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“We see a correction in the next two weeks…. “
Who the eff is we? It’s just you, you regard, you do not represent an investment firm. Monkeys these days using the royal we like they aren’t talking themselves into rainbow bear and butt stuff
Thank you, sir/ma’am, these are the posts that keep me lingering on this sub. People vehemently and confidently spouting predictions about something they have a half baked understanding of. I even see you quoting in comments that Bezos selling millions of shares as an indicator things are going to tank…. Yikes man. Godspeed!
Yea, you know the meme where the dumb guy and the super smart guy agree, and the normie in the middle is seething? This guy is a perfect encapsulation of that, as are all bears. They think they are the smartest guy in the room even when they are wrong over and over and over again
It's impossible for a bull market to last more than 4 months clearly as op pointed out. Outside of the decade long bull market we had in the 2010s of course...
You noted the Inflation Reduction Act pumping billions into the economy then totally forgot about it. 😂 It will keep the economy going along with CHIPS and infrastructure bill.
This is what happens to someone when their portfolio is blood red deep into Earth because you try making sense of the market.
You come out of the closet to show your fellow redditors youre actually regarded. Never go full regard.
There will be a 30% drop. Maybe Monday, maybe after NVDA earnings report, maybe in a year or three. It’s crazy because this market reminds me of both 2000 ( with NVDA the new CSCO - eventually companies will have more routers/chips than they need and the bottom drops out) AND 2004 at the same time (when the S&P went up 25% 3 years in a row). Who the fuck knows? All I know is everything I’ve bought recently (SCMI, GCT, FROG, SNOW, MDB) has mooned and on Monday I’m going to do the hardest thing possible in a red hot bull market - take some profits.
There will be a drop like there always is the second we enter another rate hike cycle. It's not a coincidence they start messing with interest rates in late 2000 and by March of 01 the shit imploded. And the s&p rallied then simply because we had 2 wars ongoing which lead to a huge boom in the oil industry after 9/11 from increased demand and geopolitical turmoil. Oil was 17 dollars a barrel prior to 9/11 in 2004 it was nearly 60.
It's going to keep running. Sure sectors will cool off like semiconductors but overall it should be a pretty decent year probably not anywhere near last year but that was an outlier anyhow.
I like your thesis. I’m gonna buy NVDA puts again this week.
I made out on the dip last week when it dropped to $665, then gave my profits back after.
I’m thinking I’ll scale into puts
I said the same back when Chipotle was $300. They had a salmonella break. Sold and thought "what dumb bastards would keep this stock, they make burritos".
Well, the Market can be pretty stupid for a pretty long time.
Its election year, bruh.
Time for stocks to go up, brah.
AI Dark Brandon going to forgive everyone's unpaid credit cards, breh.
SPX 7000 end of year, beauih.
Can we just change this group from Wall Street bets to NVIDIA fan boys club. My gosh I get that nvdia is running but yall act like it’s the only stock in the market. I miss the old Wall Street bets.
The only thing you find in the discussion threads is NVIDIA and Tesla.. you have to scroll so far down to find any other thing if at all. I get it’s hot but no one likes to make money on other stocks? CRWD is hot right now! 400 before march
OP, your wife is obviously out with her boyfriend tonight.
I don’t see much about the commercial real estate industry between now and 2027 with the contracts are up. Right now for me. It’s the most likely candidate for a 10% correction. If it actually gets that bad considering the timeline of credit. It’s more like to just drop slightly and stay there for a minute till we get under control.
You don’t think they’re going to try to use the lowered interest rates to give the banks more capital to buy up the less risky assets from the failing banks?
You are pretty much stating the obvious, except it’s all about timing and knowing exactly when is basically the key money maker. Stocks go up and down, they bubble, people fomo and are irrational… pretty much BAU, yes correction will come starting with 10% drop slowing down around 30% . But when ? It can keep bubbling up for 6 months to come coz peeps irrational, and you d be missing on gains, plus if your put strategy came earlier than expected… you get deleted
Hahaha money will pump to china and india while america goes down shitter
You are the first person on this board i’ve needed to actually call re-tarded
I love when someone is so confident in how the market will go in 12-18 months. Like dude, my magic 8-ball says "ask again later". Where you buy the one that calls things out a year and half out?!
