones has been a beast in this tournament. In USAs 2 games so far he scored 94 and 36 runs. India is a strong team and they’re heavily favored to win but I think the American team won’t go down without a fight especially with the tourney being played in the states. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
BOL to all 💰
**Record:** 6-2 **+11.41 U**
**Last Pick:** Soccer/Football | WC Qualification CONCACAF | **Cuba vs Cayman Islands** | **Match Cancelled**
**Next Event:** Soccer/Football | Finland Ykkosliiga | **MP vs TPS** at 11:30AM EST
**Pick:** Corners Over 11 at 1.85(-118) **4U**
**Write Up:** I love this pick. Potential for high scoring corners battle.
MP sits at the bottom of the league but averages 12.00 Corners a game which is the highest in the league. The over has hit (7/10) times while the 3 times it missed the game ended on 10 corners flat. Over has also hit (4/5) at home while averaging 12.80 corners at home.
TPS is tied 3rd for corners scored every game at 11.30. The over has hit (6/10) and the 4 times it missed was 7,10,8,10. Over has hit (5/5) when away while averaging 13.20 corners when away.
Bet placed on Bet365 Canada.
Good Luck to those tailing.
If you have the line at Over 11.5 I will take it at lesser units.
**BEST OF LUCK**
Yea most of them are european or australian games. All the big soccer leagues have finished for the season so just low league stuff left.I tried to pick an international game yesterday which everyone had access to and the game got cancelled.
Record: 5-1 ✅✅✅❌✅✅
Net Units: +3.96U
Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 +100✅
MLB | 4:10 PM PST
Pick: Yankees -1.5 -105
Always 1U.
I liked a couple other games besides this one, but others have already picked those so I’m going with Yankees -1.5 today against the Royals. Cody Poteet on the mound against Dan Altavilla, who is having his first start of the season. His first appearance was against the Yankees in the first game of the current series where he pitched 1 inning with 2 Ks, and 0 era, so not much data there. Poteet on the other hand, has given up 11 hits in 15.2 innings in his last 3 starts, but only 3 total era, with 0 era against the Dodgers. Yankees have shown so far that they’re simply a level above the Royals and well, most of the league at that. Honestly, without even knowing the pitcher for the last game, I think Yankees can 4 game sweep here, but we’ll see when we get there lol.
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EDIT: 6-0 first inning, it’s too easy😂
Pick Record: 10W - 3L
Previous POTD: Sebastian Korda vs Tristan Schoolkate /// Total games under 24,5 at 1.70 ✅
Today’s POTD: Brouwer VS Mannarino // Hándicap games Mannarino -1.5 at 1.70
League/ Sport: Tennis / ATP Hertogenbosch
Mannarino showed great tennis today, specially in the second set. This Game should be easier for him. Mannarino should win in 3 sets. Brouwer is a tricky player but he's left handed and that's an advantage for Mannarino Who has never Lost against lefties in grass, maybe once, i don't remember atm.
EDIT: Mannarino played really bad today. What a shame...Anyways, i got a great pick for tomorrow
Pd: All my picks are 1 unit
https://preview.redd.it/q6jx09dw126d1.jpeg?width=1065&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=009074cf8f772600924cb2fb1b62db34e8544797
Looks like he's 13-2 career on grass against lefties. Both losses going 3 sets.
Tailing!
🎯 Modus Super Series 🎯
POTD 45-30
DARTS RECORD 45-27 (+8.88U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U
Last pick: Adam Mould ML vs Mareno Michels @ 2.00 (1.5U) ✅
Today's Pick: **Ciaran Teehan -1.5** vs Arne Spee **@ 1.80 (1.5U)**
On the exact same matchup as two days ago so not much to say here that I haven't already said. Spee has stayed at the same level since then and Teehan has been playing well. Spee managed his first win yesterday vs Jim Long but that was more down to Long having an absolute shocker and practically giving him the game.
Having the throw advantage works in our favour today, it should be pretty difficult for Spee to break the Teehan throw and thus we need just one break ourselves. Fingers crossed Teehan is on the ball today because if he is I think this will be a pretty easy win. Please bet responsibly and no bitching at losses. Ta.
**POTD Record: 5-3 | Profit: +7.0 U**
[6/11 Pick](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1dd0uzf/comment/l830h2d/): Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers / Game Total Over 8 (-117) / 3.5 U / **W**
**6/12 Pick: Baltimore Orioles** vs. Atlanta Braves 6:35pm EST / **Baltimore Orioles Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)** / 5.0 U
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Spencer Schwellenbach has only thrown 9.2 innings so far this season, so this will be a harder cap. His numbers are obviously inflated after the past two starts. D’Arnaud and him are just getting to know each other, and that veteran presence will be good for him. Let’s see how well Spencer uses the scouting advice from Travis, if at all. But in my opinion he had a pretty good debut against the Nationals on 5/29. He pitched 4 shut out innings then hung what was supposed to be an outside heater right down the middle for a three run bomb by Lane Thomas. Later in the 5th he smoked Jacob Young in the earpiece. Despite his early peripherals with respect to shadow and chase rate, you have to be concerned about his control. Guy went through a UCL repair in 2019 and a full Tommy John in 2021, so I would expect him to be in a good position right now? He’s hungry. Great velocity. Deep arsenal with phenomenal action. Eat or weep moment tomorrow.
But.. as much as I hate this fucking team, I can’t deny the recent production of the O’s.
* Stats that sticks out to me the most: Baltimore is the current slugging leader at .453 and Spencer’s xSLG is .441 through 9.2. His wOBA is .404. Baltimore is pounding the ball in June (.886 OPS). 53.1% of his batted balls have also been hit hard.
* Spencer’s K rate is 20% and BAL doesn’t strike out a ton. 22% against righties as a team. Not really concerned about this, or really any of the other batting splits against righties as compared to lefties.
* Camden yards as a stadium is neutral for slugged balls - no real advantage there. Wind is predicted to blow out towards left center at 5.8 mph for what it’s worth.. Temperature and weather is otherwise great for overs.
* Atlanta is known for and is currently showing great defense. I could see this being a death by a thousand cuts with lots of singles.
* Atlanta has been giving up more runs at a higher rate than their season average lately. Baltimore also leads the league in runs scored per game; 5.06 at home this season, and 6.33 across the last three games. Tampa sucks lol but i really wanted to throw that stat in.
Good Luck
**Record:** 10/2/0 (W/L/D)
**Last 10:** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌
**Net Units:** +7.65
**Last Pick:** Latvia vs Faroe Islands 1 (1.90) | 1U ✅
**Sport:** Soccer | **League:** Emperors Cup Japan | **Start:** 11:30 AM / CET
**Pick:** Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Baleine Shimonoseki 1&1.5+ (1.90) | 1U ✅
**Post Game Edit:** Jeez what a sweat free game, **ended 11:2, gotta love it!** I saw some of you did went with different picks, taking goals over or btts, but no matter what you took - we're all eating today! Again I had some of you in my DM's asking how to tip so I'll share some links going forward. Let's eat!!
**Write Up:** Taking Japanese Cup today, where 1st tier team Hiroshima takes on 5th tier Shimonoseki. Quality gap is too big here and I just have to take chances on these odds. Shimonoseki did beat 3rd tier team in the last leg of the cup, but it's still 3rd tier. Hiroshima was Japanese champ like 3 times, 4 super cups, and dozen more trophies. Literally like having Arsenal play Boston United at home. The home team did state the following: "明日は天皇杯2回戦・FCバレイン下関戦です連戦となりますが、チームの総合力で勝ちに行きます" - basically they will do some rotations, but are still taking the game seriously and going for a win. I looked at some of the rotations players and they have delivered thus far. I believe we're getting these odds because of the rotation, but the value is too good not to take when you consider the gap between the teams. To clarify, the tip is Hiroshima to win and over 1.5 goals in the game. BOL.
**Tip:** [PayPal](https://paypal.me/bpgdigital) | [BuyMeACoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bpg024)
Just looked it up, it's really not there lol - didn't think that's even possible. Maybe it comes up later in the day, it can be the case with these cup games. Especially as other bookies have it.
Strange. I can see my bookies listing this cup and games today, but none of them have this game.
EDIT: Appeared just before the game with odds slashed massively. Instead went for a degen bet of over 3.5 goals Sanfrecce team goals.
**Record:** 3-0 ✅✅✅
**Net Units:** +2.86u
**Last Pick:** Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs @ -130 (DK) | HOU Astros @ SF Giants | MLB ✅
**Next Event:** Basketball | NBA | BOS Celtics @ DAL Mavericks (8:30 PM EST)
**Pick:** Jrue Holiday Over 24.5 PRA @ -112 (DK)
**Units:** 1u
I gotta feed the hot hand here. Jrue Holiday has been the second best player on the Celtics this series after Jaylen Brown. He's cleared this line in 5 of his past 5 games, 8 of his last 10. He also went up in minutes after game 1, from 35 to 41. He'll have plenty of chances with the way the Celtics have been running their offense, and plenty of time to hit this line if he makes his shots.
Record: 6-6
Return: +1.56 units
Last 10 (new > old): ✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌
Last pick (5/7/24): Tennis - Joel Josef Schwaerzler -1.5 set spread ✅
* Schwaerzler wins 2-0 (7-6, 6-4). He saved a set point in the first set and got broken his first game in the 2nd set, but was able to pull it through when he needed to. Rosenkranz' 10 double faults didn't hurt either.
**6/12/24:**
Sport / League - Volleyball / Volleyball Nations League (Women)
Match - Serbia (W) vs. Netherlands (W) \[Match being played in Fukuoka, Japan\]
Time - *11:30pm PDT / 2:30am EDT / 06:30 GMT \~ 6 hours from post*
**POTD: Serbia (W) team total OVER 52.5 points (-120)** \[Bovada\] ✅
Wager Size: 1U (Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit)
Write Up:
I don’t understand this line. Netherlands and Serbia are at similar standings. Netherlands is 9th in the table at 4-4, while Serbia is 11th in the table at 3-5. Serbia has gone over 53 points in the last 7 h2hs against Netherlands; winning 5 of the matches outright.
Serbia has covered this line every match this VNL season. Serbia has won at least 1 set in 7 out of 8 matches. They only lost 0-3 to undefeated Brazil, and Serbia still got 53 points in that match.
Netherlands has only held an opponent to under 53 points once this season (Bottom of the table France). Netherlands has only won 3-0 against Bulgaria and France (the two 1-8 teams at the bottom of the table), and Bulgaria still got 56 points in their match. Serbia are a tier above France/Bulgaria.
I was going to go with OVER 127.5 points, but this Serbia TT OVER 52.5 is the same price. This is much better as it is almost the same bet if Netherlands wins (75 + 52.5 = 127.5; it can possibly go over 127.5 but under Serbia 52.5 if Netherlands wins a set with over 25 points… i.e. 26-24), but the bet will also win if Serbia just dominates the match and beats Netherlands in under 128 points.
BOL!
\~\~\~Update\~\~\~ ✅ Serbia scored 41 points the first 2 sets, but then won the 3rd set outright for good measure.. Everybody should've cashed. Netherlands won with final score 1-3 \[20-25, 21-25, 25-18, 12-25\]. Serbia won 78 points.
POTD Record: 1-0
Last POTD: Rockies ML ✅
Event: Baseball | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays | 6:50 PM EST
Todays POTD: Chicago Cubs ML +102 on DK
Write up: Like I said last time, I don’t really know baseball but what I’ve been doing seems to be working. Today I’m putting my faith in Javier Assad (4-1, 2.27 ERA). His last start he gave up 5 runs so hopefully he bounces back today. The Rays haven’t been great the last two weeks and their pitcher Civale is 2-4 with a 5.37 ERA. Hopefully the cubs get the bats going early and Assad pitches well.
Fingers crossed!
Ok… as a Rays fan, here is my unsolicited 2cents. The Rays just walked off the Cubs in the bottom of the 9th on a 3run HR. Anomaly, maybe.. but the Rays are one of those teams when you think they are done, they win 5 out of 6.. They just got smoked by the Orioles, who are on a legit tear. I can forgive losing to them and being swept at home. With all of that out of the way, they are now playing a team that they have a chance to beat. Civale generally keeps it close to where you should still be in the game after 4 innings.. after that, no clue. BOL if tailing. I’ll root for my Rays.
Record: 2-0
Net Units: +1.51
ROI: 76%
Last pick: Miles Mikolas Over 15.5 Outs✅ (-145)
Mikolas played a great game and cleared the line getting 21 outs.
Today's Pick: Jrue Holiday Over 10.5 RA (-130 Bovada)
Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks | 6:30 PM / MDT
Write Up: Jrue has been dominating this line in this series, hitting 13 and 14 RA through the first 2 games. Jrue has cleared this line in 80% of his last 10 away games and 100% against the Mavs this season. I expect his playmaking to continue as the pace of this series has definitely favored his style of game.
