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Ivi-Tora

It's actually 10% each raid as this event doubles the odds, but yes, you are more than a bit unlucky.


Fullofhate01

Not all these are from today. 2nd picture shows only 3 groudon with a light blue background- the indicator for caught last 24h ... So unsure how lucky/unlucky that was 4 real...


cheeriodust

Is it still 1/10 if the event isn't active in your time zone? Just curious. 


Thighs4EarPro

My wife, my son and my dad went out and did twenty six .. My dad got six shines My son got four shines My wife got zero..🤣😅


ItsSmurfyyy

The 1/10 is for the area of the raid so if you remote to a location within there time of it, it’ll still be 1/10


camreIIim

It’s so annoying that the bonuses are gone if you finish the raid after 5pm


cwhiterun

Has that been verified? Because my group only got 3/58 shinies which suggests the normal 1/20 rate.


nve-sp

Raid day events are always 1/10 . that in no way guarantees a shiny within 10 raids tho thats not how rng works


Dzyu

3/9, here.


MattGeddon

I got 6/22 today so I would say so yes


ooDymasOo

5/25


Monkejedi

0/14, sad 😔


nnhorizon

For every unlucky person, there is someone who is lucky. My friend went 4 for 8 Groudon and 1 for 1 Tapu Lele


Prestigious_Time_138

Sorry to say but it’s 1/10.


HydraSlayerR

Thanks for correcting that makes my luck more bad but now i know :)


Prestigious_Time_138

No worries, I had 0/56 for Latios lol.


HydraSlayerR

Thats even worse thats sucks


Fullofhate01

Only for today. Some of them are caught over 24h ago. (2nd picture shows only 3 groudon with a light blue background.)


Unable_Boat_4773

Damn, I'm sorry man. I think you are extremely unlucky :( Not a single shiny out of 38... There's no pity system in the game that would let one get a guaranteed shiny after xx encounters, so this situation is bound to happen here and there. Unfortunately for this very time you are among the "chosen". Stay strong brother


Chell_the_assassin

1.8% chance of not getting a shiny from that many encounters, brutal luck :(


FaithlessnessOld1229

I feel like this happens more than it doesn’t happen


Kitchen-Kiwi7942

How have you seen 29 but caught 38. I'm so confused


HFwhy

My kyogre stats are the same, seen 1 caught 16. Something with how they count raid encounters maybe?


Kitchen-Kiwi7942

That's kinda weird that they have it set up like that


HFwhy

They’re too busy screwing up the avatars to handle bugs ig


Kitchen-Kiwi7942

I honestly wish that they would port over the avatars from the TCG computer game


HFwhy

That’s a good idea, but If an idea sounds good we probably won’t see it happen.


HMKS

Using myself as an example. I’ve technically only seen a base form Kyogre once from the shadow I got from Giovanni a little while back so my Pokédex says seen 1, but caught 24. If you unlocked the mega dex, you’d see the correct number seen as a Primal Kyogre.


FaithlessnessOld1229

It’s the same with kyogre from last week. It says I’ve seen 1 and caught 7


HMKS

Check your mega Pokédex if you have it unlocked. The raid days are technically the Primal forms, so you’ll see the correct number seen there. The regular Pokédex shows you how many base forms you’ve seen.


Skinless777

It took me around 56 raids to get my first shiny Groudon. Definitely feel your pain! It can always be worse. Zekrom was 79 for the shiny, and I’m at 86 Landerous raids without the shiny. Stay strong!


Weekly_Technology467

The thing is that it's 1/10 for the event so that makes your luck even worse


Chardan0001

Shit luck, sorry.


womblemk3

Luck swings like a pendulum, mine, like yours was pretty honking today!! A raid nundo, my best CP ran away and no shinies out of 20 odd raids. My son was at the other end of the lucky swing and got 7 shinies in the same amount of raids...


HydraSlayerR

Rip my guy happy for your son 7 shinys is insane congrats for him!