Rate cuts are coming later and the whole stock market will sky rocket. Inflation will continue because that’s the ONLY WAY we would justify our deficit spending. So of course keep buying into the stock market.
https://preview.redd.it/bpgi5ye7qqhc1.jpeg?width=1050&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dac26bf99bdacba16a6a03acfaa21d15cbd77a25
Let’s just see what happens here
This will absolutely happen...at some point. Timing is the impossible (and loss making) thing. I agree Chinese stocks might soon be, or already are, a good pivot.
Don't make the mistake of thinking the US pumping liquidity caused a bull market therfore the Chinese doing it will too. This could be true but it is no certainty with the mess that is China.
Lmaooo. Is your investment timeframe 100+ years you regard? If your portfolio goes to zero because you think „stonks only go up“ do you have 30 years to do it all over again?
*This “pivot.” Is it in the room with us now?*
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Erm, go look at history, plenty of dumps after rate cuts in the past. This time is different though right? We’ve never experienced euphoria over a new technology before.
he’s not wrong abt s&p with overall stocks not doing shit. ppl are just hitting big with nvda, arm, amd, etc…i missed out and am pretty sore abt it. i did not expect any of this shit happening. made all the wrong moves.
I think it will pump more towards the bitcoin halving hype. Than more money will inflate the markets than fucking blackrock and all them bastards will rug it all. until than we going to the moon for now😂😂😂💰💰💰💰 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)![img](emote|t5_2th52|31224)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421)
I’m actually NOT going to make fun of you like these other regards and instead ask a regarded question about your thesis: I think you are insinuating that a fed rate cut will lead to stonks being sold, not bought? When has that ever happened? Rate cut lead to bull runs, not bear runs, because, if I remember anything from college economics besides the Freakonomics guys having studied hookers and somehow that was considered “curriculum”, rate cuts make borrowing money cheaper than the future value of treasuries. Translation: rate cuts mean stonks go up, not down. Why does your thesis appear to contradict basic macro-economics and history?
This is one of the most cogent comments I’ve actually read in this thread besides people just telling him how “bears are wrong.” I did the napkin math. For the parameters in his scenario to play out, the “magnificent seven” alone would need to liquidate somewhere between 3.8 and 5.3 trillion dollars from current valuations to price in a rate cut, and all within Q2 of this year. If anything close to that happened, the rest of the underlying index and international indexes would follow suit. The underlying catalyst for this would be such a wholesale repudiation that we’d see market corrections far worse than 2022 or even 2020. There is no macro reality in the global market that would imply China or India (or any of the other names mentioned) would still rally while the U.S market enters a downturn of this size. If I try to conceptualize this scenario on how it would look in practice and not in paper, my common sense cannot envision 5.3 trillion being sold in order to price in a rate cut.
I guess I still am missing what the catalyst would be for such a drastic and sudden loss of valuation among Mag 7 in this scenario. Also, just to continue to play devil’s advocate here - there’s about 100 million other ways 2024 could go that is not this. If there’s one thing we know from studying past historic recessions, crashes, and depressions, it’s always a confluence of macro and micro economic catalysts that all hit at the same magic moment. That was true for 1928, early 1970s, and 2008. I just don’t see how you can be so confident that something like that is not just looming around the corner - but that it’s basically in 14 days and definitely by Q2?? I dunno man. If you’re right, you’re a fucking prodigy. But chances are astronomically more likely than not that this post won’t age well…
I tend to agree with you on the cut interest rates and the market turning into a bull run. However, there might be a little pull back because if you are all ready in a bull run, many Wall Street investors/retail investors will start to question why there are interest rate cuts. They will think the economy is worse off than they believe, the market is over bought, ask what does the Fed know that we don’t since we are in a bull market, and question why rates are being cut (especially if there are multiple cuts with inflation lingering and a strong labor report). I think initially there would be a sell off. Then when the dusts settled, a continued bull run.