POTD Record: 21-14-0
Form:✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅
Last Pick: Phillies -1.5✅
Ladies and Gentlemen we got em.
Pick of the day: Dallas Mavericks ML @ 1.746 for 2U
Curse is finally over and with plus money as well, now let's go for 5 straight! Backing the Mavs at home for 2 units. No team has come back from a 3-0 deficit and only 1 team came back from trailing 3-1 in the finals so this is a must win game for the Mavs. I think this is the time for Kai to step up and the Role Players to do their jobs after getting embarassed twice. Boston has not been as dominant on the road either, I think we can still get a good series here with the Mavs avoiding a potential sweep. I wanted to take the -2.5 for even odds but we might get late in the 4th shenanigans and not cover.
TIPS: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/yujin072401?country.x=PH&locale.x=en_US)
Celtics haven’t been dominant on the road? They’re 6-0 away from home this post season with an average winning margin of 12.5 points. 4-0 against the Mavs this year, average winning margin of 15.5. The Mavs very well might steal one especially with KP’s status questionable, but I haven’t seen anything in their last two performances that gives me confidence they’ll turn it around. Betting against this Celtics team is downright foolhardy in my opinion, though I understand wanting to make a play on the Finals as the season winds down. Bol
Even though they swept their last series, both games at Indi were close. That was without Tyrese. In fact, they are behind for most of both games and it was the Pacers who beat themselves by not scoring in the closing minutes. 2 road games against heat with no Jimmy and 1 game vs Cavs without Mitchell (he was also really banged up in that game 3) may explain the point differential. Kristaps being day to day with a leg injury also gives me more reason to make this pick. If you don't like the pick you can freely fade me I go on cold streaks sometimes. Road Dominant Celtics is literally plus money if you take em now.
Valid points all. Not trashing your pick by any means and it’s not a game I’d try to predict the outcome of so I won’t be fading. I just enjoy discussing picks and giving some different perspective. It’s your POTD which to me means a pick you believe you have an edge on. I don’t personally see the value in taking the Mavs when I could take the best team in basketball (who’s handled this team quite easily in 4 meetings this season) at a better price.
**KBO Record: Overall 232-248-14** (Streak LLLLLLL, Last 10: 2-8) Down 16.51u over 494 KBO picks, 48.3% success rate, -3.44% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 28-38-0, 42.4% success rate, Down 7.89u, -11.95% ROI)
**Last:** Kiwoom at Lotte -135 (Lotte lost 5-2.)
They carried the hottest bats in the league into this one... and laid an egg. Chalk up another loss.
**Pick:** **Hanwha +105** at Doosan, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET
It's the worst stretch of my narly-500 pick KBO career. If you haven't been fading, you should start. Last season, I posted a solid 7.5% ROI. This season? Ugh.
Not going to spend time writing it out... just the pick. It's Hanwha at plus money. Hoping to start crawling my way back.
Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
**Record**: 3-0-0 (+3.15u)
**Last pick**: Gabon to score in the second half, 1u, 2.00 odds ✅
**Current pick**: IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Vaasa BTTS, 1u, 1.8 odds ❌
**Sport**: Football/Soccer, Veikkausliiga (Finland) 5 pm CET
**Reasoning**:
Let's strive for another W! Today IFK faced second-placed Vaasa in Finland. IFK has conceded 9/10 games and they have scored in 10/11 of their last matchups versus Vaasa. Vaasa is in good form, but they've seen BTTS hit in 10/11 of their last games and they have scored in their last 28 games.
^(If you want to support me on my journey through medical uni/college, feel free to support me here or just give this an upvote!)
[^(PayPal)](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/KalebWL1899) ^(|) [^(BuyMeACoffee)](https://buymeacoffee.com/ksense)
Insane pick yesterday lmao. The lights went out as the teams came out of the halftime break and the match was nearly abandoned. Lights came back on and Gabon ripped for 3 second half goals. Can’t make it up - chaotic tail but great pick sir🫡
Record: 4-8
Last pick: Dodgers ML
Form: ❌✅❌✅✅❌
Today’s game: Celtics Vs Mavericks
Pick: Dereck Lively over 7.5 RA (+105 on DK as of write up)
Write Up: long time no talk, cocksuckers…get ready for the diamond in the rough, looking at my
Boy D-wreck Lively II. The man wants to win. The man wants in the game, but the idiot HC for the Mavs wants to try and split his time with Kleber and Gafford(both goons). There is nobody more efficient with these stats while in the game than lively. He is a rebounding machine and will get these very quickly. With the caveat that the head coach needs to stop being a fart knocker and get him in the game.
I’m also in as it gets closer to game time to bet the over assists for lively. He has been a cash cow for me and I see him hitting this number at home tomorrow. Let’s get rich, errrrrrbody and throw that chump change on lively over 7.5 RA and cash dem checks at the bank.
Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀
Let me know if you tail or fade. I love the feedback! 



**Record: 7-4-1**
**Net Units: +2.73u**
**ROI: 24.82%**
**Baseball | MLB | 7:45 PM | EST**
**Pick**: PIT/STL under 4.5 F5 Innings, -115 Bet365
Just went as cold as we were running hot but hopefully today we turn it around. I probably repeat myself a lot if you read post over post...but I really like this play (sorry I can't help it)!
The angle here is simply Sonny Gray. While he wasn't awesome in his last outing, largely on the season as a whole he's been one of the best 5 pitchers in the NL. He's rocking a stellar 2.80 SIERA and a 32.80% K rate. In the other major metrics, he's been either elite, or above average in just about every single one (we're looking at CSW, SwSt, BB%, FB%, GB%, FIP, Hard% among others). In areas where he may be not as good, such as GB%, he's much better at home as well and has done a great job at keeping balls inside the park (0.27 HR/9).
He gets the Pirates today, which have been one of the worst teams against RHP all season. They're bottom 5 in wRC+, OPS, wOBA, K%, and ISO and it's not like they've been crushing the ball late either. Falter is not very good, but you're getting a good cushion with the 4.5 here, which is also off market at B365 and is -122 or lower almost everywhere else.
https://preview.redd.it/3nrfqct6656d1.png?width=1174&format=png&auto=webp&s=fd3070c21e3551991a53bcad3390a3b39383a81c
**Record:** 7-3 (+5.82units)
*Cayman Tai came in well with its 3rd 2nd place in a row. Comfortable W.*
**Today's Pick:** Call Off The Dogs (2 Places)
**Wager/Odds:** 1 Unit/ $1.90
**Event:** Race #3 Fontwell
**When?** 6 hours from post.
**Why?**
*This horse is 2 wins in a row, better yet those wins are both on this same track. Looking for a hatrick here. Both these wins were last month so the horse is looking in great form. With only a 4lb raise I don't think it's enough weight with this competition to stop him from winning this. (Taking 2 places for safety reasons). CALL OFF THE DOGS looks the pick for reasons stated but if you were to look into its competitors, you'll see almost nothing of note. All the other horses either haven't placed for a while or if they have have definitely not had consistency. So I think this horse stands out amongst a field of shit.*
**POTD Record:** 15-11-1 (net +1.40U)
**Last 10: (oldest to newest)** ✅️✅️❌❌❌❌✅️❌✅️❌
**Last pick:** White Sox/Mariners First 5 innings total runs under 4 ❌
Bryan Woo was a late scratch as he had to go get an MRI on his elbow, which was bad news for us but worse news for Woo. Thorpe only allowed 2 runs in the first 5 which was a nice Major League debut for him; I'd like to think this would have hit if it weren't for the injury.
Baseball | MLB | Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EDT
**Pick:** Total over 9 runs (-115) on BetMGM for 1U
**Write Up:** Two rookie pitchers with a combined ERA of 18.51 starting against two teams that score very well.
Record: 4-2 ✅✅❌❌✅✅
Last Pick 6/8 (Took the weekend off): Padres vs Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 Total Runs (+105) Hard Rock 💰✅
Today:
Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds| 7:10 PM EST
Pick: Guards Moneyline (+100) DraftKings and Hard Rock
Todays Write Up:
Not quite sure why they have the Guardians at +odds here. As a Cleveland fan, I know that if Cincinnati couldn’t score a lot of runs with Tristan McKenzie on the mound yesterday, they may be in trouble today. Tanner Bibee has been stellar, boasting a 2.45 ERA over his last five starts, and hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of them. In fact, opponents are batting just .218 against him this season. The Reds' offense has been struggling, averaging only 3.4 runs per game over the last week. Meanwhile, the Guardians' offense has caught fire, scoring an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last three outings. Given these trends, the value seems far too good to pass up at plus money
BOL if tailing 💰
Record: 17-13
Last 10: LLWWWWWLLW
Net units: +2.1
ROI: +5.08%
Sporting Event: MLB: Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers 14:10 (EDT)
Pick: NRFI -105 @ Fanatics 1.05 to win 1
Top of the first we see Tobias Myers take the mound. He had a bit of a rough start, but he seems to have righted the ship and has 4 straight starts with a scoreless first. The Jays averaging .31 runs in the first away from home and batting .224 in June bolster the confidence for this wager
Bottom of the first we see Chris Bassitt take the rubber with a .69 ERA in the first inning having allowed a single earned run in 13 starts. Current Brewers roster is batting .158 against Bassitt and sporting a 27.5% K rate.
Dome
My most used reference sites at the bottom
BOL to all
[https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/mlb-park-factors](https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/mlb-park-factors)
[https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather](https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather)
[https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/)
[https://www.fangraphs.com/](https://www.fangraphs.com/)
[https://pitcherlist.com/](https://pitcherlist.com/)
[https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/06/mlb-stats-leaders/](https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/06/mlb-stats-leaders/)
[https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game)
[https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/nrfi-yrfi-stats-records-no-runs-first-inning-yes-runs-first-inning-runs-mlb-teams-bm03/](https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/nrfi-yrfi-stats-records-no-runs-first-inning-yes-runs-first-inning-runs-mlb-teams-bm03/)
[https://www.teamrankings.com/](https://www.teamrankings.com/)
Record: 32-17
Pick: Sonny Gray to record a win +140
The St Louis Cardinals ace is going today vs the Pirates. Gray has been a little off his game recently but I’m looking for him to pick it back up here at home. Cards are -175 on the money line and I expect them to take a lead vs Falter. Falter has actually been quite serviceable this year although his record does not reflect that.
BOL
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)**
**POTD 2024 Record: 23-23 (+0.50 units)**
**Last 10**: **✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌**
**Last Pick**: Jim Long -2.5 (+125) vs Arne Spee **❌** 3-4
**League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series
**Time**: 4:35 AM EST
**Pick**: Jim Long -1.5 (+110) vs Adam Mould
* Series 8. Week 2. Group A
**Reason**: Long disappointed us yesterday, but he's going into today as the leader by 1 leg over Smith. Outside of Spee, everybody is in contention to win or finish in group B. I think Long bounces back to his standards. He's consistently put in some his best averages in the first two matches of the day. He has the throw advantage over Mould. His scoring dipped, but he remained good with his checkouts.
Mould had a great Monday and then dipped Tuesday. His averaged dropped from 88 to 82. That includes 180s dropping from 10 to 3. Checkouts dipped from 40% to 20%. He opened with 3 matches in the 90s and the following 7 matches his best has been 85. Long has beat Mould 4-3 and 4-1 which was their last match yesterday.
Jim Long
* Record 7-3
* Legs 36-24
* Average 90.87
* 180s 16. 140s 35
* Checkouts 36/96 37.50%
Adam Mould
* Record 5-5
* Legs 28-31
* Average 85.46
* 180s 13. 140s 23
* Checkouts 28/93 30.11%
**LOSS ❌ 0-4 | Average 86.04 vs 96.35 | Checkouts 1/5 vs 4/12**
Mould dominated the scoring and Long didn’t match it. Caught his best average. Dud pick. Silly me for going away from the Spee match. Long smoked him 4-0.
Record: 14-6
Last Pick: Mavs o49.5 1st Half points ✅
Today's Game: Celtics @ Mavs 8:30 pm EST
Today's Pick: Celtics o53.5 1st half points (-115)
Reasoning: they have went over this game in 12 of the last 12 games lol. You have to go back 13 games to where they only scored 53 points in the first half against Miami, and the 3 games before that they were 63,61, and 60. They're 15-1 in the playoffs over this line. I do think this is going to be a physical defensive game. However, I easily see the Celtics eclipse in this line and I think they score 57 or 58 points in the first half. So for anybody that can sprinkle like half a unit or a little bit on some alternate lines, I think that's a good idea as well. I would take 54.5, 55.5, and up to 56.5. Lowering the unit amount as you go up. But I'm throwing 2 units on this one. Tail or fade, just do so responsibly!!!!