ConfrontationalLemon

I went 0/20 today. My wife went 5/15. But Niantic can make it up to me when they gift me a shadow hundo during the rocket takeover event. Update: I got a shadow hundo. It’s solisis. Should have been more specific.


jackslayernmbr1

Your lucks just terrible, it happens, Even though in Pokémon games there's a 1 in 8192 chance to get a shiny Pokémon it's not insured that you will get 1 every 8192 that's why you just gotta cross your fingers and keep hunting brother


gnarlywaifu

i did 12 raids and got one shiny, i can finally give up and not spend all my money 😂


HFwhy

I had no shinies last week after 20+ kyogre raids so I feel your pain. I got two shiny Groudon but all the IV’s are pretty mid:/


HydraSlayerR

Damn that sucks hopefully u got some normal good groudons


Gold-Perspective-699

That's not how shiny rates work.


Electronic-Cat-3213

Can you please explain how it works? I’m really curious too!


Prunsel_Clone

it's 1/10 for raid day but that doesn't mean you're ever guaranteed to get one. in 38 raids, there's about a 98.17% chance to get a shiny. So yes, OP, you are very unlucky, but it's just RNG.


Fullofhate01

If all 38 where from today. 2nd picture shows only 3groudon with a light blue background (caught with in 24h).


Efram

“1 in 20” does not mean if you catch 20, you’re guaranteed 1 shiny… it means that each individual encounter has a 1/20 (or 5%) chance of being shiny. So how many encounters you have had and their results don’t affect the probability of getting a shiny on the next one. Think of it as rolling a dice and trying to get a 6. Whether or not you rolled a 6 last time doesn’t effect if you’ll roll a 6 next time. (Though of course, if you roll the dice 10 times, you’re more likely to end up with at least one 6 than if you only roll a couple times. OP IS statistically unlucky, it just doesn’t mean there’s a flaw/lie in the system).


HydraSlayerR

I knew this but didnt understand exactually how it worked thanks for explaining


Gold-Perspective-699

A dice roll..


biggestCharizardXfan

I thought it was 1/10 and yes, your unlucky


Buddy9729

Took me 41 to get a shiny today. Granted last week I got 5 shiny Kyogre and 2 hundos in 20 remotes so I like to think this balances it out lol


True_Broccoli_1539

1/10🤣🤣 did manage to catch 5 out of 15 raids. No shundo though best was a 98% normal


Glittering_Tale_7446

I did 7 raids, got 2 back to back shinies.


ChutzpahQ

It took me 102 groudons to get my first shiny. That was from initial shiny release and returning times.


Snoo_89762

0 shines for me while everyone around me seemed to be getting. The girl next to me got 3 in a row...My account is crap! I never seem to get shiny legendary Pokémon and I've been playing on and off since 2016...how can I be this unlucky!!


TheMrCypher1

I did 40 raids on this raid day with 0 shinies, im 76 total dry on raid days where its 1/10 chance, apparently less then 0.3% chance of happening but here i am, 98.85% chance i wouldve had a groudon in 40


Tixielicious

Sorry to see, not to brag but I managed 1 raid in those three hours and the one I got was Shiny :>


HydraSlayerR

U good happt u got one !


Serenafriendzone

I did 3 raids, and got 2 shinies. Xd


[deleted]

[удалено]


Dizzy_Leopard435

Bad luck, I’ve only done 7 and have two shinies


[deleted]

[удалено]


Sensei_Icy_3693

Same


D4nksouls_

Friend of mine got it in his first raid


blackhole_puncher

My gf got 2 in a row


Alone_Outside_7264

I’m having a hard time getting a group! You’re lucky you had that many people


Linkmaster79

I had that same luck too. Highest Groudon I could get was 2337 everything else was trash and no shiny


HydraSlayerR

Nice mine was 2328 wasnt my best day :/


Curiosities

Yeah, just bad luck. I did 4 raids today and got one shiny. I needed enough for primal reversion. I already had a good 3* shiny and the second one I caught today was two stars and so so. My good shiny is the one that I will be using the primal energy on.


Mac_G_

Play the lotto b/c what are the chances to get screwed like this? Had the same luck chasing shiny shadow Ho-Oh, went 0 for 55 💔


FaithlessnessOld1229

What’s the IV on the 4004


HydraSlayerR

Bad didnt really understand ivs yet so i powerd the highest cp wich was this weather boosted but i already upped it before i realised the ivs were 2 star atill a power house at 4004


GiveItToTJ

I'm at 42 caught with no shiny so we can be sad together


PaulyBoyDonuts

That is really bad luck, and it’s 1/10 for the shiny btw. Got mine first raid still half-asleep in bed lol.