You’re right about valuations but I think you have the macro 100% wrong. The economy and inflation have been indisputably accelerating for a couple months. Employment has ticked up, along with manufacturing, while service inflation remains sticky. The bigger risk is that all cuts get taken out of the curve and the Fed starts jawboning about rate hikes again.
So many braindead sheep. Your SPY calls will eat shit in the next two weeks. And Fuck NVDA in general bunch of sheep who can't think or trade for themselves. "I'm a bull, I'm a bear" who gives a fuck lol suck my dick
Agree SPY mag 7 are overvalued, now TSLA was already the first domino.
Anyway, by end of March is usually the best month to buy, then again early October, so he might be right, -5 to -10% SPY in the next few weeks would be no surprise. The earnings season in many cases wasn't too kind so far (think HUM or APD), still RSP or QQQE don't look like a crash is imminent.
So the rest of that doomsday scenario seems unrealistic.
Long term puts seems fine, but why does everyone on this sub insist on getting in before the action starts.
Spent the Fall watching puts print and then bought up stocks to hold long term with the profits. Should've bought more and held on to some even longer, but its better to silently ride the wave (or yolo and scream when you win?) than to hope you timed it to perfection.
You can still get filthy rich (don't worry I'm not) by being there day 2 of the big corrections and buying before the absolute bottom.
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Winners win right? ![img](emote|t5_2th52|31224)
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Get crazy with the cheese whiz
Drive-by body pierce
Double barrel buckshot
Kill the headlights and put it in neutral Stock car flamin' with a loser and the cruise control. That's how I feel about this post
Yo soy puedador.
But theres millions of peaches, peaches for free!
And whiners whine.
Bullish
That Big Short moment when laying on the floor saying I can’t be wrong! That retail game store go boom boom again and game over!
[удалено]
That was crazy. I might buy some more now again.
I read an almost identical post in early 2023. I'll come back in two weeks and bow to your foresight or mock you.
!Remindme 14 days "-10%"
Well OP is a fucking idiot. Not surprised.
No surprise whatsoever
yep
Well well well
I will be messaging you in 14 days on [**2024-02-24 02:36:32 UTC**](http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=2024-02-24%2002:36:32%20UTC%20To%20Local%20Time) to remind you of [**this link**](https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1an5ma1/alright_dipshits_the_fun_and_games_are_over/kpqach1/?context=3) [**365 OTHERS CLICKED THIS LINK**](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5Bhttps%3A%2F%2Fwww.reddit.com%2Fr%2Fwallstreetbets%2Fcomments%2F1an5ma1%2Falright_dipshits_the_fun_and_games_are_over%2Fkpqach1%2F%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%202024-02-24%2002%3A36%3A32%20UTC) to send a PM to also be reminded and to reduce spam. ^(Parent commenter can ) [^(delete this message to hide from others.)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Delete%20Comment&message=Delete%21%201an5ma1) ***** |[^(Info)](https://www.reddit.com/r/RemindMeBot/comments/e1bko7/remindmebot_info_v21/)|[^(Custom)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=Reminder&message=%5BLink%20or%20message%20inside%20square%20brackets%5D%0A%0ARemindMe%21%20Time%20period%20here)|[^(Your Reminders)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=RemindMeBot&subject=List%20Of%20Reminders&message=MyReminders%21)|[^(Feedback)](https://www.reddit.com/message/compose/?to=Watchful1&subject=RemindMeBot%20Feedback)| |-|-|-|-|
!remindme 14 days
!remindme 14 days
!redmineme 14 days
!regardme 14 days
You will be dried up in 14 days - not sure if you're going to make it.
I starch my socks daily.
!remindme 14 days
Remind me! 14 days
!Remind me 14 days
!remindme 14 days
What a joker
!Remindme 14 days
!remindme 14 days
Where is this fool now?