PS: LET'S GO CELTICS!!!☘️☘️☘️💚💚💚🏆🏆🏆
Record: 0-0
Units: 0
ROI: 0%
Baseball | MLB | 5:10 PM | MST
Pick: New York Mets ML -152 1U (FanDuel)
Matchup between 2 lefties as listed pitchers. Marlins win percentage against lefties this season is .231% and Mets are more than double that with a .502% win rate. Marlins last 5 games against lefties have all resulted in losses. The last series they faced each other Marlins won 2-1, lost 1 game to a left handed pitcher. With Mets coming off a loss yesterday to a lefty and Marlins now up to bat against one, I believe Mets will get the dub today. Tail or fade, good luck to all who wager!
https://preview.redd.it/2wfl55k0b66d1.jpeg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8ba0af6f6a11fa198fae49d554d201852a692b1a
Record: 8-3 (W-L)
Recent: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅
Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 ✅
NBA | 8:30pm EST
Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks
Pick: Boston Celtics ALT 1Q TT o25.5 (-165)
Write Up: Okay we are back in the win column. I’m returning with a vengeance. I suggest you all tail and let’s start spinning up some money! We are looking at the NBA here and the Celtics. Game 2 the Celtics missed this line by one point but they started extremely slow, other than their slow start they usually smack this line. I expect them to come out and play better than they did last time, I think we see closer to 28/29 points from the Celtics. Tatum typically has a big 1Q for the first road game of the series and I think we will see that here today. Tail or don’t, we are stealing all the money Vegas has starting today.
**POTD Record: 132-159-4 (-34.56 Units)**
Best Bet Series: 54-33-1 (+0.6 Units)
Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units)
Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units)
**Cautionary Tails: 8-18 (-5.94 Units)**
Last Pick: **Marlins ML**✅
Today's Pick: **Samsung Lions +1.5**✅
$DKNG Odds: **+124**
Wager Amount: **1U to win 1.24U**
League: KBO
Event: LG Twins vs Samsung Lions (4:30AM CDT)
*Be Advised*: *New segment for my faders, haters, and downvoters! Wagering on bets that I know I shouldn't be betting on, but betting it anyway. These wagers should be heeded wit caution. There isn't really good analysis or reasoning behind it. These type of wagers can be prohibited wagers (juiced odds) and has a high possiblity of losing, or it could be a wager that has inflated odds and has a high possibility of losing. Tail wit caution.*
**Recap**: Good win for the Fish. It's also good to see TA back in the lineup too. Gave the Marlins a lil boost today.
**Matchup**: I feel really confident in all my MLB plays and even my NBA plays tomorrow, so I gotta take my POTD to an unfamiliar territory! And I'm going to international for the first time! How about some KBO? I don't kno who's hot and who's not, but I'm going to take Samsung Lions +1.5 against the LG Twins.
**The Play & Prediction:** 1U on Samsung Lions RL is my only play. All my other plays will be in the betting group. Twins win, but Lions cover the RL!
Record: 0-0
Net Units: 1 (always)
ROI: 0
LEAGUE OF LEGENDS | LCK | 1:00AM PST
Pick: Dplus Kia +1.5 maps (-145) (hanhwa life esports vs dplus Kia)
This is the starting match of summer 2024 lck split. Now don’t get me wrong, hanwha is strong and I mean very strong this split. But this is the first game of the split so I’m more interested in what dplus has to bring to the table this summer. It’s been the hanwha show for the past few series but I think dplus can rip one map off here. These teams faced each other quite a lot now and dplus isn’t some bum team. Expect fireworks and one map win from dplus.
EDIT: WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER. They won the series actually 2-1!
**Record:** 11W - 11L - 0P
**Last 10 (new --> old):** **❌✅❌✅✅**❌❌**❌✅❌**
**Net Units:** 1.7825
(All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated)
**Last Pick:** Bryan Woo to record a win - Yes @ +110 **(VOIDED)**
Well, unfortunately Woo was scratched from his start as he'll need an MRI on his pitching elbow. That bet gets voided, so we'll just take what was returned and wager again.
**MLB** ⚾ | **Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners | 8:40pm CST**
**Today's Pick:** Bryce Miller to record a win - Yes @ +110 (DK)
**Write Up:** I'm going to continue to go for better value with my picks, even if they don't pan out successfully.
RUN. IT. BACK. 🔙
No, you're not seeing a typo. This pick is for Bryce (Miller) not Bryan to record a win for Seattle. Unfortunately, we didn't get a chance to see Woo pitch for Seattle against the White Sox yesterday, which could have changed the complexion of that game. A lot of what I said in my last write-up can/should ring true.
I'm not sure when the White Sox will come back down to earth, but I got to imagine it'll be soon. (And I'm saying this as a White Sox fan myself.) They continue to get very good pitching followed by their bullpen blowing it. I just don't have faith that the White Sox are going to continue holding it together for the first 5-7 innings of every game. Maybe they'll continue to put doubters (like myself) in their place, but I just feel like they're due for an ass kicking.
The White Sox will start Johnathan Cannon on Wednesday. He has a 5.94 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over 4 total appearances, 3 of which were starts. He had bad outings in 2 of those 3 starts. Additionally, he doesn't walk many batters, but he gives up a bunch of hits.
Seattle will start Bryce Miller, who has a respectable 3.81 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 72 strikeouts in 75.1 IP. His splits show us he's pitched well at home and somewhat decently during night games. Righties have a better batting average against him, but lefties have put up better power numbers against him. As stated in the last write-up, the White Sox don't have much power from their lefties outside of Gavin Sheets. He's given up 4+ earned runs in 4 of his last 7 starts, but those were against much better offenses (KC, NYY, BAL, HOU).
https://preview.redd.it/ulh82sn0e36d1.png?width=892&format=png&auto=webp&s=86162eb8cc5368aeb0c6e23b925c3027e4d1dc27
The last thing I'll note is that this current White Sox roster is only 2 for 17 with 5 strikeouts and 0 walks against Miller. It's a small sample size for sure, but it's nice to know he's fared well against them.
BOL if you're tailing, or fading!
5-2
Sport: CS2
Event: Skyesport Championship
Game: Bleed vs B8
Pick: over 2.5 maps at 1.85
Reason: Both good teams that looked less solid then they usually do. Coming in both teams should win their map pick. Bleed ancient and B8 nuke. Blee dont usually pick ancient but theyre loads better on it than B8. Inferno is dangerous and so is anubis.
The risk is that both teams have a real solid map pool and can play almost all maps. But B8 clearly are better nuke team and Bleed on the same with ancient. They might pick different maps depending on how they prepared for the game but I expect both teams to come hungry and prepared for their map pick.
Record 2-0
Last pick cardinals vs pirates U/7.5 ✅
Today’s pick nationals vs tigers U/7.5
I know I know all unders super fun but that’s where the value is. Everyone always wants to take the over because it’s more fun and less sweaty but I like it sweaty. Yesterday’s game should’ve went under but Detroit hit a grand slam and then Washington tied it up in the 8th to send it to extras. Both teams are ranked bad in batting average and runs and have 2 decently high strike out pitchers pitching. Olsen doesn’t have the best record but doesn’t have a terrible rbi. The line mover from 8 to 7.5 and Vegas is trying to beg you to take the over but that’s where do what they don’t want us to and ride the under. Let’s ride
Record: 0-0-0
Last Pick: N/A
Event: Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics @ Dallas Mavericks 8:30 PM EST
Pick: Derrick White Over 2.5 Steals + Blocks (+120) via DraftKings for 2.0 units
White has covered this line in 3/4 games. He's averaged 4.5 Steals + Blocks combined in those four games. In the last two playoff series he's averaging 3.8 and for a further look back he's averaging 2.2 during the regular season. He covered this line twice during the two regular season meetings against the Mavs. It may not be sweat free, but I'm riding the wave of the dominate Celtics back court defense and taking this line at +money seems generous enough.
0-0
POTD: Luka Doncic over 8.5 1Q points -112 (Celtics @ Mavericks) 2U
Luka is dominant, and always comes out hot in the 1st quarter. Personally, I think the Mavs take Game 3, but I feel more confident in this play. I will also be playing Luka as the highest first quarter scorer at plus money. KP is hobbled or not playing, and this will benefit Luka produce offense. Luka is also averaging 12.8 first quarter points after losses. He's going to come out hot.
BOL
Record (13-8)
Units (+5u)
Previous Result: Baltimore Orioles ml✅
Streak: W2
Today’s play: Cleveland Guardians ml (-105)
Event Start time: 7:10pm EST
Unit Size: 1u to win 1u
Recap/Reasoning for pick: What a beautiful sweat free winner the dirty birds of Baltimore gave us. 3 run long ball in the second put them ahead where they stayed all game. That win officially puts me up 5 units for the first time since I started posting 3 or so weeks ago. No, I’m not satisfied. Today we’re rolling with a road dog, the Guardians (I still call them the Indians) Tanner Bibee has been solid for them this b year posting a 4-1 record with a 3.73 ERA. Cleveland pitchers rank 6th in road ERA, on the other side of things at home Reds pitchers rank 20th in home ERA. Flipping to offense, against LHP on the road the Guardians rank 11th in AVG, 10th in OBP, and 9th in OPS. At home against RHP Cincinnati ranks 27th in AVG, 16th in OBP, and 21st in OPS. The Guards won last night after falling behind early. I expect them to control this one from the start! BOL with your plays tonight, let me know down below if you’re tailing!
**POTD Record: 39-31**
Last 10: ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌
Last pick: Mavs vs Wolves | 5:30 PST | Karl Anthony Towns OVER 4.5 1st quarter points (-125) 1u Bet365 ❌
Today’s pick: Celtics vs Mavs | 5:30 PST | Jayson Tatum OVER 9.5 Rebounds (-120) 1u BETMGM
Rolling with Tatum in this one. Tatum has struggled with his shot but has still had a huge impact in this series. I like his rebounds in this one because he has a good recent history of showing up for that first road game in the playoffs. It’s also one of the more controllable stats for him as all it takes is effort to create chances. He had 13 in game 3 against the Cavs and 10 in game 3 against the Pacers. He’s also averaging 11.8 rebounds on the road in the playoffs. Bring us some cash Tatum! BOL if tailing!
POD RECORD: 14W-11L
Last pick: Luka over 8.5 rebounds WIN
Today pick: Luka over 9.5 rebounds (-130 DK)
Luka continues to hit this number. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10, and has hit this easily the last 4 games. Dallas poised to win and Luka going to lead the charge tonight.
Bol.
**2024 MLB Record:** 11-4-2 (W-L-P)
**Units:** +14
**Last POTD:** Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners: ***Under 6.5 Alternate Total Runs Scored +111*** P
❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅
- I gave myself a pass since they swapped out our main man Woo last second, still very close at only 7 runs were scored! Would have been around 5 if Woo was pitching.
**Today’s POTD:** ***Reese Olson over 17.5 outs recorded -130***
**Units:** 2
***Reasoning:*** Today we are going to Detroit, where we're gonna be jumping on this line for olson. Besides his last couple starts he's been very solid.
- He has a 2.84 ERA at home compared to his 3.97 ERA on the road.
- He has 12 starts overall on the year, he's 1 for 7 on the road for this line but he has covered this line 4 out of 5 times when pitching at home this season.
- The Nationals have been awful at hitties righties on the road this season and especially the last bunch of games.
***As always BOL guys, let’s get this money***!☄️
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
\*\*\*If anyone would like to drop a tip pm me for my PayPal, Zelle, or Apple Cash/Pay. Thanks guys much love\*\*\*❤️
**POTD Record 37-33-1 (+10.90U) | Average Odds -109 (1.92) | ROI 3.23%**
**Last Pick Recap: Orioles ML vs Rays W**
Comfortable win as the Orioles complete the road sweep of the Rays. Impressive stuff.
**Today's Pick: Cardinals ML (-167) vs Pirates 5U | 7:45 EST**
Drinking the juice with Sonny Gray on the mound tonight for the Cards. Pirates pitcher has an xERA of 5 and a FIP of 4.73 which isn't great. Gray has a 2.72 for comparison. Expecting him to dominate the Pirates lineup and the Cardinals bats to bounce back after getting shredded by Skenes.
Edit: Fixed Brewers to Pirates lol.
BOL
A little bit late but going to add to the picks.
Record: 1-1
Last Pick: MLB Mariners -1.5 Runline v White Sox (Missed)
Pick of the Day: Celtics v Mavericks, Al Horford Over 1.5 First Quarter Rebounds
Analysis: Porzingis is out. Al should be playing a large chunk of the first quarter and gathering most of the missed opportunities. He's had 7 rebounds in both of the games of the series which was with Porzingis playing. I think he hits this line today early.
######**If you choose to self-promote (tips excluded) in the POTD thread:** You must have accurate tracking of your full POTD record with detailed stats including **ROI, Average Odds, Units Won** written into the comment. **No resetting records.** For picks that do not fit the POTD rules, use the [Daily Discussion posts](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/search?q=title%3A%28Wednesday%29&restrict_sr=on&sort=new). ######Example Pick Template > **Record:** > > **Net Units:** > > **ROI:** > > **Sport** | **League** | **Event Time** / **Time Zone** > > **Pick:** Include pick and specific market with odds and unit allocation here. > > **Write Up:** This pick is from my soccer model that I've been using for the past two years. It assigns ELO ratings to players and projects a win chance based on the combined ELO ratings of the players on each team. TeamReddit is projecting a 62% win chance here which creates value here on the ML.