cloud715

Unlucky man I did about 20 raids and got 4 of them


FlatThing9736

My first and only Groudon I caught today was a shiny and I believe the only reason I caught it is because the legendary shinies are guaranteed catch. 😭 I raided 4 other times and they all got away 😭😭😭 all out of raid passes and money now 😂😂😂


xkrax1

Had the same luck with kyogre last week. Today I got one shiny and two 98% groudon from 20 raids. RNG can be a bitch sometimes…


Chauri_Syndaurus

It was supposed to be 1/10, but I only got 1/70


starvaliant

I got four shinies from seven raids today, which is mad. That said, my partner was running two accounts and got a hundo on each in the same time, so I still ended up feeling like I'd missed out in some way...


Big_flipflop

My bad I stole your luck I got a shiny on my second raid


KrisKaniac

And I thought my bad was luck with 20, and to top it all off on my three other accounts I got four total


B34n_Bun

It’s supposed to be 1 in 10 for this event. I’m calling pure bs at this point because a friend of mine got nothing in 21 and I got 1 in nearly 50. Bad luck sure however, no way this is 1 in 10. I should have at least gotten 2 or 3.


[deleted]

That’s tough. I went 1 for 1 on shiny today. I was in bfe on a raid invite at that


Shadowspy31

I was 0/48 before today, 3/60 after. So I’m exactly on odds disregarding boosted odds today


hymensmasher99

This was me for the kyogre event. I was lucky this time with 4 shinies. So I know your pain buddy. Sorry!


Slowbro08_YT

at least you caught em. only 1 remote pass and like regice, failed to catch it. Still tryna complete that it’s about time quest


sweetonionteriyaki

If it’s 1/20, the probability of the first shiny appearing on or after encounter 39 is 13.5%. If it is 1/10 like a lot of people are saying, then it’s 1.6%.


Fantastic-Software48

I got three shinies in my first 4 raids and then no more after. I did 23 raids overall.


Zekrozma_the_second

You caught one ?


P8sammies

I think I stole all the shiny luck. I truly apologize.


iMaxMF

“Some guys have all the pain” -also me


ProfessionaI_Retard

Sometimes it’s like that. I have done 46 mega gengar raids. 0 shiny. 0 hundo. 23 groudon raids. 0 shiny 0 hundo. 17 kyogre raids. 0 shiny 0 hundo. 2 rayquaza raids. 1 shiny and 1 hundo. Sometimes luck is on your side. Other times it’s not


GirlThatBakes

Last week I did over 55 kyogre and got 0 shinies. With a 1/10 odds I had a less than 1/3 of a single percent chance of not getting a shiny and still didn’t 😭


Hermit_tha_hutt

I dumped about a total of 25 passes or so and only got two, so I would still say the odds, even though they’re increased, are still low


ZestyCowTail

I never get shinies in big raids, and today I got 2 out of 13. I may have stolen your luck, and I’m sorry!


Storvox

RNG sucks sometimes...ive had shiny T5s where I get one the very first raid I do, and others, like mewtwo, where it took me 109 times before I got one.


Antson03

I’m sorry I probably stole yours, I got 4 shinies my first 12 raids…


Watercooled0861

I'm usually really unlucky but out of 15 raids I got 3.


Fullofhate01

I know people who raided a 100 raids (not today, so with the 1/20 odds) without a shiny, at raid 143 they had then 9. They went from unlucky to lucky... Was hunting shiny groudon aswell got my first after 63 raids. Today the remaining shiny came in clutch with 6 out of 15 raids. If you push those numbers it will fit at some point...


apple_shampoo182

i dont understand why you need so many groudons or use so many passes


HLef

At least you have primal energy now. I did 2 raids and I only have one more remote pass. I don’t have the ability to do in person or even host a remote raid right now. I got 2 good ones (14/13/14 and 15/13/14) but likely will never get the 250 primal energy I’m missing.