Well, this aged poorly
No 10% correction yet. Eventually you will be right but not this time haha
!remindme 14 days “-10%”
!remindme 14 days “-10%”
Uh oh lol
!remindme 14 days
This regard just literally confirmed NVDA is going to 1420
As soon as we stop getting posts like this, we know the run is over
At least it's well written though. I like my fiction authors erudite.
Can you spell erudite with crayons? Writing a novel is hard enough using them.
Instructions unclear. Tried writing on my monitor in crayons and it's not working.
Just draw a squiggly graph 📈 so that it’s always going up and your money problems are gone
You're obviously an expert, but unfortunately I already ate the green one 🥴
“We see a correction in the next two weeks…. “ Who the eff is we? It’s just you, you regard, you do not represent an investment firm. Monkeys these days using the royal we like they aren’t talking themselves into rainbow bear and butt stuff
Maybe OP will “correct” his position by selling his puts and buying calls
Him and his wife’s boyfriend. “We”
Damn bro, that's a bargain ![img](emote|t5_2th52|33495)
This all sound insanely bullish to me. Qqq 500 weekly calls
😂😂😂
I heard the infrastructure spending hasn't even started.
Most of the actual work hasn’t started, a lot of the consulting and now engineering has been done the actual projects are just starting in 2024.
A lot of that has already been priced into the many company's stocks that are going to benefit from the infrastructure investment.
IRA stimulus money has barely hit
Thank you, sir/ma’am, these are the posts that keep me lingering on this sub. People vehemently and confidently spouting predictions about something they have a half baked understanding of. I even see you quoting in comments that Bezos selling millions of shares as an indicator things are going to tank…. Yikes man. Godspeed!
He’s long China and short the US stock market. This is one of the most regarded autists we may ever see.
This was another component of that wall of text that made my brain hurt. Oof.
When OP admits he was wrong then I’ll know we finally topped out
Because this poor bear is sad of losing money on NVDA puts every week while everyone posting their call gains
Yea, you know the meme where the dumb guy and the super smart guy agree, and the normie in the middle is seething? This guy is a perfect encapsulation of that, as are all bears. They think they are the smartest guy in the room even when they are wrong over and over and over again
I lost money and I want you to lose money too so sell now!
Predicting 3 rate cuts in the next 3 quarters… I believe this regard is what the kids call delulu
Too much to read. Just say you bought $400 spy puts
[удалено]
Genius-level apostrophe
![img](emote|t5_2th52|31225)
Raising cash. Checking under the couch cushions, calling grandma. Do I have this right? You are long PYPL and your thesis is tech implodes.
Brave of him to pick a hill to die on!
Bers are cute when angry and solvent
Believe it or not, bullish
All of 2022 was shit. A lot of 2023 was crap. Things just started getting good in Oct 2023. It can’t be over yet. Emotional rant. Sorry.
What are you talking about? 2023 was good until October and then it got better
Fr this is barely getting started.
It's impossible for a bull market to last more than 4 months clearly as op pointed out. Outside of the decade long bull market we had in the 2010s of course...
![img](emote|t5_2th52|27189)
If shit turns down, just sell …. the fuck am I missing?
My portfolio is slowly turning into half calls lol
Too simple?
Burry, is that you?
Don’t underestimate the power of the US military. That $34T debt is on paper. The military is real!!
angry bear alert
This reads as a creepypasta
Not reading all that happy for you or sorry that happened
You noted the Inflation Reduction Act pumping billions into the economy then totally forgot about it. 😂 It will keep the economy going along with CHIPS and infrastructure bill.
It's 2024. Billions is spelled with a Tr
I did a similar thing last year and did not end well
Thanks for not telling your story!
This is what happens to someone when their portfolio is blood red deep into Earth because you try making sense of the market. You come out of the closet to show your fellow redditors youre actually regarded. Never go full regard.
Yup. Have to cope somehow. Can’t face reality of being wrong.
What are you willing to put on the line if you're wrong?
lmao buying china and india 😂😂
Hehe, read the last lines of his post. He blew his cover away. Think: who is calling people to enter a burning building at this time?
Right I get Ringing the cash register when VTI is trading 25x earnings, but flipping to China or India is crazy. Just go to bonds or money markets.