POTD Record: 74-49 Last POTD: Jayson Tatum O15.5 RA ✅ Form: ✅✅✅✅✅ Todays POTD: __Jrue Holiday O10.5 RA 1.80__ NBA (Boston Celtics) One step closer to our goal & and I’m going with mr Jrue today my boys, this been one of the most consistent props for us and we’ve cashed it everytime. He’s been a beast for Celtics and the X factor they’ve needed both defensively and offensively. Crazy potentials and volume kinda straight forward pick imo. Jrue found himself in good rebounding positions almost every defensive possession and could’ve easily snatched a lot more, as for as assists Jrue is capable of dropping 10+ in a game if the potentials results to actual assists * Over in 8/L10 games & 6 straight * 2/2 against Mavs in the playoffs (14 & 13 RA) * Game 1 he had 9 potential assists & 14 rebound chances (23 potential RA) in a blowout * Game 2 he had 10 potential assists & 19 rebound chances (29 potential RA) Really like what I’ve seen from Holiday the first two games so I’m running it fellas, let’s get another one. Could get this one on his rebound chances alone so let’s go Tail or fade, you’re still my dawg
Post say rebounds bro not RA
Damn bro good looks meant RA
No worries bro. Let’s get it
What are your thoughts on playing Tatum O15.5 RA again? He’s hit that line pretty consistently over the playoffs as well.
Like it too bro I’m just superstitious don’t like backing the same bet twice in a row, went with my gut feel like Jrue was in better rebounding positions and I’m not sure what change in schemes we’re going to see from Dallas against Tatum but honestly I like em both
>Like it too bro I’m just superstitious don’t like backing the same bet twice in a row The mark of a successful gambler: superstition.
Sitting this one out seems so free that its too good to be true for me at least, but have had solid form recently made me a lot of money bud
Hear you bro, gotta go with your own judgement sometimes 🤝 glad to hear it my guy appreciate you
This bet looks so free that I'm kinda nervous. But I'm still tailing!!
🤣🤣🤣 it do be the best looking ones that are sketchy, hopefully it’s straight forward
It’s his birthday today too
Holy damn ur right 🤣🤣
Let’s Ride!!
Tailing! LFG Billy!
🤝🤝 !!!!!!
If you had to bet one or the other, what would it be? Mine doesn't offer both. Txs.
Rebs bro
Tails my dawgness
Tailing!
Tailing!
Dang it's went up, took it at o11.5 but I love this pick. Celtics alllll dayyyyy my guyyyy💪🏻💪🏻💪🏻
Look at this guy on a roll!
Look at my dawg still by my side 👑
Any thoughts on Tatum bounce back on points?
I like it. Tailing 🏀
Holiday got removed from bet365 rebounds and assists options. Any idea why? I got in early. Just wondering why this might have happened
I like it's but I'm seeing that line at -244 here. Way too steep for me
Record: 34-19-0 Net Units: +35.4 ROI: 23.4% Last Pick: Washington Nationals ML (-105) for 2.0 units ✅ Event: Baseball | MLB | Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants 2:45PM CST Pick: San Francisco Moneyline (-110) on Caesars for 2.0 units Write Up: On the mound for the Astros is left handed Framber Valdez (5-3, 3.53 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and .241 opponent batting average). Giants projected lineup is 11-44 (.250) against Valdez lifetime. Giants hitting .25 against lefties (versus .241 against righties) this year. For the Giants it’s Logan Webb (5-5, 2.92 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and .256 opponent batting average). Webb in 6 starts at home is 3-2, 1.71 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .235 opponent batting average. Also in 4 starts during the day is 1-0, 1.67 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and .240 ERA. BOL! 🎰
Being a Giants fan I love the pick, but can’t say I’m not a little disappointed…was coming for the guaranteed cash TexasTrifecta 1H team total points bet for the NBA game 😔 lol
Haha yeah. Put a lot of thought/research into it. 53.5 seems like a steal and I still plan to play it, but it’s one of those lines that has you thinking ‘what am I missing?’. Porzingis’ status is obviously a factor, however they still hit this every game he was out this post season (10 games). Game two was interesting, starting 0-8 from 3, but went 11-11 from the free throw line, to still get to 54 at half. The pace of play has been a little slower (41.5 attempts this series for Boston versus 44.4 all of the post season), which is more in line with how the Mavs have played this post season. In the end, couldn’t get myself to roll with it for the POTD. Best of luck to those of us still rolling with it though!
I appreciate the transparency and essentially a whole new write up for the pick you didn’t go with! I think you talked me into still playing it even thought it isn’t your POTD 🤜🏼🤛🏼 thanks for all you do on here and your info! Much appreciated
Much appreciated on the write up, I'm going to tail both of your picks!
Hey man I never would have watched baseball if not for you and that game last night was a heater holy shit. Much love!
Tailing brother. Here's my daily pick. Loving this one....has gone over 15-1 this playoffs. 12 straight over lol! Let's get it!!!! https://preview.redd.it/k0lp24yt766d1.png?width=1080&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=c6f7597ff0d0d1c4762b62b980e99e798ea286dc
Benny from beantown!
Yessiiirrrrr wolfman!!!!! Let's get these baked beans 🫘!!!!
TTF been killing it lately!
You been on a tear with these MLB picks lately
Thanks again for another amazing pick! 🙏 💰
**POTD W/L ROI** 14 - 5 ROI 72.06% +13.69 units (all bets 1u unless otherwise stated) **LAST POTD** Baltimore Orioles ML vs Atlanta Braves 635pm +110 ✅ **FORM**❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅ **TODAYS POTD:** CLE Guardians ML vs CIN Reds 710pmET +100 DK Alright guys that’s 5 in a row, let’s go for six right here with ole reliable, Cleveland guardians. I mentioned yesterday I liked this play but I wanted to make my potd Baltimore instead because of the plus money. I like this play again for this matchup and today we’re going with the plus money again. The pitching matchup on paper has Bibee slightly outmatched. But we’re ignoring that, Lodolo gives up more runs at home and with Cleveland’s Bats and Great American’s hitter’s atmosphere its a great spot for us to find and edge. I’m taking this bet and fading my own hometown team that I have grown up watching. They just can’t keep up with Cleveland. Elly, India and Steer can’t all perform on the same day it seems, they had a lil hot streak but honestly I don’t think it reflects their actual skill level…. More like luck. I’m not doing a long detailed write up again today because I don’t think you degenerates like myself even read them 😂 Let’s go Guardians for 6 in a row If you wanna show me some support and buy my kids some toys dm for my PayPal/ cash app or any other form of payment. Or just give this fucker an up vote 🫡 BOL ☘️
Read the whole fucking thing🤝
🫡
i was at a trivia night the other night and the reds are the only team that have opening day at home since 1920... that doesnt mean anything but there ya go.
Many people think it’s because we were the first major league team, we were granted opening day at home every year… it’s actually more to do with tradition and weather… Cincy was the farthest south in the western NL teams and they would play there for the better weather is what I understand.
513 in da house let’s get it 🍀🤝
Always reading every write up my guy, appreciate it 💪🏼💪🏼
**Pick Record: 26W - 14L (Push: 1)** **Last POTD: Iraq over 1.5 goals @ 2.00 ✅** Iraq win 3-1 **Units: 4** **\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_** **Today’s POTD: Brazil over 2.5 goals @ 2.25** **Game: USA VS Brazil** **Units: 4** **League/Time: International Friendlies/ 7:00 PM** USA just finished getting pumped 5-1 by Colombia, they'll look to set up better defensively but Brazil are a team that will get their way.
Is 4U your typical bet, or does that reflect your confidence? Only ask because I don't know a lot about this sport and want to tail for fun.
https://preview.redd.it/wcygoag4926d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=846ad4976112884f650357b8940498969100508e
Then let's ride together!
Friendlies get me nervous. In square I trust.
Colombia dropped 5 goals against USA and their offense isn’t nearly as good as Brazil’s. Brazil also covered this against a much better defensive side in Mexico a few days ago.
Fack
What y’all think about Brazil covering 1.5 ?
I like it my only issue is U.S.A. deciding to respond after the thrashing from columbia. Defensively USA won’t have answers for Brazils attacking force but Brazils defence can fall asleep at times which can mess up spreads
Brazil will cover the spread. to be safe, take the - .5 . The USA looks weak. BTTS is a nice lock and the over 1.5 goals as well. Brazil should win this 2-1
I said fuck it . took Brazil -1.5 put $100 to cash $202
Solid ! i took that as well on one slip.
Square always on point. I really like this pick. Brazil -1.5 isn’t bad either
Do you like over 3 for the total score ? That’s all they have on BetOnline https://preview.redd.it/uwtfv3csr26d1.jpeg?width=1284&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=864ece299c6721ca0d8707ad57bb745067e0aecd
colombia\*
Feeling lazy. I usually place 4 1 unit bets from this thread, I just threw 3u on this and called it a day. BOL all!!!
Is Brazil the away team?
yes!
Brazil is away team, right?
Any worry about the weather (rain)?
Well that did not go well lol
POTD Record: 64 - 38 Last POTD: Jays/A’s first inning tie - L Pick: Alexander Bublik ML vs Hamad Medjedovic (-172 odds via FD) 1U Edit:✅ Event: ATP Stuttgart Round of 16 7:30 A.M. CST Bublik back on grass and I love these odds for him. So far Alexander Bublik has had a great season coming into this match at number 17 in the live ATP rankings. This dude loves playing on grass and the stats back it up. This is his favorite time of year and on the other side we see a rising star in the 20 year old Serbian. Medjedovic has only played 18 career grass matches and scraped by in 3 sets in his first match against Marozsan, who isn’t quite as good on grass as Bublik in my opinion. I think we see a focused Bublik to start the grass season and we already know he likes the grass in Germany as he won Halle in 2023! [PayPal](https://www.paypal.me/micahpugh?locale.x=en_US) [Venmo](https://venmo.com/u/Micah-Pugh)
LFG!!!
Come to papa so I can give you a smooch!
-160 on betonline !
Record: 30-18 Net Units: +26.9u CounterStrike 2 (CS2) | Y Games Pro Series 2024 | 11:00 (UCT-5) Last Pick: **SINNERS ML (-165)** vs. ex-Guild Eagles 5u ✅ Todays Pick: **Enterprise ML (-105)** vs. Sampi 4.2u ✅ -This game on paper seems about as even as it can get, rank 67 vs. rank 71, they have faced off 4 times h2h in 2024 and the record is split 2-2 between them, both teams play each other very close with each of the last 4 maps all going 23+ rounds. The difference in this game compared to all the other ones is Sampi is currently in miserable form at the moment for multiple reasons. -Sampi are on a huge down swing this week and it is coming right off the back of a strong win streak which they looked like they were finally turning a corner. This weke they have lost 5 straight games and a lot of them games they were favorited to win including loses to Nemiga, CYBERSHOKE, MOUZ NXT, Aurora Young Blud and Illuminar before scraping by a 2-0 against Astralis Talent. This team has a few weak points but one of the biggest seems to be ZEDKO has been playing worse, not bad by any means but they heavily rely on massive outputs from him to have a chance against a lot of these better tier two teams. The other is sAvana and The eLiVe are both just dead weight. There is no nice way to say it but they are both really poor form at the moment. -Enterprise have been trending the opposite direction this week and have found themselves some really strong form this week. They have won 4 of their last 5 matches including 4 2-0 wins against better teams including SINNERS, and Gaimin Gladiators as well as 2-0's against Entropiq and Nexus with the one loss being to ECLOT. They are led by fr3nd who is the highest rated player in the series with a .77 KPR and is star sniper on the team. **Map Pool/Pick Ban: (map order unknown)** Enterprise ban Dust 2, Sampi ban Vertigo Enterprise pick Nuke, Sampi pick Anubis Enterprise ban Mirage, Sampi ban Inferno Ancient Decider **Map Stats:** -Enterprise are 65% winrate on Nuke on 26 maps played in the last 3 months and are an insane 12-2 in the last month on this map. They are 3-1 in the h2h against Sampi on this map in 2024. Sampi are 40% winrate on 15 maps played in the last 3 months and are 2-4 in the last month. I heavily favor Enterprise on this map both strategically and based on stats/recent form as well. Enterprise should comfortably take this map. -Enterprise are 32% winrate on Anubis on 19 maps played in the last 3 months and are 4-7 in the last month. Sampi are 64% winrate on 33 maps played in the last 3 months and 9-6 in the last month. Sampi are 2-0 in the h2h against Enterprise on this map. I favor Sampi on this map for sure but both loses were very close, I think there is a higher chance we see Enterprise take this map then we do Sampi take Nuke. I wouldn't predict it but it is very easy to let a team run away on offense on this map and Enterprise would start on offense. -Enterprise are 60% winrate on Ancient on 15 maps played in the last 3 months, and 6-3 in the last month. Sampi are 42% winrate on 26 maps played in the last 3 months and are 3-6 in the last month. They have lost 3 straight maps on Ancient but are 2-1 in the h2h against Enterprise. I still favor Enterprise by a good amount again both strategically and based on recent form. Enterprise are just playing better CS right now and look much more consistent. Momentum can be weird and Sampi just don't seem to have it recently. Enterprise should take a comfortable 2-1.