Alexander0202

Cute. I remember I had to do 72 Rayquaza raids to get my first shiny Rayquaza.....😭


Sip-o-BinJuice11

It’s worth noting that you’re playing a glorified gacha game where nothing is guaranteed So saying ‘wahhhh I’m done it’s not fair’ is no different from an angry 66 year old southern grandma throwing a fit that the casino slots didn’t give her her $300 lottery fund back I have sympathy - cause I’ve gone through several of these events with next to nothing (no groudon - no Hitmontop - no Smeargle - no meltan - only 1 shiny during Sinnoh tour and it was a qwilfish) but at some point you should take a step back, take a deep breath, and contemplate what it was that made you type that sentence


THEGoDLiKeMIKE

Skill issue


Then-Ad3980

I got 3 out of 5 today


J_Chambers

Did 7 raids today and didn’t get lucky either. In fact out of those 7, 4 ran away :/


krzaq90

Today I did 16 raids and I have got only one shiny Groudon. My raid friend have got today 9 shiny 😂


JayGrzzz

Did 30 raids got three shinies


Vizekoenig_Toss_It

My second one is a shiny lol


aod42091

I've seen 56 articuno still no shiny


Chickenman-gaming

unlucky. But if it makes you feel better i had to do 110 legendary raids just to get my first legendary which was so bad ivs


AiraEternal

Hey, I’ll make you feel a bit happier. 25 raids and no shiny or hundo so someone’s in the same boat as you


DeGoodGood

I had the same just bad luck I maxed the remotes so 20 raids, also had a lot of runaways compared to kyogre I did get a 15/15/14 which is good I suppose but now it’s not ML relevant that’s not that good? I might try five more raids in 40 mins just to try and get the shiny


CartographerOk9855

i did 20 raids today and no shiny or hundos


aizarywastaken

A friend got 2 shinys back to back from remote raiding next to me while I searched for people to join our local raid


BBofa

Ur just super unlucky


[deleted]

1/10 but it has no bad luck protection, you’re rolling a 10 sided die each time looking for the same number.


MetropolitanRail

My shiny rate for today was 25% lol. I did 8 local raids and got 2 shiny.


windmill1991

Did 16, 0 shinies. Same as Kyogre last week


dddndj

crazy bc i got 4 shinies after 8 raids😭


holonboy

I did 30 Kyogre raids last week and only got 2 shinies. I did 31 Groudon raids today and got 10 shinies, including 3 in row. Probability can be funny.


sid3003

I did 3 raids and got shiny on the last one. The IVs are not the best but it’s my first shiny legendary so I am very happy with the result.


Oscar_Pie

*laugh cries in 200 non-shiny regirocks*


PomegranateMost4188

Might be u lucky my second raid was a shiny and so was my 4th


not-yourz

None for me either. Today or for Kyogre. Super annoying as I had the additional raid passes for each of them. GRRRR.


The-Ollie

Here I'm sitting at 3 seen 0 caught


Alm0ndator

Bruh, I only did the raid 4 times and ended up getting 3 groudons, 2 being shiny…. Lol


TheChikkis

I stole all your luck. 40 remote raids and 10 shinies. I'm sorry.


JesusIsPacking

My second one ever was shiny💀


Blood_Fairy_0_0

Yeaa that's some bad luck...I'm sorry 😞 I got 1/20 my hubby got 2/20 and my other friend also got one and didn't even do 20.


martlet1

If it helps the shiny is ugly


BearJustBarely

You've seen 29 but caught 38?


FitGuarantee37

I did 4 raids and got 3 shinies.


krazijoe

Yeah. And I made up for your bad luck by getting 2 shinies in 14 raids. You’re welcome.


Weird-Perspective-69

I got it on the third raid and I only did three raids


8BD0

I did 40 and got nothing, then got 3 back to back on like raid 44


textbook-hippy-man

I appreciate your sacrifice. I got a shiny on my second raid.


Kitty_squad2

And there is me who got one on my first of 4 raids


AverryX

Forgive me everyone! But doing that many raids….does that mean ya’ll spending a large amount of money for all of the passes? It seems obvious to me, but so many people in here were hitting so many raids, I’m just curious?


aag3521

I did 7 raids today and got 3 shinies


Wall-St_Picasso

I got 1 shiny on my 3rd raid, caught the 1st 1 on a curve ball without hitting the inner circle after 3 trys, the 2nd 1 caught on a curve ball without the inner circle on the 1st try and then the shiny was obviously 1 balled lol


call-me_sanji

I hate seeing these posts abt ppl complaining abt not getting a shiny, I didn't even get to do this event or the kyogre one cuz I live in a small town and I have no remote passes


Sevalias

Your luck probably went to that one guy who got like 9 Shundo Groudons in 40 raids


AdventurousBarber377

I feel your pain, I got 0 shinnies for Kyogre raid day, got 2 today though.