Too long you wrong
Waaay too many words
There will be a 30% drop. Maybe Monday, maybe after NVDA earnings report, maybe in a year or three. It’s crazy because this market reminds me of both 2000 ( with NVDA the new CSCO - eventually companies will have more routers/chips than they need and the bottom drops out) AND 2004 at the same time (when the S&P went up 25% 3 years in a row). Who the fuck knows? All I know is everything I’ve bought recently (SCMI, GCT, FROG, SNOW, MDB) has mooned and on Monday I’m going to do the hardest thing possible in a red hot bull market - take some profits.
There will be a drop like there always is the second we enter another rate hike cycle. It's not a coincidence they start messing with interest rates in late 2000 and by March of 01 the shit imploded. And the s&p rallied then simply because we had 2 wars ongoing which lead to a huge boom in the oil industry after 9/11 from increased demand and geopolitical turmoil. Oil was 17 dollars a barrel prior to 9/11 in 2004 it was nearly 60. It's going to keep running. Sure sectors will cool off like semiconductors but overall it should be a pretty decent year probably not anywhere near last year but that was an outlier anyhow.
Look at you using the ol’ thinker doodle.
This
I like your thesis. I’m gonna buy NVDA puts again this week. I made out on the dip last week when it dropped to $665, then gave my profits back after. I’m thinking I’ll scale into puts
More puts to fuel the rocket. Thank you for your service.
“bears capitulated and are silent” proceeds to give his bearish takes
I believe the game is rigged enough to continue stumbling forward to all time highs
I feel called out![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)
OP was talking about you specifically
He should feel ashamed ![img](emote|t5_2th52|12787)
I said the same back when Chipotle was $300. They had a salmonella break. Sold and thought "what dumb bastards would keep this stock, they make burritos". Well, the Market can be pretty stupid for a pretty long time.
Yawns..all that typing...for nothing...surprise a regard can type so well.
I wouldn't touch that Chinese shit even with someone else's money!
yup. chinese stocks are 95% bullshit 5% chickenshit. it’s the wuhan wet market of economies.
2026?!! ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271) wait until the Fed cuts rates and pours gasoline on this fire
Bingo
I think a lot of people fail to consider the possibility of hyperinflation...lets go to the jupiter babyyyyy
Its election year, bruh. Time for stocks to go up, brah. AI Dark Brandon going to forgive everyone's unpaid credit cards, breh. SPX 7000 end of year, beauih.
Bad day, buddy?
Mom asked him to pay rent for the basement suite
Woah i did not know powell was in this sub posting
So Nvidia calls weren't such a bad idea after all...
Tík tok 2 weeks are here.
Can we just change this group from Wall Street bets to NVIDIA fan boys club. My gosh I get that nvdia is running but yall act like it’s the only stock in the market. I miss the old Wall Street bets.
Yeah let's get back to the good ole days of Smile Direct Club and Wish.com and other titans of industry.
$CLOV to the moon?
Yeah and that laser company that has been around since the Clinton administration but has yet to make a single fucking product
Nvda and lly are proping up the stock market
The only thing you find in the discussion threads is NVIDIA and Tesla.. you have to scroll so far down to find any other thing if at all. I get it’s hot but no one likes to make money on other stocks? CRWD is hot right now! 400 before march
Yea I miss when Telsa was at $720 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4260)
When we acted as if Tesla was the only thing going to the moon?
Very good points and similar to my thinking, timing is a bitch though.
How tf can someone write this long post
He’s that regard on the subway feverishly pecking away at his “Smart”phone!
Color me surprised, it's actually a load of horseshit
OP, your wife is obviously out with her boyfriend tonight. I don’t see much about the commercial real estate industry between now and 2027 with the contracts are up. Right now for me. It’s the most likely candidate for a 10% correction. If it actually gets that bad considering the timeline of credit. It’s more like to just drop slightly and stay there for a minute till we get under control. You don’t think they’re going to try to use the lowered interest rates to give the banks more capital to buy up the less risky assets from the failing banks?