My book actually has Enterprise as the underdog weirdly enough. I think this is a good pick I’d looked at it earlier but my book hadn’t lined it until now. Tailing.
Sweat-free! Congrats on a great pick!
2024 record: 15-6-1 Total Return: +7.91 ROI: +32.96% Last 5: **❌**✅✅✅**❌** Last POTD: F5 Innings Total Runs Over 4.5 -115 (Guardians vs Marlins 1:41 PM) **❌** Today's POTD: **Cleveland Guardians ML -105 (Guardians vs Reds 7:10 PM)** Baseball | MLB Recap: Took a small break from posting but back here until I leave for vacation on Friday. The Guardians had left a lot of runners on base unfortunately and then proceeded to hit a 3 run bomb right after in the 6th inning. The Marlins managed to put up some runs but just unlucky. Write-Up: Really like the spot here and yes, I'm a Guardians fan at this point since they've won me some nice coin this season so far. I feel like the line should be a lot more favored towards the Guardians. Yes, the pitcher for the Reds, Nick Lodolo, has a better ERA but in the games where he faced relatively decent offenses, he gave up 3 or more runs each time. The Guardians are batting .250 against lefties and are really good at working the count so I think they should get to Nick pretty easily. Tanner Bibee has been great and has continued where he left off last season with a 3.73 ERA. He has been inconsistent at times but the Reds are batting .222 against lefties. Also, the Guardians have one of the best bullpens in the league to back him up should Bibee have any trouble. Even money odds on one of the best teams in the league with a relatively even pitching matchup. I'll take my chances! Good luck all! \*Note that unless specified all bets are one unit. Tracker: [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14bfG2aKsH\_dpuDL5-lRRgW9\_h4K\_kO1FSRWgcpzSerE/edit?usp=sharing](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/14bfG2aKsH_dpuDL5-lRRgW9_h4K_kO1FSRWgcpzSerE/edit?usp=sharing) TIPS: [Venmo Link](https://account.venmo.com/u/davidthunder) | [PayPal Link](https://paypal.me/davidthunder123?country.x=US&locale.x=en_US) | [Cash App Link](https://cash.app/$davidthunder123)
**2024 MLB record:**40-19-1 **Last POTD:** Cubs Rays Over 7.5 L **Today's POTD:** New York Yankees at Kansas City Royals Over 10.5 -115 (dk) **Baseball. MLB. 8:10 PM EST** So fucking close man, and so many runners left on base. It is those little half-run differences that kill you on the overs smh. I am sorry guys. If we keep up with this every other day winning, though, all we need is a little streak, and we will be well in the green! Yesterday, I took a heavily public-favored over that had some crazy reverse line movement in the hours leading up to the game and went to plus odds. The books took it all the way to the bank. Today we are doing the reverse and taking a heavily public faded over that is experiencing some reverse line movement leading up to the game. If the line moves up to 11 still take it, this one is going to be a barn burner. The Yankees are an absolute wagon and are on a path of destruction after dropping the first two game they played against the Dodgers this past weekend. Winds are going to be crazy batter-friendly. Rotowire, who I have concluded is the best source for up to date weather says this: >Wednesday night's game at Kauffman Stadium will feature clear skies and warm temperatures. Conditions will favor hitters with moderate winds blowing out to left-center field and balls carrying well in the warm air. I don't know how many of you have used that site, but it rarely says anything more than something along the lines of "slight increase of chance of home runs in all directions". The weather being batter-friendly bodes well here, especially since Kauffman Stadium is the third most hitter-friendly park in the league, according to Savant. The Yankees and Royals hit flyballs at just above the league average, which is good. This is because the Yankees already have the highest home run-to-fly ratio at 17 percent over the past three weeks and the Royals have a very low strikeout rate at 19% (4th best in baseball) over that same span. So although percentage-wise wise they are league average, the Yankees are already putting so many balls over the wall without the wind and advantageous stadium and the are Royals are putting the ball into play so often that the overall number is higher than you would think based off of the percentages. Umpire-wise, Carlos Torres is a fantastic draw for offenses. He has a pretty low K boost of 0.96 which means he calls four percent less strikeouts per game than average. He also has a very noteworthy 1.07 run boost, meaning 7% more runs than average are scored when he umps. ANother check in the box for over friendly conditions. Pitchers-wise, I like it for the over as well. The Royals are going with the bullpen game. Their bullpen stinks, at least as of late. They have the worst k/9 of all teams so the Yankees will put the ball in play even more than usual. The KC bullpen is also 24th in both ERA and batting average against the past three weeks. The way the Yankees are hitting I think they should feast. THe Yankees starting pitching has been great all year but if there was ever a chance to put up some decent offensive output against him I would say it is today. Cody Poteet is starting for the Yankees. Poteet last played in the MLB before this year in 2022 where he made 10 relief appearances for the Marlins and 2 starts. He did not initially make the team out of camp after spending last year in the Royals minor league system. This guy has definitely made the most of his opportunity after being called up from AAA to fill in for the injured Clark Schmidt, going 2-0 with an ERA below two. Matt Blake is an absolute beast at turning mediocre pitchers into great ones but I think Poteet should soon regress closer to the mean. His batted ball statistic are essentially right at league average. He doesn't really posses a true advantage that would imply he can overcome the conditions of the game particularly against a good hitting team like the Royals. I think he might be in for a bit of a rough night. **TLDR: Yankees are on fire. Royals also have a strong offense. Wind is crazy hitter friendly in a very hitter friendly park. Ump is hitter friendly as well. Royals going with a pen game when their pen has struggled a lot lately. Yankees are throwing a spot start in Poteet who is unlikely to be able to maintain the success of his first three start given the game's circumstances.** Tip Jar: chuteboxhero on cashapp and paypal (DM for venmo) POTD spreadsheet [https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit#gid=1131268657](https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1a40e93JCM3xGSHulhuPZQICFJ4hjo5bapyfwuSmEyLw/edit#gid=1131268657)
We ride 
6-3-0 ✅️✅️❌️❌️✅️❌️✅️✅️✅️ Net Units = +18.95 The tie comes through even with runs scored, always more of a sweat when that happens because it's expected to be an L if the first team scores but that is exactly why I bet for the tie. NRFI is dead, imagine playing NRFI with two pitchers 19/20 times between them NRFI hits and then it doesn't.. wouldn't be us, we cashin Sport = Basketball Event = Mavericks VS Celtics Time = 10:30AM AEST Pick = Jayson Tatum Over 15.5 RA @ 1.80 5U to make 4U This market has been hitting for me a lot these playoffs and it consistently hangs around this level. Tatum has taken a really good approach to these finals and isn't forcing anything, he has a team full of people that can score so that definitely makes it easier but still he's playing great team ball. Every 3rd series game this play offs this has hit so it's not a matter of the first away game making him come up short on this line and in saying that every 4th game this line has also hit and keep in mind majority of these games he was missing Porzingis. Game wise Porzingis being back just helps this even more. The more game time he gets the more he clears the paint and spaces the floor and the more rebounds Tatum gets. There is a reason he's the top rebounder for them and that's definitely apart of it. I'm expecting this to clear with ease but definitely rebound heavy on the split. Let's go for +20U before the NRL comes in tomorrow. Had someone ask about a tip jar so thought I'd just say this here but I dont/won't have a tip jar. Nothing against anyone who has one just personally something I am not interested in doing. I say just use a bit of your winnings and get a beer or something instead of tipping.
Tailing! BOL!
Porzingis might be out for the rest of the series
He’s day to day, where did you get he’s out for the whole series
Tailing!
Record: 25-13 (+16.59 units) ✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅ Last POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 56.5 first half June 6 Todays POTD: Boston Celtics TT over 53.5 first half Odds: -108 on DK 2 unit play NBA/ 8:35pm ET Last play was game 1. Celtics look dominant to me. Role players for Dallas haven’t done much of anything. Celtics didn’t even shoot the ball well at all in game 2 and they still scored 54 at the half. The Celtics role players like White and Holliday are just much better than what the Mavs have. Maybe this can still be a series but I’m gonna take the play that’s been cashing for me most of the playoffs. I think we’re due for a more offensive game as well. Tail or fade, you’re the boss! Good Luck fellas 🍀
good play bro i love this gonna run it back they shot like 2-11 at the half last game still scored 54 lol only thing that scares me is if porzingis is out cuz hes so money off the bench
Record: 7-2 +4.12 units Last pick: Pakistan vs Canada, Babar Azam O23.5 runs(-112) ✅ Cricket ICC World Cup Babar finished with 33 runs 🏏 POTD: USA vs India, Aaron Jones O13.5 runs(-112) Cricket ICC World Cup Aaron Jones has been a beast in this tournament. In USAs 2 games so far he scored 94 and 36 runs. India is a strong team and they’re heavily favored to win but I think the American team won’t go down without a fight especially with the tourney being played in the states. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸 BOL to all 💰
dang dog, not to be. thought it was a cert after that huge 6 with his 10th ball. thankfully I took the hit for 10+ runs @ $1.6
Took over 10 at a measly 1.44 still a sweat!
Is this for the 1st inning runs? That's what I see on my end
No, it’s a player prop for Aaron Jones. I used FanDuel
i got o12.5 in my book parimatch.
Well that was my only cricket bet I will ever make.
**Record:** 6-2 **+11.41 U** **Last Pick:** Soccer/Football | WC Qualification CONCACAF | **Cuba vs Cayman Islands** | **Match Cancelled** **Next Event:** Soccer/Football | Finland Ykkosliiga | **MP vs TPS** at 11:30AM EST **Pick:** Corners Over 11 at 1.85(-118) **4U** **Write Up:** I love this pick. Potential for high scoring corners battle. MP sits at the bottom of the league but averages 12.00 Corners a game which is the highest in the league. The over has hit (7/10) times while the 3 times it missed the game ended on 10 corners flat. Over has also hit (4/5) at home while averaging 12.80 corners at home. TPS is tied 3rd for corners scored every game at 11.30. The over has hit (6/10) and the 4 times it missed was 7,10,8,10. Over has hit (5/5) when away while averaging 13.20 corners when away. Bet placed on Bet365 Canada. Good Luck to those tailing. If you have the line at Over 11.5 I will take it at lesser units. **BEST OF LUCK**
rip I don't have corners on bovada. BOL
I dont think ive been able to do a single on of your picks on an american sportsbook
Yea most of them are european or australian games. All the big soccer leagues have finished for the season so just low league stuff left.I tried to pick an international game yesterday which everyone had access to and the game got cancelled.
0 corners 16 mins in is rough.
I always get a sick feeling when my cash out option keeps going down and not up. 🤢
https://preview.redd.it/1ccqzfg7a16d1.jpeg?width=1440&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=efbdb0e2dd233aca2af4047aad650dd2d5c8321b
Tailing all in! Fuck it hahah
Homies last words
Yeap 💀💀💀
Still love it at 11.5? Looks like it’s moved a smidge.
Oh well it’s cooked i guess
Gone :(
Record: 5-1 ✅✅✅❌✅✅ Net Units: +3.96U Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 +100✅ MLB | 4:10 PM PST Pick: Yankees -1.5 -105 Always 1U. I liked a couple other games besides this one, but others have already picked those so I’m going with Yankees -1.5 today against the Royals. Cody Poteet on the mound against Dan Altavilla, who is having his first start of the season. His first appearance was against the Yankees in the first game of the current series where he pitched 1 inning with 2 Ks, and 0 era, so not much data there. Poteet on the other hand, has given up 11 hits in 15.2 innings in his last 3 starts, but only 3 total era, with 0 era against the Dodgers. Yankees have shown so far that they’re simply a level above the Royals and well, most of the league at that. Honestly, without even knowing the pitcher for the last game, I think Yankees can 4 game sweep here, but we’ll see when we get there lol. [Tip Jar](https://venmo.com/u/fascistregime) EDIT: 6-0 first inning, it’s too easy😂
Altavilla is just the opener. He will probably pitch one inning or two at most, then Daniel Lynch will piggyback.