Prometheus1738

You know what’s crazy? I’m level 25, 1100 Pokémon caught and not a single one was shiny. I’m currently 0/1100 for catching a shiny… idk if that’s unbelievably unlucky or I’m cursed


Acrobatic_Cold_5018

I did 6 raids, got 3 shinies like


nve-sp

Its actually 1/10 so its even worse lol. Rng is a cruel mystrous. It always comes back arpund the question is is it when you want it to tho lol. I did 23 kyogres last week n no shiby this week i got 3 shiny groudons one of them on the 3rd raid lol. Shiny primal groudon looks sick at least i guess.


RubySoho5280

My very first raid got me a shiny. I'll DM you the screenshot if you want because I can't get my dam imgur to work


Bazoobs1

I got mine first try … sorry mate :/


Datmiddy

0/45 myself. Not fun. Wife got 1/45 tho, so at least we got one. I did get a Hundo, so at least there's that.


sventhegoat

I did 4 raids and got 3 shiny groudons. I had never gotten a shiny from a raid before, so I used all my luck today


BrAlf-

i got a shiny on my second one and got another 2 raids later


Semi-shipwrecked

I feel your pain


ItsMeJustCorey

0/14


GardiviorAndHydragon

Nah, the funny part is seen only 29 when you’ve caught 9 more than that


glumba

With a 1 in 20 chance, the odds that you would not get a shiny in 38 raids is 14%. Sorry it’s not that crazy. But with 1 in 10 shiny odds the likelihood that you would not havre a shiny yet is actually 1.8% which is much much more unlucky.


derf_vader

My son did one Groudon raid with a remote pass the entire day and got a shiny.


Lunix336

If the chance is 1 out of 20 you have a roughly 1 in 6.5 chances to not get it after 38 tries. That‘s actually not that unlucky. Going 3x over the rate at which a random thing might happen is actually not that uncommon statistically.


twinx12

How did you catch 38, when you only seen 29??


Least-Ingenuity9631

I'm 1 for 25+ lmaoooo 🫠


GamerGrl90

1/3 here


MrIndyWrestling

That was me last week with Kyogre


2020Hills

It’s 5% chance


glannalg

Mathematics has entered the chat.


OrbitOfGlass17

I only did 4 raids and got one.


Odd_Leopard3507

It’s like a roulette wheel. Every time you spin the wheel the odds are reset.


FeistyAndrea

God damn dude. I couldn’t do physical raids so I capped myself to 12 remote raid passes. If I didn’t get it - I don’t get it. …but I had leftover coins for ONE MORE and so hopped on the next friend invite and GOT ITTTT. Phew. It’s like 10/10/13 but I’m powering up that one I don’t even care lmao


LegoRedBrick

I got 2 shiny’s out of 10 raids


T3xasLegend

I got shiny on my first raid.


Fastball82

0/19…I feel ya


Silky_bob

I went 2/6. 1 fled. 2 shiny. 3 regular.


Dereckhasabigdick

Gotta have bad luck, did 5 and got one, sorry you didn't man, hopefully you can get a shiny shadow one when that is going on


kaedemi011

It’s 50% for me… 2 raids… 1 shiny… 😁


crimsonknight93

I got 3 back to back. Must of got yours.


kmcampanelli

It’s 1/10 chance to get a shiny on each catch, not guaranteed 1/10 catches will be shiny.


sweatpantss

You don’t want to see my kyogre numbers…


Appropriate-Junket62

How tf have you caught 38 but seen 29


legendguy2417

Must be your luck because I got like 2 shinies in 11 raids


ranakipeita

My friend once did 97 darkrai raids and only got the shiny on the 94th one


Autographz

How have you seen 29 but caught 38??


marcy_vampirequeen

Statistics are fun haha


FennelPretend3889

I had much better luck with the kyoge raid. I caught 3 shinys out of 13 caught. This time caught 1/14 and it was the last one. I’m more mad about buying the ticket for the xl candy. Did the same thing for kyoge and got 15 rare xl candies. I got two this time and did more raids.


BoyMomSubieSTILife

I did 27 not a single shiny same car My son got 5 and so did my Father in law lol including a 98 shiny


Arcalargo

RNG is one nervous heckuva drug...