You are pretty much stating the obvious, except it’s all about timing and knowing exactly when is basically the key money maker. Stocks go up and down, they bubble, people fomo and are irrational… pretty much BAU, yes correction will come starting with 10% drop slowing down around 30% . But when ? It can keep bubbling up for 6 months to come coz peeps irrational, and you d be missing on gains, plus if your put strategy came earlier than expected… you get deleted
i can’t hear you over the radio in my Ferrari while i drive down the road with your wife sucking my dick.
Well it's been 2 weeks... You were saying what?
Hahaha money will pump to china and india while america goes down shitter You are the first person on this board i’ve needed to actually call re-tarded
all in call on Monday
I love when someone is so confident in how the market will go in 12-18 months. Like dude, my magic 8-ball says "ask again later". Where you buy the one that calls things out a year and half out?!
Rate cuts are coming later and the whole stock market will sky rocket. Inflation will continue because that’s the ONLY WAY we would justify our deficit spending. So of course keep buying into the stock market.
lol; thanks OP that was fun to read
Angry?
The market is made up and the prices don’t matter
I made money all through October and made money on PayPal today. There is no bad market, just bad trades.
Thanks for your donation.
https://preview.redd.it/bpgi5ye7qqhc1.jpeg?width=1050&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=dac26bf99bdacba16a6a03acfaa21d15cbd77a25 Let’s just see what happens here
Tldr next stop SPY $6000, NVDA $800
$900 sir
The market can stay irrational longe that you can stay solvent
This will absolutely happen...at some point. Timing is the impossible (and loss making) thing. I agree Chinese stocks might soon be, or already are, a good pivot.
Don't make the mistake of thinking the US pumping liquidity caused a bull market therfore the Chinese doing it will too. This could be true but it is no certainty with the mess that is China.
It will happen because the ride cannot continue forever, but like you said no one knows when and that’s going to be the hard part
When you say that it cannot continue forever, have you ever looked at the DOW from 1890 to 2024?
Lmaooo. Is your investment timeframe 100+ years you regard? If your portfolio goes to zero because you think „stonks only go up“ do you have 30 years to do it all over again?
*This “pivot.” Is it in the room with us now?* *I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please [contact the moderators of this subreddit](/message/compose/?to=/r/wallstreetbets) if you have any questions or concerns.*
The pivot is in your mom's room
Oh look it’s Nostradamus
Look at all them words, bullish ![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)
I am usually a bull but I agree too many people are euphoric. I am 20% cash rn
!Remindme 14 days "-10%"
Erm, go look at history, plenty of dumps after rate cuts in the past. This time is different though right? We’ve never experienced euphoria over a new technology before.
You calling $SOFI $LYFT $PYPL $BABA and $BIDU “small caps” tells me all I need to know ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4271)
he’s not wrong abt s&p with overall stocks not doing shit. ppl are just hitting big with nvda, arm, amd, etc…i missed out and am pretty sore abt it. i did not expect any of this shit happening. made all the wrong moves.
dumbest fucking shit I've read here and I've been here for a while
The market won’t dump properly until posts like this stop
Welp that 2 week correction didn't pan out. NVDA still soaring. How much are you down, OP?
Here from the future to ask you how it feels to be so very wrong
I think it will pump more towards the bitcoin halving hype. Than more money will inflate the markets than fucking blackrock and all them bastards will rug it all. until than we going to the moon for now😂😂😂💰💰💰💰 ![img](emote|t5_2th52|4258)![img](emote|t5_2th52|31224)![img](emote|t5_2th52|8882)![img](emote|t5_2th52|18630)![img](emote|t5_2th52|27421)
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I’m actually NOT going to make fun of you like these other regards and instead ask a regarded question about your thesis: I think you are insinuating that a fed rate cut will lead to stonks being sold, not bought? When has that ever happened? Rate cut lead to bull runs, not bear runs, because, if I remember anything from college economics besides the Freakonomics guys having studied hookers and somehow that was considered “curriculum”, rate cuts make borrowing money cheaper than the future value of treasuries. Translation: rate cuts mean stonks go up, not down. Why does your thesis appear to contradict basic macro-economics and history?