Pick Record: 10W - 3L Previous POTD: Sebastian Korda vs Tristan Schoolkate /// Total games under 24,5 at 1.70 ✅ Today’s POTD: Brouwer VS Mannarino // Hándicap games Mannarino -1.5 at 1.70 League/ Sport: Tennis / ATP Hertogenbosch Mannarino showed great tennis today, specially in the second set. This Game should be easier for him. Mannarino should win in 3 sets. Brouwer is a tricky player but he's left handed and that's an advantage for Mannarino Who has never Lost against lefties in grass, maybe once, i don't remember atm. EDIT: Mannarino played really bad today. What a shame...Anyways, i got a great pick for tomorrow Pd: All my picks are 1 unit
https://preview.redd.it/q6jx09dw126d1.jpeg?width=1065&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=009074cf8f772600924cb2fb1b62db34e8544797 Looks like he's 13-2 career on grass against lefties. Both losses going 3 sets. Tailing!
would you still take it at -2.5?
🎯 Modus Super Series 🎯 POTD 45-30 DARTS RECORD 45-27 (+8.88U) | All POTD bets between 1U-2U Last pick: Adam Mould ML vs Mareno Michels @ 2.00 (1.5U) ✅ Today's Pick: **Ciaran Teehan -1.5** vs Arne Spee **@ 1.80 (1.5U)** On the exact same matchup as two days ago so not much to say here that I haven't already said. Spee has stayed at the same level since then and Teehan has been playing well. Spee managed his first win yesterday vs Jim Long but that was more down to Long having an absolute shocker and practically giving him the game. Having the throw advantage works in our favour today, it should be pretty difficult for Spee to break the Teehan throw and thus we need just one break ourselves. Fingers crossed Teehan is on the ball today because if he is I think this will be a pretty easy win. Please bet responsibly and no bitching at losses. Ta.
Where did you get these odds? I see Teehan -1.5 @ 1.66 on Bet365. So, will pass for now :(
Dissapointing loss today. Teehan was 3-0 up and had 6+ darts at double to cover the line. Onto the next.
when jim long couldnt cover -1.5 spread against arne last night it made me scared to bet against him. lucky fade
Bloody choke job. Never again on Teehan
**POTD Record: 5-3 | Profit: +7.0 U** [6/11 Pick](https://www.reddit.com/r/sportsbook/comments/1dd0uzf/comment/l830h2d/): Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers / Game Total Over 8 (-117) / 3.5 U / **W** **6/12 Pick: Baltimore Orioles** vs. Atlanta Braves 6:35pm EST / **Baltimore Orioles Team Total Over 4.5 (-110)** / 5.0 U \_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_\_ Spencer Schwellenbach has only thrown 9.2 innings so far this season, so this will be a harder cap. His numbers are obviously inflated after the past two starts. D’Arnaud and him are just getting to know each other, and that veteran presence will be good for him. Let’s see how well Spencer uses the scouting advice from Travis, if at all. But in my opinion he had a pretty good debut against the Nationals on 5/29. He pitched 4 shut out innings then hung what was supposed to be an outside heater right down the middle for a three run bomb by Lane Thomas. Later in the 5th he smoked Jacob Young in the earpiece. Despite his early peripherals with respect to shadow and chase rate, you have to be concerned about his control. Guy went through a UCL repair in 2019 and a full Tommy John in 2021, so I would expect him to be in a good position right now? He’s hungry. Great velocity. Deep arsenal with phenomenal action. Eat or weep moment tomorrow. But.. as much as I hate this fucking team, I can’t deny the recent production of the O’s. * Stats that sticks out to me the most: Baltimore is the current slugging leader at .453 and Spencer’s xSLG is .441 through 9.2. His wOBA is .404. Baltimore is pounding the ball in June (.886 OPS). 53.1% of his batted balls have also been hit hard. * Spencer’s K rate is 20% and BAL doesn’t strike out a ton. 22% against righties as a team. Not really concerned about this, or really any of the other batting splits against righties as compared to lefties. * Camden yards as a stadium is neutral for slugged balls - no real advantage there. Wind is predicted to blow out towards left center at 5.8 mph for what it’s worth.. Temperature and weather is otherwise great for overs. * Atlanta is known for and is currently showing great defense. I could see this being a death by a thousand cuts with lots of singles. * Atlanta has been giving up more runs at a higher rate than their season average lately. Baltimore also leads the league in runs scored per game; 5.06 at home this season, and 6.33 across the last three games. Tampa sucks lol but i really wanted to throw that stat in. Good Luck
**Record:** 10/2/0 (W/L/D) **Last 10:** ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌ **Net Units:** +7.65 **Last Pick:** Latvia vs Faroe Islands 1 (1.90) | 1U ✅ **Sport:** Soccer | **League:** Emperors Cup Japan | **Start:** 11:30 AM / CET **Pick:** Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Baleine Shimonoseki 1&1.5+ (1.90) | 1U ✅ **Post Game Edit:** Jeez what a sweat free game, **ended 11:2, gotta love it!** I saw some of you did went with different picks, taking goals over or btts, but no matter what you took - we're all eating today! Again I had some of you in my DM's asking how to tip so I'll share some links going forward. Let's eat!! **Write Up:** Taking Japanese Cup today, where 1st tier team Hiroshima takes on 5th tier Shimonoseki. Quality gap is too big here and I just have to take chances on these odds. Shimonoseki did beat 3rd tier team in the last leg of the cup, but it's still 3rd tier. Hiroshima was Japanese champ like 3 times, 4 super cups, and dozen more trophies. Literally like having Arsenal play Boston United at home. The home team did state the following: "明日は天皇杯2回戦・FCバレイン下関戦です連戦となりますが、チームの総合力で勝ちに行きます" - basically they will do some rotations, but are still taking the game seriously and going for a win. I looked at some of the rotations players and they have delivered thus far. I believe we're getting these odds because of the rotation, but the value is too good not to take when you consider the gap between the teams. To clarify, the tip is Hiroshima to win and over 1.5 goals in the game. BOL. **Tip:** [PayPal](https://paypal.me/bpgdigital) | [BuyMeACoffee](https://www.buymeacoffee.com/bpg024)
Never though I would say this. But it's not avail on bet365
Just looked it up, it's really not there lol - didn't think that's even possible. Maybe it comes up later in the day, it can be the case with these cup games. Especially as other bookies have it.
Strange. I can see my bookies listing this cup and games today, but none of them have this game. EDIT: Appeared just before the game with odds slashed massively. Instead went for a degen bet of over 3.5 goals Sanfrecce team goals.
Holy cow. 5-1 at half time!
This is the time wen you are confident and a farmer scores goals . Btts for me.
5-1 at halftime Welcome back King 👑
Gotta love it 🫡
My book has this line at 1.14 odds. Hiroshima ML and O1.5 goals
**Record:** 3-0 ✅✅✅ **Net Units:** +2.86u **Last Pick:** Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs @ -130 (DK) | HOU Astros @ SF Giants | MLB ✅ **Next Event:** Basketball | NBA | BOS Celtics @ DAL Mavericks (8:30 PM EST) **Pick:** Jrue Holiday Over 24.5 PRA @ -112 (DK) **Units:** 1u I gotta feed the hot hand here. Jrue Holiday has been the second best player on the Celtics this series after Jaylen Brown. He's cleared this line in 5 of his past 5 games, 8 of his last 10. He also went up in minutes after game 1, from 35 to 41. He'll have plenty of chances with the way the Celtics have been running their offense, and plenty of time to hit this line if he makes his shots.
Record: 6-6 Return: +1.56 units Last 10 (new > old): ✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅❌❌ Last pick (5/7/24): Tennis - Joel Josef Schwaerzler -1.5 set spread ✅ * Schwaerzler wins 2-0 (7-6, 6-4). He saved a set point in the first set and got broken his first game in the 2nd set, but was able to pull it through when he needed to. Rosenkranz' 10 double faults didn't hurt either. **6/12/24:** Sport / League - Volleyball / Volleyball Nations League (Women) Match - Serbia (W) vs. Netherlands (W) \[Match being played in Fukuoka, Japan\] Time - *11:30pm PDT / 2:30am EDT / 06:30 GMT \~ 6 hours from post* **POTD: Serbia (W) team total OVER 52.5 points (-120)** \[Bovada\] ✅ Wager Size: 1U (Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit) Write Up: I don’t understand this line. Netherlands and Serbia are at similar standings. Netherlands is 9th in the table at 4-4, while Serbia is 11th in the table at 3-5. Serbia has gone over 53 points in the last 7 h2hs against Netherlands; winning 5 of the matches outright. Serbia has covered this line every match this VNL season. Serbia has won at least 1 set in 7 out of 8 matches. They only lost 0-3 to undefeated Brazil, and Serbia still got 53 points in that match. Netherlands has only held an opponent to under 53 points once this season (Bottom of the table France). Netherlands has only won 3-0 against Bulgaria and France (the two 1-8 teams at the bottom of the table), and Bulgaria still got 56 points in their match. Serbia are a tier above France/Bulgaria. I was going to go with OVER 127.5 points, but this Serbia TT OVER 52.5 is the same price. This is much better as it is almost the same bet if Netherlands wins (75 + 52.5 = 127.5; it can possibly go over 127.5 but under Serbia 52.5 if Netherlands wins a set with over 25 points… i.e. 26-24), but the bet will also win if Serbia just dominates the match and beats Netherlands in under 128 points. BOL! \~\~\~Update\~\~\~ ✅ Serbia scored 41 points the first 2 sets, but then won the 3rd set outright for good measure.. Everybody should've cashed. Netherlands won with final score 1-3 \[20-25, 21-25, 25-18, 12-25\]. Serbia won 78 points.
Bet365 is Serbia over 54.5 @ 1.83. Too wide?
POTD Record: 1-0 Last POTD: Rockies ML ✅ Event: Baseball | MLB | Chicago Cubs vs Tampa Bay Rays | 6:50 PM EST Todays POTD: Chicago Cubs ML +102 on DK Write up: Like I said last time, I don’t really know baseball but what I’ve been doing seems to be working. Today I’m putting my faith in Javier Assad (4-1, 2.27 ERA). His last start he gave up 5 runs so hopefully he bounces back today. The Rays haven’t been great the last two weeks and their pitcher Civale is 2-4 with a 5.37 ERA. Hopefully the cubs get the bats going early and Assad pitches well. Fingers crossed!
Ok… as a Rays fan, here is my unsolicited 2cents. The Rays just walked off the Cubs in the bottom of the 9th on a 3run HR. Anomaly, maybe.. but the Rays are one of those teams when you think they are done, they win 5 out of 6.. They just got smoked by the Orioles, who are on a legit tear. I can forgive losing to them and being swept at home. With all of that out of the way, they are now playing a team that they have a chance to beat. Civale generally keeps it close to where you should still be in the game after 4 innings.. after that, no clue. BOL if tailing. I’ll root for my Rays.
And the Cubs bullpen is a straight dumpster fire. Maybe Cubs F5
Record: 2-0 Net Units: +1.51 ROI: 76% Last pick: Miles Mikolas Over 15.5 Outs✅ (-145) Mikolas played a great game and cleared the line getting 21 outs. Today's Pick: Jrue Holiday Over 10.5 RA (-130 Bovada) Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks | 6:30 PM / MDT Write Up: Jrue has been dominating this line in this series, hitting 13 and 14 RA through the first 2 games. Jrue has cleared this line in 80% of his last 10 away games and 100% against the Mavs this season. I expect his playmaking to continue as the pace of this series has definitely favored his style of game.
POTD Record: 21-14-0 Form:✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅ Last Pick: Phillies -1.5✅ Ladies and Gentlemen we got em. Pick of the day: Dallas Mavericks ML @ 1.746 for 2U Curse is finally over and with plus money as well, now let's go for 5 straight! Backing the Mavs at home for 2 units. No team has come back from a 3-0 deficit and only 1 team came back from trailing 3-1 in the finals so this is a must win game for the Mavs. I think this is the time for Kai to step up and the Role Players to do their jobs after getting embarassed twice. Boston has not been as dominant on the road either, I think we can still get a good series here with the Mavs avoiding a potential sweep. I wanted to take the -2.5 for even odds but we might get late in the 4th shenanigans and not cover. TIPS: [PayPal](https://paypal.me/yujin072401?country.x=PH&locale.x=en_US)
Celtics haven’t been dominant on the road? They’re 6-0 away from home this post season with an average winning margin of 12.5 points. 4-0 against the Mavs this year, average winning margin of 15.5. The Mavs very well might steal one especially with KP’s status questionable, but I haven’t seen anything in their last two performances that gives me confidence they’ll turn it around. Betting against this Celtics team is downright foolhardy in my opinion, though I understand wanting to make a play on the Finals as the season winds down. Bol
Even though they swept their last series, both games at Indi were close. That was without Tyrese. In fact, they are behind for most of both games and it was the Pacers who beat themselves by not scoring in the closing minutes. 2 road games against heat with no Jimmy and 1 game vs Cavs without Mitchell (he was also really banged up in that game 3) may explain the point differential. Kristaps being day to day with a leg injury also gives me more reason to make this pick. If you don't like the pick you can freely fade me I go on cold streaks sometimes. Road Dominant Celtics is literally plus money if you take em now.