This is one of the most cogent comments I’ve actually read in this thread besides people just telling him how “bears are wrong.” I did the napkin math. For the parameters in his scenario to play out, the “magnificent seven” alone would need to liquidate somewhere between 3.8 and 5.3 trillion dollars from current valuations to price in a rate cut, and all within Q2 of this year. If anything close to that happened, the rest of the underlying index and international indexes would follow suit. The underlying catalyst for this would be such a wholesale repudiation that we’d see market corrections far worse than 2022 or even 2020. There is no macro reality in the global market that would imply China or India (or any of the other names mentioned) would still rally while the U.S market enters a downturn of this size. If I try to conceptualize this scenario on how it would look in practice and not in paper, my common sense cannot envision 5.3 trillion being sold in order to price in a rate cut.
I guess I still am missing what the catalyst would be for such a drastic and sudden loss of valuation among Mag 7 in this scenario. Also, just to continue to play devil’s advocate here - there’s about 100 million other ways 2024 could go that is not this. If there’s one thing we know from studying past historic recessions, crashes, and depressions, it’s always a confluence of macro and micro economic catalysts that all hit at the same magic moment. That was true for 1928, early 1970s, and 2008. I just don’t see how you can be so confident that something like that is not just looming around the corner - but that it’s basically in 14 days and definitely by Q2?? I dunno man. If you’re right, you’re a fucking prodigy. But chances are astronomically more likely than not that this post won’t age well…
I tend to agree with you on the cut interest rates and the market turning into a bull run. However, there might be a little pull back because if you are all ready in a bull run, many Wall Street investors/retail investors will start to question why there are interest rate cuts. They will think the economy is worse off than they believe, the market is over bought, ask what does the Fed know that we don’t since we are in a bull market, and question why rates are being cut (especially if there are multiple cuts with inflation lingering and a strong labor report). I think initially there would be a sell off. Then when the dusts settled, a continued bull run.
That’s a whole LOT of dependent assumptions all leading to one conclusion.
You’re right about valuations but I think you have the macro 100% wrong. The economy and inflation have been indisputably accelerating for a couple months. Employment has ticked up, along with manufacturing, while service inflation remains sticky. The bigger risk is that all cuts get taken out of the curve and the Fed starts jawboning about rate hikes again.
So many braindead sheep. Your SPY calls will eat shit in the next two weeks. And Fuck NVDA in general bunch of sheep who can't think or trade for themselves. "I'm a bull, I'm a bear" who gives a fuck lol suck my dick
!Remindme 14 days
Great analysis
I'm gonna inverse this guy and go all in on Costco and chill.
Blah blah blah election year sell in Nov
Valentine’s Day Massacre
You think Buber is pumped bcuz of what?! Bahahaha!!!
Op quoting brain damage because that's what he has.
I would love to buy mag 7 stocks at 30-40% discount. Bring it on
Bravo
Agree SPY mag 7 are overvalued, now TSLA was already the first domino. Anyway, by end of March is usually the best month to buy, then again early October, so he might be right, -5 to -10% SPY in the next few weeks would be no surprise. The earnings season in many cases wasn't too kind so far (think HUM or APD), still RSP or QQQE don't look like a crash is imminent. So the rest of that doomsday scenario seems unrealistic.
But don’t you wanna give me after school detention?
And just for that stunt, you’re gonna get some extra homework
So gay
Bear spotted. Time to load more calls.
Actually 2026 is when the crash happens! You are a couple years early chief
Calls it is
Long term puts seems fine, but why does everyone on this sub insist on getting in before the action starts. Spent the Fall watching puts print and then bought up stocks to hold long term with the profits. Should've bought more and held on to some even longer, but its better to silently ride the wave (or yolo and scream when you win?) than to hope you timed it to perfection. You can still get filthy rich (don't worry I'm not) by being there day 2 of the big corrections and buying before the absolute bottom.
How are your poots guhing ???
$NVDA