Valid points all. Not trashing your pick by any means and it’s not a game I’d try to predict the outcome of so I won’t be fading. I just enjoy discussing picks and giving some different perspective. It’s your POTD which to me means a pick you believe you have an edge on. I don’t personally see the value in taking the Mavs when I could take the best team in basketball (who’s handled this team quite easily in 4 meetings this season) at a better price.
You're a Mavs in 6 kinda guy, aren't you?
wow, really? putting 0.25u to win 3u on Mavs 4-2 then
**KBO Record: Overall 232-248-14** (Streak LLLLLLL, Last 10: 2-8) Down 16.51u over 494 KBO picks, 48.3% success rate, -3.44% ROI (Last season 85-78-7, 52.1% success rate, Up 12.26u, 7.52% ROI, This season 28-38-0, 42.4% success rate, Down 7.89u, -11.95% ROI) **Last:** Kiwoom at Lotte -135 (Lotte lost 5-2.) They carried the hottest bats in the league into this one... and laid an egg. Chalk up another loss. **Pick:** **Hanwha +105** at Doosan, KBO baseball, 5:30am ET It's the worst stretch of my narly-500 pick KBO career. If you haven't been fading, you should start. Last season, I posted a solid 7.5% ROI. This season? Ugh. Not going to spend time writing it out... just the pick. It's Hanwha at plus money. Hoping to start crawling my way back. Tail or fade, I wish you the best of luck. All wagers are 1 unit.
Burned today, naturally tailing a sport a know nothing about, in a country I know little about…
Cuse single handedly made me self exclude myself til football season starts
Cuse going on a new record for biggest loss streak ever recorded
We gather here today , to celebrate my mans first victory in over 12 years! Thanks for the pick , good luck with the rest!
Only 12 yesrs? Felt like 20!
every time I bet against the bears... well you guys know...
good hit. SS had a insane catch on a line drive to prevent the game from being even again in the bottom of the 9th.
**Record**: 3-0-0 (+3.15u) **Last pick**: Gabon to score in the second half, 1u, 2.00 odds ✅ **Current pick**: IFK Mariehamn vs VPS Vaasa BTTS, 1u, 1.8 odds ❌ **Sport**: Football/Soccer, Veikkausliiga (Finland) 5 pm CET **Reasoning**: Let's strive for another W! Today IFK faced second-placed Vaasa in Finland. IFK has conceded 9/10 games and they have scored in 10/11 of their last matchups versus Vaasa. Vaasa is in good form, but they've seen BTTS hit in 10/11 of their last games and they have scored in their last 28 games. ^(If you want to support me on my journey through medical uni/college, feel free to support me here or just give this an upvote!) [^(PayPal)](https://www.paypal.com/paypalme/KalebWL1899) ^(|) [^(BuyMeACoffee)](https://buymeacoffee.com/ksense)
It was a good read man. First time BTTS didn't hit for these 2 since 2019.
Damn what a shame... So much momentum but no goals
Insane pick yesterday lmao. The lights went out as the teams came out of the halftime break and the match was nearly abandoned. Lights came back on and Gabon ripped for 3 second half goals. Can’t make it up - chaotic tail but great pick sir🫡
Thanks! I asked for the power outage to happen, all just part of my big scheme 😂😂
Record: 4-8 Last pick: Dodgers ML Form: ❌✅❌✅✅❌ Today’s game: Celtics Vs Mavericks Pick: Dereck Lively over 7.5 RA (+105 on DK as of write up) Write Up: long time no talk, cocksuckers…get ready for the diamond in the rough, looking at my Boy D-wreck Lively II. The man wants to win. The man wants in the game, but the idiot HC for the Mavs wants to try and split his time with Kleber and Gafford(both goons). There is nobody more efficient with these stats while in the game than lively. He is a rebounding machine and will get these very quickly. With the caveat that the head coach needs to stop being a fart knocker and get him in the game. I’m also in as it gets closer to game time to bet the over assists for lively. He has been a cash cow for me and I see him hitting this number at home tomorrow. Let’s get rich, errrrrrbody and throw that chump change on lively over 7.5 RA and cash dem checks at the bank. Good luck to you, better luck to me 🍀 Let me know if you tail or fade. I love the feedback!    
He's -30 in this series. Please explain that
 Here you go. Get him minutes and he is money
**Record: 7-4-1** **Net Units: +2.73u** **ROI: 24.82%** **Baseball | MLB | 7:45 PM | EST** **Pick**: PIT/STL under 4.5 F5 Innings, -115 Bet365 Just went as cold as we were running hot but hopefully today we turn it around. I probably repeat myself a lot if you read post over post...but I really like this play (sorry I can't help it)! The angle here is simply Sonny Gray. While he wasn't awesome in his last outing, largely on the season as a whole he's been one of the best 5 pitchers in the NL. He's rocking a stellar 2.80 SIERA and a 32.80% K rate. In the other major metrics, he's been either elite, or above average in just about every single one (we're looking at CSW, SwSt, BB%, FB%, GB%, FIP, Hard% among others). In areas where he may be not as good, such as GB%, he's much better at home as well and has done a great job at keeping balls inside the park (0.27 HR/9). He gets the Pirates today, which have been one of the worst teams against RHP all season. They're bottom 5 in wRC+, OPS, wOBA, K%, and ISO and it's not like they've been crushing the ball late either. Falter is not very good, but you're getting a good cushion with the 4.5 here, which is also off market at B365 and is -122 or lower almost everywhere else. https://preview.redd.it/3nrfqct6656d1.png?width=1174&format=png&auto=webp&s=fd3070c21e3551991a53bcad3390a3b39383a81c
**Record:** 7-3 (+5.82units) *Cayman Tai came in well with its 3rd 2nd place in a row. Comfortable W.* **Today's Pick:** Call Off The Dogs (2 Places) **Wager/Odds:** 1 Unit/ $1.90 **Event:** Race #3 Fontwell **When?** 6 hours from post. **Why?** *This horse is 2 wins in a row, better yet those wins are both on this same track. Looking for a hatrick here. Both these wins were last month so the horse is looking in great form. With only a 4lb raise I don't think it's enough weight with this competition to stop him from winning this. (Taking 2 places for safety reasons). CALL OFF THE DOGS looks the pick for reasons stated but if you were to look into its competitors, you'll see almost nothing of note. All the other horses either haven't placed for a while or if they have have definitely not had consistency. So I think this horse stands out amongst a field of shit.*
Did we win? NVM CASHED IT!!
**POTD Record:** 15-11-1 (net +1.40U) **Last 10: (oldest to newest)** ✅️✅️❌❌❌❌✅️❌✅️❌ **Last pick:** White Sox/Mariners First 5 innings total runs under 4 ❌ Bryan Woo was a late scratch as he had to go get an MRI on his elbow, which was bad news for us but worse news for Woo. Thorpe only allowed 2 runs in the first 5 which was a nice Major League debut for him; I'd like to think this would have hit if it weren't for the injury. Baseball | MLB | Atlanta Braves @ Baltimore Orioles 6:35 PM EDT **Pick:** Total over 9 runs (-115) on BetMGM for 1U **Write Up:** Two rookie pitchers with a combined ERA of 18.51 starting against two teams that score very well.
Record: 4-2 ✅✅❌❌✅✅ Last Pick 6/8 (Took the weekend off): Padres vs Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 Total Runs (+105) Hard Rock 💰✅ Today: Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds| 7:10 PM EST Pick: Guards Moneyline (+100) DraftKings and Hard Rock Todays Write Up: Not quite sure why they have the Guardians at +odds here. As a Cleveland fan, I know that if Cincinnati couldn’t score a lot of runs with Tristan McKenzie on the mound yesterday, they may be in trouble today. Tanner Bibee has been stellar, boasting a 2.45 ERA over his last five starts, and hasn't allowed more than 3 earned runs in any of them. In fact, opponents are batting just .218 against him this season. The Reds' offense has been struggling, averaging only 3.4 runs per game over the last week. Meanwhile, the Guardians' offense has caught fire, scoring an average of 5.6 runs per game in their last three outings. Given these trends, the value seems far too good to pass up at plus money BOL if tailing 💰
https://preview.redd.it/djhn4a2zl56d1.jpeg?width=588&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=bf5e47e59ee648132adda1f8da36293be012c1ba
Record: 17-13 Last 10: LLWWWWWLLW Net units: +2.1 ROI: +5.08% Sporting Event: MLB: Toronto Blue Jays @ Milwaukee Brewers 14:10 (EDT) Pick: NRFI -105 @ Fanatics 1.05 to win 1 Top of the first we see Tobias Myers take the mound. He had a bit of a rough start, but he seems to have righted the ship and has 4 straight starts with a scoreless first. The Jays averaging .31 runs in the first away from home and batting .224 in June bolster the confidence for this wager Bottom of the first we see Chris Bassitt take the rubber with a .69 ERA in the first inning having allowed a single earned run in 13 starts. Current Brewers roster is batting .158 against Bassitt and sporting a 27.5% K rate. Dome My most used reference sites at the bottom BOL to all [https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/mlb-park-factors](https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/mlb-park-factors) [https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather](https://swishanalytics.com/mlb/weather) [https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/](https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/) [https://www.fangraphs.com/](https://www.fangraphs.com/) [https://pitcherlist.com/](https://pitcherlist.com/) [https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/06/mlb-stats-leaders/](https://theanalyst.com/na/2023/06/mlb-stats-leaders/) [https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game](https://www.teamrankings.com/mlb/stat/1st-inning-runs-per-game) [https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/nrfi-yrfi-stats-records-no-runs-first-inning-yes-runs-first-inning-runs-mlb-teams-bm03/](https://sports.betmgm.com/en/blog/mlb/nrfi-yrfi-stats-records-no-runs-first-inning-yes-runs-first-inning-runs-mlb-teams-bm03/) [https://www.teamrankings.com/](https://www.teamrankings.com/)
Ah shoot. I kind of hedged and did a 1st inning ML to tie @ -115... let's go Brewers?
Record: 32-17 Pick: Sonny Gray to record a win +140 The St Louis Cardinals ace is going today vs the Pirates. Gray has been a little off his game recently but I’m looking for him to pick it back up here at home. Cards are -175 on the money line and I expect them to take a lead vs Falter. Falter has actually been quite serviceable this year although his record does not reflect that. BOL
**POTD 2023 Record: 109-84 (+1.94 units)** **POTD 2024 Record: 23-23 (+0.50 units)** **Last 10**: **✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌** **Last Pick**: Jim Long -2.5 (+125) vs Arne Spee **❌** 3-4 **League**: 🎯 Modus Darts Super Series **Time**: 4:35 AM EST **Pick**: Jim Long -1.5 (+110) vs Adam Mould * Series 8. Week 2. Group A **Reason**: Long disappointed us yesterday, but he's going into today as the leader by 1 leg over Smith. Outside of Spee, everybody is in contention to win or finish in group B. I think Long bounces back to his standards. He's consistently put in some his best averages in the first two matches of the day. He has the throw advantage over Mould. His scoring dipped, but he remained good with his checkouts. Mould had a great Monday and then dipped Tuesday. His averaged dropped from 88 to 82. That includes 180s dropping from 10 to 3. Checkouts dipped from 40% to 20%. He opened with 3 matches in the 90s and the following 7 matches his best has been 85. Long has beat Mould 4-3 and 4-1 which was their last match yesterday. Jim Long * Record 7-3 * Legs 36-24 * Average 90.87 * 180s 16. 140s 35 * Checkouts 36/96 37.50% Adam Mould * Record 5-5 * Legs 28-31 * Average 85.46 * 180s 13. 140s 23 * Checkouts 28/93 30.11% **LOSS ❌ 0-4 | Average 86.04 vs 96.35 | Checkouts 1/5 vs 4/12** Mould dominated the scoring and Long didn’t match it. Caught his best average. Dud pick. Silly me for going away from the Spee match. Long smoked him 4-0.
Cooked again.
Yup. Found another dud from Long
Record: 14-6 Last Pick: Mavs o49.5 1st Half points ✅ Today's Game: Celtics @ Mavs 8:30 pm EST Today's Pick: Celtics o53.5 1st half points (-115) Reasoning: they have went over this game in 12 of the last 12 games lol. You have to go back 13 games to where they only scored 53 points in the first half against Miami, and the 3 games before that they were 63,61, and 60. They're 15-1 in the playoffs over this line. I do think this is going to be a physical defensive game. However, I easily see the Celtics eclipse in this line and I think they score 57 or 58 points in the first half. So for anybody that can sprinkle like half a unit or a little bit on some alternate lines, I think that's a good idea as well. I would take 54.5, 55.5, and up to 56.5. Lowering the unit amount as you go up. But I'm throwing 2 units on this one. Tail or fade, just do so responsibly!!!!  PS: LET'S GO CELTICS!!!☘️☘️☘️💚💚💚🏆🏆🏆
Record: 0-0 Units: 0 ROI: 0% Baseball | MLB | 5:10 PM | MST Pick: New York Mets ML -152 1U (FanDuel) Matchup between 2 lefties as listed pitchers. Marlins win percentage against lefties this season is .231% and Mets are more than double that with a .502% win rate. Marlins last 5 games against lefties have all resulted in losses. The last series they faced each other Marlins won 2-1, lost 1 game to a left handed pitcher. With Mets coming off a loss yesterday to a lefty and Marlins now up to bat against one, I believe Mets will get the dub today. Tail or fade, good luck to all who wager! https://preview.redd.it/2wfl55k0b66d1.jpeg?width=1289&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=8ba0af6f6a11fa198fae49d554d201852a692b1a
Record: 8-3 (W-L) Recent: ✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅ Last Pick: Phillies -1.5 ✅ NBA | 8:30pm EST Boston Celtics vs Dallas Mavericks Pick: Boston Celtics ALT 1Q TT o25.5 (-165) Write Up: Okay we are back in the win column. I’m returning with a vengeance. I suggest you all tail and let’s start spinning up some money! We are looking at the NBA here and the Celtics. Game 2 the Celtics missed this line by one point but they started extremely slow, other than their slow start they usually smack this line. I expect them to come out and play better than they did last time, I think we see closer to 28/29 points from the Celtics. Tatum typically has a big 1Q for the first road game of the series and I think we will see that here today. Tail or don’t, we are stealing all the money Vegas has starting today.
[удалено]
**POTD Record: 132-159-4 (-34.56 Units)** Best Bet Series: 54-33-1 (+0.6 Units) Value Wagers: 21-28-2 (-7.46 Units) Trap Bets: 20-18 (+14.2 Units) **Cautionary Tails: 8-18 (-5.94 Units)** Last Pick: **Marlins ML**✅ Today's Pick: **Samsung Lions +1.5**✅ $DKNG Odds: **+124** Wager Amount: **1U to win 1.24U** League: KBO Event: LG Twins vs Samsung Lions (4:30AM CDT) *Be Advised*: *New segment for my faders, haters, and downvoters! Wagering on bets that I know I shouldn't be betting on, but betting it anyway. These wagers should be heeded wit caution. There isn't really good analysis or reasoning behind it. These type of wagers can be prohibited wagers (juiced odds) and has a high possiblity of losing, or it could be a wager that has inflated odds and has a high possibility of losing. Tail wit caution.* **Recap**: Good win for the Fish. It's also good to see TA back in the lineup too. Gave the Marlins a lil boost today. **Matchup**: I feel really confident in all my MLB plays and even my NBA plays tomorrow, so I gotta take my POTD to an unfamiliar territory! And I'm going to international for the first time! How about some KBO? I don't kno who's hot and who's not, but I'm going to take Samsung Lions +1.5 against the LG Twins. **The Play & Prediction:** 1U on Samsung Lions RL is my only play. All my other plays will be in the betting group. Twins win, but Lions cover the RL!
Record: 0-0 Net Units: 1 (always) ROI: 0 LEAGUE OF LEGENDS | LCK | 1:00AM PST Pick: Dplus Kia +1.5 maps (-145) (hanhwa life esports vs dplus Kia) This is the starting match of summer 2024 lck split. Now don’t get me wrong, hanwha is strong and I mean very strong this split. But this is the first game of the split so I’m more interested in what dplus has to bring to the table this summer. It’s been the hanwha show for the past few series but I think dplus can rip one map off here. These teams faced each other quite a lot now and dplus isn’t some bum team. Expect fireworks and one map win from dplus. EDIT: WINNER WINNER CHICKEN DINNER. They won the series actually 2-1!
**Record:** 11W - 11L - 0P **Last 10 (new --> old):** **❌✅❌✅✅**❌❌**❌✅❌** **Net Units:** 1.7825 (All bets are 1 unit unless otherwise stated) **Last Pick:** Bryan Woo to record a win - Yes @ +110 **(VOIDED)** Well, unfortunately Woo was scratched from his start as he'll need an MRI on his pitching elbow. That bet gets voided, so we'll just take what was returned and wager again. **MLB** ⚾ | **Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners | 8:40pm CST** **Today's Pick:** Bryce Miller to record a win - Yes @ +110 (DK) **Write Up:** I'm going to continue to go for better value with my picks, even if they don't pan out successfully. RUN. IT. BACK. 🔙 No, you're not seeing a typo. This pick is for Bryce (Miller) not Bryan to record a win for Seattle. Unfortunately, we didn't get a chance to see Woo pitch for Seattle against the White Sox yesterday, which could have changed the complexion of that game. A lot of what I said in my last write-up can/should ring true. I'm not sure when the White Sox will come back down to earth, but I got to imagine it'll be soon. (And I'm saying this as a White Sox fan myself.) They continue to get very good pitching followed by their bullpen blowing it. I just don't have faith that the White Sox are going to continue holding it together for the first 5-7 innings of every game. Maybe they'll continue to put doubters (like myself) in their place, but I just feel like they're due for an ass kicking. The White Sox will start Johnathan Cannon on Wednesday. He has a 5.94 ERA and 1.62 WHIP over 4 total appearances, 3 of which were starts. He had bad outings in 2 of those 3 starts. Additionally, he doesn't walk many batters, but he gives up a bunch of hits. Seattle will start Bryce Miller, who has a respectable 3.81 ERA, 1.02 WHIP, and 72 strikeouts in 75.1 IP. His splits show us he's pitched well at home and somewhat decently during night games. Righties have a better batting average against him, but lefties have put up better power numbers against him. As stated in the last write-up, the White Sox don't have much power from their lefties outside of Gavin Sheets. He's given up 4+ earned runs in 4 of his last 7 starts, but those were against much better offenses (KC, NYY, BAL, HOU). https://preview.redd.it/ulh82sn0e36d1.png?width=892&format=png&auto=webp&s=86162eb8cc5368aeb0c6e23b925c3027e4d1dc27 The last thing I'll note is that this current White Sox roster is only 2 for 17 with 5 strikeouts and 0 walks against Miller. It's a small sample size for sure, but it's nice to know he's fared well against them. BOL if you're tailing, or fading!
5-2 Sport: CS2 Event: Skyesport Championship Game: Bleed vs B8 Pick: over 2.5 maps at 1.85 Reason: Both good teams that looked less solid then they usually do. Coming in both teams should win their map pick. Bleed ancient and B8 nuke. Blee dont usually pick ancient but theyre loads better on it than B8. Inferno is dangerous and so is anubis. The risk is that both teams have a real solid map pool and can play almost all maps. But B8 clearly are better nuke team and Bleed on the same with ancient. They might pick different maps depending on how they prepared for the game but I expect both teams to come hungry and prepared for their map pick.
Lost, unfortunately b8 picked mirage for some reason instead of nuke. Lost overtime
Record 2-0 Last pick cardinals vs pirates U/7.5 ✅ Today’s pick nationals vs tigers U/7.5 I know I know all unders super fun but that’s where the value is. Everyone always wants to take the over because it’s more fun and less sweaty but I like it sweaty. Yesterday’s game should’ve went under but Detroit hit a grand slam and then Washington tied it up in the 8th to send it to extras. Both teams are ranked bad in batting average and runs and have 2 decently high strike out pitchers pitching. Olsen doesn’t have the best record but doesn’t have a terrible rbi. The line mover from 8 to 7.5 and Vegas is trying to beg you to take the over but that’s where do what they don’t want us to and ride the under. Let’s ride
Record: 0-0-0 Last Pick: N/A Event: Basketball | NBA | Boston Celtics @ Dallas Mavericks 8:30 PM EST Pick: Derrick White Over 2.5 Steals + Blocks (+120) via DraftKings for 2.0 units White has covered this line in 3/4 games. He's averaged 4.5 Steals + Blocks combined in those four games. In the last two playoff series he's averaging 3.8 and for a further look back he's averaging 2.2 during the regular season. He covered this line twice during the two regular season meetings against the Mavs. It may not be sweat free, but I'm riding the wave of the dominate Celtics back court defense and taking this line at +money seems generous enough.
0-0 POTD: Luka Doncic over 8.5 1Q points -112 (Celtics @ Mavericks) 2U Luka is dominant, and always comes out hot in the 1st quarter. Personally, I think the Mavs take Game 3, but I feel more confident in this play. I will also be playing Luka as the highest first quarter scorer at plus money. KP is hobbled or not playing, and this will benefit Luka produce offense. Luka is also averaging 12.8 first quarter points after losses. He's going to come out hot. BOL
Record (13-8) Units (+5u) Previous Result: Baltimore Orioles ml✅ Streak: W2 Today’s play: Cleveland Guardians ml (-105) Event Start time: 7:10pm EST Unit Size: 1u to win 1u Recap/Reasoning for pick: What a beautiful sweat free winner the dirty birds of Baltimore gave us. 3 run long ball in the second put them ahead where they stayed all game. That win officially puts me up 5 units for the first time since I started posting 3 or so weeks ago. No, I’m not satisfied. Today we’re rolling with a road dog, the Guardians (I still call them the Indians) Tanner Bibee has been solid for them this b year posting a 4-1 record with a 3.73 ERA. Cleveland pitchers rank 6th in road ERA, on the other side of things at home Reds pitchers rank 20th in home ERA. Flipping to offense, against LHP on the road the Guardians rank 11th in AVG, 10th in OBP, and 9th in OPS. At home against RHP Cincinnati ranks 27th in AVG, 16th in OBP, and 21st in OPS. The Guards won last night after falling behind early. I expect them to control this one from the start! BOL with your plays tonight, let me know down below if you’re tailing!
**POTD Record: 39-31** Last 10: ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌ Last pick: Mavs vs Wolves | 5:30 PST | Karl Anthony Towns OVER 4.5 1st quarter points (-125) 1u Bet365 ❌ Today’s pick: Celtics vs Mavs | 5:30 PST | Jayson Tatum OVER 9.5 Rebounds (-120) 1u BETMGM Rolling with Tatum in this one. Tatum has struggled with his shot but has still had a huge impact in this series. I like his rebounds in this one because he has a good recent history of showing up for that first road game in the playoffs. It’s also one of the more controllable stats for him as all it takes is effort to create chances. He had 13 in game 3 against the Cavs and 10 in game 3 against the Pacers. He’s also averaging 11.8 rebounds on the road in the playoffs. Bring us some cash Tatum! BOL if tailing!
POD RECORD: 14W-11L Last pick: Luka over 8.5 rebounds WIN Today pick: Luka over 9.5 rebounds (-130 DK) Luka continues to hit this number. He has hit this in 8 of the last 10, and has hit this easily the last 4 games. Dallas poised to win and Luka going to lead the charge tonight. Bol.
**2024 MLB Record:** 11-4-2 (W-L-P) **Units:** +14 **Last POTD:** Chicago White Sox @ Seattle Mariners: ***Under 6.5 Alternate Total Runs Scored +111*** P ❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅ - I gave myself a pass since they swapped out our main man Woo last second, still very close at only 7 runs were scored! Would have been around 5 if Woo was pitching. **Today’s POTD:** ***Reese Olson over 17.5 outs recorded -130*** **Units:** 2 ***Reasoning:*** Today we are going to Detroit, where we're gonna be jumping on this line for olson. Besides his last couple starts he's been very solid. - He has a 2.84 ERA at home compared to his 3.97 ERA on the road. - He has 12 starts overall on the year, he's 1 for 7 on the road for this line but he has covered this line 4 out of 5 times when pitching at home this season. - The Nationals have been awful at hitties righties on the road this season and especially the last bunch of games. ***As always BOL guys, let’s get this money***!☄️ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - \*\*\*If anyone would like to drop a tip pm me for my PayPal, Zelle, or Apple Cash/Pay. Thanks guys much love\*\*\*❤️
**POTD Record 37-33-1 (+10.90U) | Average Odds -109 (1.92) | ROI 3.23%** **Last Pick Recap: Orioles ML vs Rays W** Comfortable win as the Orioles complete the road sweep of the Rays. Impressive stuff. **Today's Pick: Cardinals ML (-167) vs Pirates 5U | 7:45 EST** Drinking the juice with Sonny Gray on the mound tonight for the Cards. Pirates pitcher has an xERA of 5 and a FIP of 4.73 which isn't great. Gray has a 2.72 for comparison. Expecting him to dominate the Pirates lineup and the Cardinals bats to bounce back after getting shredded by Skenes. Edit: Fixed Brewers to Pirates lol. BOL
> **Brewers** Hmm.
A little bit late but going to add to the picks. Record: 1-1 Last Pick: MLB Mariners -1.5 Runline v White Sox (Missed) Pick of the Day: Celtics v Mavericks, Al Horford Over 1.5 First Quarter Rebounds Analysis: Porzingis is out. Al should be playing a large chunk of the first quarter and gathering most of the missed opportunities. He's had 7 rebounds in both of the games of the series which was with Porzingis playing. I think he hits this line today early.